Result
3:0
04/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Hi! Sports |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 1 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Calzadilla L. ⚽, Ibarra J. (A),
- 20', Gonzalez Martinez J. D. (Pen),
- 25', Castaneda S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 56', Gonzalez P. 🟨,
- 59', Salomon O. ↓, Partida F. ↑,
- 64', Castaneda S. ↓, Fabio Erins ↑,
- 74', Tejeda D. ↓, Robles E. ↑,
- 75', Rojas H. ↓, Esnaider F. ↑,
- 75', Gonzalez Martinez J. D. ↓, Zaragoza A. ↑,
- 76', Calzadilla L. ↓, Bello B. ↑,
- 76', Ibarra J. ↓, Cantu E. ↑,
- 81', Wlk A. ↓, Coubert R. ↑,
- 81', Cruz D. ↓, Basulto L. ↑,
- 87', Bello B. 🟨,
- 87', Garcia Pardo M. ↓, Bermudez C. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 0, Bermudez C. ⚽,
- 90+8', 3 - 0, Coubert R. ⚽, Jimenez E. (A),
Chances of winning
Atlante
74.2% | Draw
15.8% | Tlaxcala
10% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Atlante's performance.Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Atlante - Tlaxcala Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.27 ↓
(1.35) |
5.95 ↑
(4.85) |
9.42 ↑
(7.3) |
6.4%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 3.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Tlaxcala may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Atlante is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Atlante will win today's game, with odds of 1.33.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Atlante won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:7. (average 1.7:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Atlante won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Atlante won against Tlaxcala?
Atlante has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Atlante?
Tlaxcala has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Atlante - Tlaxcala were as follows:
22.02.2025
Atlante
-
Tlaxcala
2:1
07.09.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Atlante
1:0
05.03.2024
Atlante
-
Tlaxcala
2:0
29.07.2023
Tlaxcala
-
Atlante
1:2
23.03.2023
Atlante
-
Tlaxcala
0:2
Latest results of Atlante
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Cancun | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 17:4 | 13 | 22 |
| 2 | Tampico Madero | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 14:8 | 6 | 20 |
| 3 | Atlante | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 21:8 | 13 | 19 |
| 4 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 19:11 | 8 | 17 |
| 5 | Irapuato | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 17 |
| 6 | Leones Negros | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14:12 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Atletico La Paz | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 1 | 12 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:19 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | Tapatio | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 10 | Venados | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 22:24 | -2 | 11 |
| 11 | Atl. Morelia | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 12 | Zacatecas Mineros | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 10 |
| 13 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11:19 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 | Correcaminos | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 14:27 | -13 | 6 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 6:20 | -14 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
