Result
2:2
11/05/2025 at 23:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Disney+, ESPN, Tubi TV |
 North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports 1, Foxsports.com |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.29 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (247/334) | 74% (219/295) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.13 | 1.29 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.86 | 1.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (247/334) | 74% (219/295) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (33/65) | 31% (15/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (82/129) | 68% (73/108) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (5/25) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.92 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (9/16) | 63% (10/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 52 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.49 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 51', 1 - 0, Brunetta J. ⚽, Lainez D. (A),
- 55', De Buen D. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 1, Palavecino A. ⚽, Paradela J. (A),
- 74', Cambindo D. ↓, Badaloni T. ↑,
- 74', Rojas J. ↓, Monreal R. ↑,
- 79', Lainez D. ↓, Lorona V. ↑,
- 84', Perez P. ↓, Cortez R. ↑,
- 84', Rodriguez I. ↓, Andrade A. ↑,
- 86', 1 - 2, Badaloni T. ⚽, Lara E. (A),
- 88', Aquino J. ↓, Flores M. ↑,
- 89', Romulo ↓, Cordova S. ↑,
- 90+5', Gorriaran F. 🟨,
- 90+7', 2 - 2, Sanchez J. ⚽,
- 90+16', Gorriaran F. ↓, Reyes D. ↑,
- 90+17', Andrade A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tigres UANL
50.9% | Draw
26% | Necaxa
23.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tigres UANL's performance.Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Necaxa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (-10.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tigres UANL that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Necaxa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tigres UANL - Necaxa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↓
(2.5) |
3.64 ↑
(3.25) |
4.06 ↑
(2.84) |
6.1%
(6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Tigres UANL - Necaxa?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Tigres (votes: 3 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Tigres UANL will win
(13 of 15 users predict this - 86.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.47% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tigres UANL will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 4.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Necaxa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Tigres is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Tigres: Gignac A.
(Leg Injury)
Joaquim
(Knee Injury)
Rafael Carioca
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Necaxa: Oliveros A.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Tigres: Guerrero R.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 10 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 28:14. (average 1.4:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tigres won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 1.6:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tigres UANL won against Necaxa?
Tigres UANL has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Tigres UANL?
Necaxa has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tigres UANL - Necaxa were as follows:
08.05.2025
Necaxa
-
Tigres UANL
0:0
01.03.2025
Necaxa
-
Tigres UANL
1:2
06.07.2024
Tigres UANL
-
Necaxa
1:0
20.04.2024
Tigres UANL
-
Necaxa
5:2
20.08.2023
Necaxa
-
Tigres UANL
0:3
Latest results of Tigres UANL
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Pachuca | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Toluca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Monterrey | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 5 | Cruz Azul | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 3 | 5 |
| 6 | Club America | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 5 |
| 7 | Necaxa | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 4 |
| 8 | Mazatlan FC | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Atlas | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 11 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Guadalajara Chivas | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 13 | Atl. San Luis | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
