Result
1:2
17/05/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Super League - Round 13
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | Migu, ZhiBo8 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (304/402) | 75% (313/418) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.65 | 1.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (304/402) | 75% (313/418) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 42% (29/69) | 38% (27/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (56/91) | 63% (71/113) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 17% (1/6) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 29 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 44% (8/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 0.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.51 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Xadas ⚽, Ba Dun (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 64', Zhao Yingjie ↓, Omoijuanfo O. ↑,
- 67', 0 - 2, Quiles A. ⚽, Xadas (A),
- 71', Quiles A. 🟨,
- 73', Xuan Z. ↓, Abdugheni Abduhamit ↑,
- 73', Zhang Huachen ↓, Tudi Dilyimit ↑,
- 80', Ademi A. ↓, Sun Ming-Him ↑,
- 89', Xadas ↓, Guo Hao ↑,
- 89', Ba Dun ↓, Yang Fan ↑,
- 90', 1 - 2, Tan Long ⚽,
- 90+3', Wang Qiuming ↓, Xie Weijun ↑,
- 90+4', Sun Ming-Him 🟨,
Chances of winning
Changchun Yatai
30.6% | Draw
26.2% | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
43.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Changchun Yatai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Changchun Yatai - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↑
(2.77) |
3.56 ↓
(3.61) |
2.17 ↓
(2.32) |
6.7%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Changchun Yatai - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Tianjin Jinmen Tiger will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 41.6% – 98.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 0.
- Changchun Yatai is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Tianjin Jinmen Tiger might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Changchun Yatai: Cyprien W.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: Fang Jingqi
(Injury)
Shi Yan
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Changchun Yatai: Xuan Z.
(Inactive)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Changchun Yatai won 2 matches, drew 11 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 33:39. (average 1.7:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Changchun Yatai won 0 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Changchun Yatai won against Tianjin Jinmen Tiger?
Changchun Yatai has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tianjin Jinmen Tiger won against Changchun Yatai?
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Changchun Yatai - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger were as follows:
17.07.2024
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
-
Changchun Yatai
4:3
06.07.2024
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
-
Changchun Yatai
2:2
31.03.2024
Changchun Yatai
-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
0:1
29.07.2023
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
-
Changchun Yatai
0:0
12.11.2022
Changchun Yatai
-
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
2:3
Latest results of Changchun Yatai
Latest results of Tianjin Jinmen Tiger
Chinese Super League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shanghai Shenhua | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 49:25 | 24 | 49 |
| 2 | Shanghai Port | 22 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 52:28 | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | Chengdu Rongcheng | 22 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 44:17 | 27 | 47 |
| 4 | Beijing Guoan | 21 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 47:26 | 21 | 45 |
| 5 | Shandong Taishan | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 45:35 | 10 | 37 |
| 6 | Zhejiang Professional | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 46:36 | 10 | 34 |
| 7 | Tianjin Jinmen Tiger | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 30:32 | -2 | 34 |
| 8 | Yunnan Yukun | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 34:43 | -9 | 29 |
| 9 | Dalian Yingbo | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 21:32 | -11 | 29 |
| 10 | Qingdao West Coast | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 29:34 | -5 | 27 |
| 11 | Henan Songshan Longmen | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 37:40 | -3 | 22 |
| 12 | Wuhan Three Towns | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 27:38 | -11 | 21 |
| 13 | Meizhou Hakka | 22 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 28:47 | -19 | 17 |
| 14 | Shenzhen Xinpengcheng | 22 | 5 | 2 | 15 | 26:50 | -24 | 17 |
| 15 | Qingdao Hainiu | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 16 | Changchun Yatai | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 18:36 | -18 | 15 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ Jia League
