Spanish Town Police vs Tivoli Gardens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
12/01/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 16

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
42
Corner kicks
34
Total shots
105
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
63
Corner kicks
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 90+1', 0 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Spanish Town Police
17.7%
Draw
23.3%
Tivoli Gardens
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.7% 21.6% 63.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.1% 20.8% 66.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Spanish Town Police has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Tivoli Gardens has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spanish Town Police than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tivoli Gardens than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tivoli Gardens could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Spanish Town Police - Tivoli Gardens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.11
    (6.33)
    3.88
    (4.31)
    1.54
    (1.46)
    10.4%
    (7.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Spanish Town Police - Tivoli Gardens?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Spanish Town (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Spanish Town may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Tivoli Gardens is the undeniable favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Spanish Town won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Spanish Town Police - Tivoli Gardens were as follows:
    08.09.2025 Tivoli Gardens - Spanish Town Police 2:1
    Latest results of Spanish Town Police
    Latest results of Tivoli Gardens
    Jamaica National Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Montego Bay25156445:232251
    2Mount Pleasant24129337:122545
    3Racing United251112238:182045
    4Portmore241110332:171543
    5Waterhouse2497824:19534
    6Cavalier241031134:26833
    7Dunbeholden2588924:27-332
    8Chapelton25951119:26-732
    9Arnett Gardens25941237:34331
    10Tivoli2478925:34-929
    11Treasure Beach25681128:39-1126
    12Molynes24412823:30-724
    13Harbour View25491233:48-1521
    14Spanish Town Police25531717:63-4618

          Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Premier League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation