Result
17/04/2026 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Necaxa
25.5% | Draw
26.6% | Tigres UANL
47.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-3%)
Necaxa - Tigres UANL Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.59 ↑
(3.38) |
3.51 ↑
(3.25) |
1.96 ↓
(2.05) |
7.3%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 11 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Necaxa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tigres might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Necaxa won 1 match, drew 8 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 16:34. (average 0.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Necaxa won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:11. (average 0.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Tigres UANL?
Necaxa has won 0 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tigres UANL won against Necaxa?
Tigres UANL has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Necaxa - Tigres UANL were as follows:
17.10.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Necaxa
5:3
11.05.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Necaxa
2:2
08.05.2025
Necaxa
-
Tigres UANL
0:0
01.03.2025
Necaxa
-
Tigres UANL
1:2
06.07.2024
Tigres UANL
-
Necaxa
1:0
Latest results of Tigres UANL
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas ✔ | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 28:17 | 11 | 31 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 25:15 | 10 | 28 |
| 3 | Pachuca | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 21:13 | 8 | 28 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 26:15 | 11 | 27 |
| 5 | Toluca | 14 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 27 |
| 6 | Tigres UANL | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 22:16 | 6 | 20 |
| 7 | Club America | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 19 |
| 8 | Atlas | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 19 |
| 9 | Club Leon | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 16:24 | -8 | 19 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 15:15 | 0 | 18 |
| 11 | Juarez | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 16 |
| 12 | Necaxa | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:20 | -3 | 16 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19:17 | 2 | 15 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 21:23 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 | Queretaro | 14 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 |
| 16 | Puebla | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11:17 | -6 | 13 |
| 17 | Mazatlan FC | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 16:28 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Guadalajara Chivas is Qualified for Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
