Result
0:4
27/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 30
- Referee: Charlton-Fleming C. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 34% | 66% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 10', 0 - 1, Williams D. ⚽,
- 12', 0 - 2, Clark B. ⚽,
- 44', Owen M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Gosset D. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
- 46', Holden R. ↓, McGahey H. ↑,
- 68', Owen M. ↓, Jones M. ↑,
- 68', Thomas D. ↓, Young B. ↑,
- 68', Mooney P. ↓, Smith D. ↑,
- 69', Marshall J. ↓, Smith L. ↑,
- 69', Clark B. ↓, Barton D. ↑,
- 83', 0 - 3, Williams J. ⚽,
- 86', Ellis O. ↓, Williams C. ↑,
- 88', 0 - 4, Barton D. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Caernarfon Town
13.6% | Draw
18% | The New Saints
68.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting The New Saints's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (-5.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for The New Saints, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Caernarfon Town - The New Saints Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.86 ↑
(5.32) |
5.17 ↑
(4.23) |
1.36 ↓
(1.5) |
7.5%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Caernarfon Town - The New Saints?
Users Predictions:
The New Saints will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Caernarfon is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
- TNS is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- In this match, TNS is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Caernarfon won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 18 matches, and goals 15:60. (average 0.8:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Caernarfon won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:28. (average 0.6:3.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against The New Saints?
Caernarfon Town has won 1 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has The New Saints won against Caernarfon Town?
The New Saints has won 14 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Caernarfon Town - The New Saints were as follows:
20.02.2026
The New Saints
-
Caernarfon Town
2:1
28.11.2025
The New Saints
-
Caernarfon Town
2:0
04.11.2025
The New Saints
-
Caernarfon Town
3:0
07.10.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
The New Saints
1:3
11.03.2025
The New Saints
-
Caernarfon Town
2:0
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Latest results of The New Saints
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS ✔ | 31 | 25 | 2 | 4 | 80:25 | 55 | 77 |
| 2 | Connahs Q. ✔ | 31 | 16 | 9 | 6 | 60:37 | 23 | 57 |
| 3 | Barry ✔ | 31 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 43:32 | 11 | 46 |
| 4 | Colwyn Bay ✔ | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 40:36 | 4 | 44 |
| 5 | Caernarfon ✔ | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 54:47 | 7 | 42 |
| 6 | Penybont ✔ | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 39:47 | -8 | 41 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
TNS is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (Qualification )
Connahs Q. is Qualified for Conference League (Qualification )
Barry is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Colwyn Bay is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Caernarfon is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Penybont is Qualified for Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
