Tigres UANL vs Necaxa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:3
17/10/2025 at 23:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Escobedo Gonzalez A. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, Tubi TV
usaUsaEstrella TV, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, NBC Universo, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.590.73
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1914
Shots on target
96
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
64
Passes
86% (397/464)79% (292/368)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
2.590.73
xG on target (xGOT)
3.631.50
Total shots
1914
Shots on target
96
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
63
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
97
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
64
Touches in opposition box
3614
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1810
Passes
86% (397/464)79% (292/368)
Long passes
58% (25/43)36% (15/42)
Passes in final third
75% (117/157)64% (62/97)
Crosses
13% (2/16)20% (2/10)
Expected assists (xA)
1.690.61
Throw-ins
1413
Fouls
1018
Tackles
57% (8/14)64% (14/22)
Duels won
5343
Clearances
1325
Interceptions
1314
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
1.503.63
Goals prevented
-1.50-1.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 2)
  • 16', Rosero K. 🟨,
  • 18', 0 - 1, Cambindo D. , Badaloni T. (A),
  • 24', 1 - 1, Brunetta J. , Correa A. (A),
  • 36', 2 - 1, Brunetta J. ,
  • 45+1', 2 - 2, Cambindo D. , Palavecino A. (A),
  • 45+5', 3 - 2, Brunetta J. , Herrera O. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Gignac A. , Gorriaran F. ,
  • 63', 4 - 2, Correa A. , Sanchez Guevara D. A. (A),
  • 64', Herrera O. , Lainez D. ,
  • 66', Rosero K. , Monreal R. ,
  • 66', Rojas J. , Perez P. ,
  • 72', 4 - 3, Monreal R. , Cambindo D. (A),
  • 72', Badaloni T. , Cortez R. ,
  • 72', De Buen D. , Andrade A. ,
  • 75', Cortez R. 🟨,
  • 79', Andrade A. 🟨,
  • 80', Angulo J. 🟨,
  • 88', 5 - 3, Lainez D. , Sanchez Guevara D. A. (A),
  • 89', Brunetta J. , Vigon J. ,
  • 89', Correa A. , Ibanez N. ,
  • 89', Rossano F. , Sanchez R. ,
  • 90+3', Calderon C. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tigres UANL
62.6%
Draw
21.3%
Necaxa
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.9% 21.2% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8% 20.6% 16.4%

Tigres UANL - Necaxa Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.52
(1.51)
4.41
(4.4)
5.72
(5.54)
5.9%
(7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Tigres UANL - Necaxa?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tigres will win (votes: 10 - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tigres: 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tigres (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 17).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 3.
    • Tigres is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Necaxa is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Tigres is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Tigres: Ibanez N. (Foot Injury)
    • There will not play in Necaxa: Pena A. (Injury) Rodriguez I. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Tigres: Angulo J. (Injury) Tapia F. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigres won 10 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 30:14. (average 1.5:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tigres won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:8. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tigres UANL - Necaxa were as follows:
    11.05.2025 Tigres UANL - Necaxa 2:2
    08.05.2025 Necaxa - Tigres UANL 0:0
    01.03.2025 Necaxa - Tigres UANL 1:2
    06.07.2024 Tigres UANL - Necaxa 1:0
    20.04.2024 Tigres UANL - Necaxa 5:2
    Latest results of Tigres UANL
    04.10.2025 Tigres UANL - Cruz Azul 1:1
    28.09.2025 Querétaro - Tigres UANL 0:2
    24.09.2025 Tigres UANL - Atlas 2:0
    20.09.2025 UNAM - Tigres UANL 1:1
    Latest results of Necaxa
    03.10.2025 Necaxa - Pachuca 0:1
    27.09.2025 Atlas - Necaxa 3:2
    19.09.2025 Necaxa - Puebla 1:0
    12.09.2025 Necaxa - Juárez 1:1
    Draw
    Apertura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Toluca (1)Juarez (8)0 : 0, 2 : 1
    2Club America (4)Monterrey (5)2 : 1, 0 : 2
    3Tigres UANL (2)Club Tijuana (7)5 : 0, 0 : 3
    4Cruz Azul (3)Guadalajara Chivas (6)3 : 2, 0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Toluca (1)Monterrey (5)3 : 2, 0 : 1
    2Tigres UANL (2)Cruz Azul (3)1 : 1, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Toluca (1)Tigres UANL (2)