Result
5:3
17/10/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 13
- Referee: Escobedo Gonzalez A. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, Tubi TV |
 Usa | Estrella TV, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, NBC Universo, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 0.73 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (397/464) | 79% (292/368) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.63 | 1.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (397/464) | 79% (292/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (25/43) | 36% (15/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (117/157) | 64% (62/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/16) | 20% (2/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.61 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (8/14) | 64% (14/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.50 | 3.63 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.50 | -1.37 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 2)
- 16', Rosero K. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Cambindo D. ⚽, Badaloni T. (A),
- 24', 1 - 1, Brunetta J. ⚽, Correa A. (A),
- 36', 2 - 1, Brunetta J. ⚽,
- 45+1', 2 - 2, Cambindo D. ⚽, Palavecino A. (A),
- 45+5', 3 - 2, Brunetta J. ⚽, Herrera O. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Gignac A. ↓, Gorriaran F. ↑,
- 63', 4 - 2, Correa A. ⚽, Sanchez Guevara D. A. (A),
- 64', Herrera O. ↓, Lainez D. ↑,
- 66', Rosero K. ↓, Monreal R. ↑,
- 66', Rojas J. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
- 72', 4 - 3, Monreal R. ⚽, Cambindo D. (A),
- 72', Badaloni T. ↓, Cortez R. ↑,
- 72', De Buen D. ↓, Andrade A. ↑,
- 75', Cortez R. 🟨,
- 79', Andrade A. 🟨,
- 80', Angulo J. 🟨,
- 88', 5 - 3, Lainez D. ⚽, Sanchez Guevara D. A. (A),
- 89', Brunetta J. ↓, Vigon J. ↑,
- 89', Correa A. ↓, Ibanez N. ↑,
- 89', Rossano F. ↓, Sanchez R. ↑,
- 90+3', Calderon C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tigres UANL
62.6% | Draw
21.3% | Necaxa
16.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tigres UANL has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Necaxa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigres UANL than the current prediction. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Necaxa than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
Tigres UANL - Necaxa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↑
(1.51) |
4.41 ↑
(4.4) |
5.72 ↑
(5.54) |
5.9%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tigres UANL - Necaxa?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Necaxa (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Tigres UANL will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Tigres UANL will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Tigres (votes: 4 - 80%). Necaxa (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 3.
- Tigres is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Necaxa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Tigres is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Tigres: Ibanez N.
(Foot Injury)
- There will not play in Necaxa: Pena A.
(Injury)
Rodriguez I.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Tigres: Angulo J.
(Injury)
Tapia F.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 10 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 30:14. (average 1.5:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tigres won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Tigres UANL won against Necaxa?
Tigres UANL has won 6 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Necaxa won against Tigres UANL?
Necaxa has won 0 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tigres UANL - Necaxa were as follows:
11.05.2025
Tigres UANL
-
Necaxa
2:2
08.05.2025
Necaxa
-
Tigres UANL
0:0
01.03.2025
Necaxa
-
Tigres UANL
1:2
06.07.2024
Tigres UANL
-
Necaxa
1:0
20.04.2024
Tigres UANL
-
Necaxa
5:2
Latest results of Tigres UANL
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 30 |
| 2 | Cruz Azul | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 23:12 | 11 | 27 |
| 3 | Toluca | 12 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 19:7 | 12 | 26 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 21:12 | 9 | 23 |
| 5 | Pachuca | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15:10 | 5 | 22 |
| 6 | Atlas | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 18:14 | 4 | 17 |
| 8 | Club America | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:15 | 3 | 14 |
| 10 | Juarez | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14:16 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 | Club Leon | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 13:24 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 14 | Puebla | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 10:15 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Atl. San Luis | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 11 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 8:16 | -8 | 8 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 14:30 | -16 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
