Result
1:1
18/03/2026 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 1 - 0, Christian ⚽, Figueroa F. (A),
- 31', Figueroa F. ↓, Robles E. ↑,
- 35', Silva J. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Ibarra J. ⚽, Meza H. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 64', Blanco J. ↓, Hernandez E. ↑,
- 68', Ibarra J. ↓, Garcia Pardo M. ↑,
- 76', Pizzuto E. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
- 76', Puente L. ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
- 85', Robles E. 🟨,
- 88', Iniestra A. ↓, Macias B. ↑,
- 88', Santos E. ↓, Sanchez A. ↑,
- 88', Castillo E. ↓, Rojas H. ↑,
- 88', Calzadilla L. ↓, Gonzalez R. ↑,
- 88', Alonzo J. ↓, Charcopa J. ↑,
- 90+4', Castaneda S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Tlaxcala
21.4% | Draw
25.3% | Atlante
53.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tlaxcala has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)Atlante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tlaxcala than the current prediction. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlante than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Tlaxcala - Atlante Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.31 ↑
(3.84) |
3.65 ↑
(3.58) |
1.74 ↓
(1.88) |
8.2%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tlaxcala - Atlante?
Users Predictions:
Atlante will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 1.
- Tlaxcala has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Atlante is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Atlante is a strong favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tlaxcala won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:20. (average 0.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tlaxcala won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:10. (average 0.4:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tlaxcala won against Atlante?
Tlaxcala has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Atlante won against Tlaxcala?
Atlante has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tlaxcala - Atlante were as follows:
04.10.2025
Atlante
-
Tlaxcala
3:0
22.02.2025
Atlante
-
Tlaxcala
2:1
07.09.2024
Tlaxcala
-
Atlante
1:0
05.03.2024
Atlante
-
Tlaxcala
2:0
29.07.2023
Tlaxcala
-
Atlante
1:2
Latest results of Tlaxcala
Latest results of Atlante
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tepatitlan de Morelos ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 21:10 | 11 | 26 |
| 2 | Atl. Morelia | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Cancun | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Atletico La Paz | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 21:11 | 10 | 21 |
| 5 | Tapatio | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 27:21 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Atlante | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 19 |
| 7 | Irapuato | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 19 |
| 8 | Tlaxcala | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 19 |
| 9 | Jaiba Brava | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 18 |
| 10 | Zacatecas Mineros | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 |
| 11 | Venados | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 23:23 | 0 | 15 |
| 12 | Alebrijes Oaxaca | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 |
| 13 | Correcaminos | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:21 | -9 | 12 |
| 14 | Leones Negros | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
| 15 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 14:27 | -13 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tepatitlan de Morelos is Qualified for Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
