Yelimay Semey vs Tobol Kostanay: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Kazakh Premier League Yelimay Semey - Tobol Kostanay
05/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Premier League - Round 15
Yelimay Semey - Tobol Kostanay - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


Yelimay Semey
36.5%
Draw
29.8%
Tobol Kostanay
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 29.6% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5% 29.2% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Yelimay Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Yelimay Semey - Tobol Kostanay Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.5
    (2.8)
    3.06
    (3.12)
    2.71
    (2.46)
    9.7%
    (8.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Yelimay Semey - Tobol Kostanay?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Yelimay (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 4).
    • Yelimay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Tobol is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Yelimay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Tobol has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Yelimay won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, Yelimay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Yelimay Semey - Tobol Kostanay were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Tobol Kostanay - Yelimay Semey 1:1
    15.09.2024 Yelimay Semey - Tobol Kostanay 2:1
    06.03.2024 Tobol Kostanay - Yelimay Semey 4:2
    Latest results of Yelimay Semey
    29.06.2025 Kaisar - Yelimay Semey 1:2
    15.06.2025 Ordabasy - Yelimay Semey 1:1
    30.05.2025 Yelimay Semey - Astana 0:2
    25.05.2025 Kyzylzhar - Yelimay Semey 1:1
    Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
    29.06.2025 Tobol Kostanay - Zhenis 2:2
    25.06.2025 Tobol Kostanay - Zhenis 2:1
    21.06.2025 Tobol Kostanay - Zhetysu 2:1
    15.06.2025 Kaisar - Tobol Kostanay 1:1
    30.05.2025 Tobol Kostanay - Atyrau 5:0
    Kazakh Premier League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kairat Almaty16113234:122236
    2FC Astana15104132:151734
    3Aktobe1592424:121229
    4Tobol1384124:101428
    5Yelimay Semey1473418:12624
    6Okzhetpes1463519:20-121
    7Ordabasy1354414:12219
    8Kyzylzhar1436517:20-315
    9Zhenis1428413:14-114
    10Zhetysu Taldykorgan1427512:20-813
    11Kaisar Kyzylorda1527614:25-1113
    12Ulytau143389:20-1112
    13Turan15321012:24-1211
    14Atyrau1612139:35-265

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ First League

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