Result
1:4
16/12/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 18
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 2.95 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (197/293) | 82% (353/432) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 2.95 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 3.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 29 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 17 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 12 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 43 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 67% (197/293) | 82% (353/432) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (37/81) | 45% (20/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (29/54) | 76% (121/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 6% (1/16) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 2.03 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.07 | 0.84 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.93 | -0.16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 11', Golliard T. ↓, Maluvunu E. ↑,
- 14', Zuffi L. 🟨,
- 20', 0 - 1, Meichtry F. ⚽, Matoshi V. (A),
- 22', 0 - 2, Rastoder E. ⚽, Heule M. (A),
- 26', Arnold R. 🟥,
- 30', Jankewitz A. ↓, Martins M. ↑,
- 34', Bertone L. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 2, Hunziker A. ⚽, Diaby S. (A),
- 40', Dansoko B. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 3, Roth J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 61', Martins M. 🟨,
- 72', Meichtry F. ↓, Imeri K. ↑,
- 73', Matoshi V. ↓, Reichmuth N. ↑,
- 73', Labeau B. ↓, Ibayi C. ↑,
- 79', Rohner F. ↓, Burkart N. ↑,
- 79', Diaby S. ↓, Buess R. ↑,
- 80', Zuffi L. ↓, Stillhart B. ↑,
- 80', Buess R. 🟨,
- 86', Kapino S. 🟨,
- 90+1', Rastoder E. ↓, Franke D. ↑,
- 90+4', Bertone L. ↓, Janjicic V. ↑,
- 90+5', 1 - 4, Ibayi C. ⚽, Imeri K. (A),
Chances of winning
Winterthur
21.8% | Draw
22.3% | Thun
55.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Winterthur - Thun Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.3 ↑
(4.01) |
4.21 ↑
(3.72) |
1.69 ↓
(1.8) |
6.3%
(7.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Winterthur - Thun?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 5 - 83.3%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Users Predictions:
Thun will win
(33 of 40 users predict this - 82.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.72% – 94.28%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Thun will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )).
- Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 3.
- Winterthur is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Thun has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Thun may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Winterthur has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Thun is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Winterthur: Chiappetta C.
(Injury)
Luthi L.
(Thigh Injury)
Schneider R.
(Inactive)
Ulrich D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Thun: Balaruban A.
(Inactive)
Kait M.
(Foot Injury)
Stewart L.
(Inactive)
Ziswiler N.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Winterthur: Burkart N.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Winterthur won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 18:15. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Winterthur won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.8:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Winterthur won against Thun?
Winterthur has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Thun won against Winterthur?
Thun has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Winterthur - Thun were as follows:
28.10.2025
Thun
-
Winterthur
3:0
Latest results of Winterthur
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun ✔ | 18 | 12 | 1 | 5 | 35:21 | 14 | 37 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 18 | 11 | 1 | 6 | 36:21 | 15 | 34 |
| 3 | Basel | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 31 |
| 4 | Lugano | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 25:23 | 2 | 30 |
| 5 | Young Boys | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 38:35 | 3 | 29 |
| 6 | Sion | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 27:23 | 4 | 27 |
| 7 | Zurich | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 26:31 | -5 | 24 |
| 8 | Lausanne | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 21 |
| 9 | Servette | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 29:35 | -6 | 19 |
| 10 | Luzern | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 31:35 | -4 | 18 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 25:33 | -8 | 17 |
| 12 | Winterthur ✔ | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 23:50 | -27 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Thun is Qualified for Super League (Championship Group )
Winterthur is Super League (Relegation Group )
