Result
3:0
28/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 11
- Referee: Piccolo L. (Sui)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.94 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (262/343) | 85% (397/468) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 0.94 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.90 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 36 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (262/343) | 85% (397/468) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (43/73) | 48% (22/46) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (80/120) | 74% (109/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 31% (8/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (17/21) | 50% (10/20) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 67 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 32 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 3.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.90 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Dahler L. ⚽,
- 36', 2 - 0, Bertone L. ⚽, Bamert J. (A),
- 39', Matoshi V. 🟥,
- 41', Ibayi C. 🟨,
- 43', Sahitaj L. ↓, Burkart N. ↑,
- 43', Bertone L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Jankewitz A. ↓, Momoh F. ↑,
- 53', Durrer A. 🟨,
- 55', Ibayi C. ↓, Rastoder E. ↑,
- 55', Rupp N. ↓, Roth J. ↑,
- 55', Labeau B. ↓, Reichmuth N. ↑,
- 59', Burkart N. ↓, Beyer B. ↑,
- 68', Meichtry F. ↓, Fehr F. ↑,
- 73', Kasami P. ↓, Golliard T. ↑,
- 73', Diaby S. ↓, Dansoko B. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 0, Rastoder E. ⚽, Dahler L. (A),
- 85', Bertone L. ↓, Janjicic V. ↑,
Chances of winning
Thun
69% | Draw
17.9% | Winterthur
13.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Thun - Winterthur Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.38 ↓
(1.45) |
5.15 ↑
(4.91) |
6.8 ↑
(6.15) |
6.6%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Thun - Winterthur?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Thun will win (votes: 23 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thun: 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Thun will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: ) and 12 in the zone Super League (Relegation Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thun won 1.
- Thun has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Winterthur is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Thun is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Winterthur: Arnold R.
(Injury)
Luthi L.
(Thigh Injury)
Rohner F.
(Injury)
Spagnoli A.
(Knee Injury)
Stillhart B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Thun won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:18. (average 1.1:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Thun won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Thun won against Winterthur?
Thun has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Winterthur won against Thun?
Winterthur has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Thun - Winterthur were as follows:
Latest results of Winterthur
Swiss Super League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Thun | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 26:15 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | St. Gallen | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5 | 30:18 | 12 | 27 |
| 3 | Young Boys | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 30:23 | 7 | 25 |
| 4 | Basel | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 23 |
| 5 | Lugano | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 20:21 | -1 | 23 |
| 6 | Sion | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 23:20 | 3 | 21 |
| 7 | Zurich | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 8 | Luzern | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 29:27 | 2 | 18 |
| 9 | Lausanne | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 25:22 | 3 | 16 |
| 10 | Servette | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 15 |
| 11 | Grasshoppers | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 19:29 | -10 | 14 |
| 12 | Winterthur | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 19:42 | -23 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Super League (Championship Group: )
Super League (Relegation Group: )
