Result
2:1
20/02/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Cymru Premier - Championship Group - Round 26
- Referee: Petch M. (Wal)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Redmond D. ⚽,
- 11', Jones M. ↓, Williams C. ↑,
- 30', Harrison K. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Young B. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Mendes P. 🟨,
- 59', 2 - 1, Wilson B. ⚽,
- 60', Owen J. ↓, Williams D. ↑,
- 75', Farrell E. ↓, Davies D. ↑,
- 75', Wilson B. ↓, Jefferies I. ↑,
- 87', Sears R. ↓, Lewis I. ↑,
- 90+3', Corness D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
The New Saints
72.9% | Draw
16.3% | Caernarfon Town
10.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The New Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for The New Saints than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
The New Saints - Caernarfon Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.27 ↓
(1.32) |
5.69 ↑
(4.88) |
8.55 ↑
(7.72) |
8%
(9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for The New Saints - Caernarfon Town?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. TNS will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Caernarfon will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for TNS: 55.2% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. TNS (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TNS won 5.
- TNS is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- In recent matches, Caernarfon has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, TNS has had a series of home games.
- In this match, TNS is the undisputed favorite.
- We predict that TNS will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TNS won 18 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 60:14. (average 3:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, TNS won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 30:9. (average 2.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has The New Saints won against Caernarfon Town?
The New Saints has won 13 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caernarfon Town won against The New Saints?
Caernarfon Town has won 1 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between The New Saints - Caernarfon Town were as follows:
28.11.2025
The New Saints
-
Caernarfon Town
2:0
04.11.2025
The New Saints
-
Caernarfon Town
3:0
07.10.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
The New Saints
1:3
11.03.2025
The New Saints
-
Caernarfon Town
2:0
11.02.2025
Caernarfon Town
-
The New Saints
0:1
Latest results of The New Saints
Latest results of Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cymru Premier Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | TNS | 26 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 70:20 | 50 | 65 |
| 2 | Connahs Q | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 51:29 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Penybont | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 37:40 | -3 | 40 |
| 4 | Caernarfon | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 49:37 | 12 | 39 |
| 5 | Colwyn Bay | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 37 |
| 6 | Barry | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 36:27 | 9 | 36 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Conference League ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
