Result
2:3
05/07/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 15
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 36 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 23 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 13', 0 - 1, Vukcevic M. ⚽,
- 19', Zuev A. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 2, El Messaoudi A. ⚽, Chesnokov I. (A),
- 45+1', Koval M. 🟨,
- 45+2', Rolon K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', Muzhikov S. (Pen),
- 54', Murtazaev R. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 2, Murtazaev R. ⚽, Payruz Z. (A),
- 62', Murtazaev R. ↓, Sviridov I. ↑,
- 63', Tyulyubay A. ↓, Adambaev A. ↑,
- 63', 2 - 2, Sviridov I. ⚽, Muzhikov S. (A),
- 69', Zuev A. ↓, Zhumashev Z. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 3, Chesnokov I. ⚽, El Messaoudi A. (A),
- 71', Ndiaye P. 🟨,
- 83', El Messaoudi A. ↓, Zhagorov N. ↑,
- 84', Rolon K. ↓, Bakhtiyarov A. ↑,
- 86', Miladinovic I. 🟨,
- 90', Payruz Z. 🟨,
- 90+2', Zhumakhanov A. ↓, Nuradilov N. ↑,
- 90+4', Maicom D. 🟨,
- 90+6', Tagybergen A. ↓, Kalmyrza M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Yelimay Semey
37.7% | Draw
30% | Tobol Kostanay
32.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yelimay Semey has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)Tobol Kostanay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tobol Kostanay might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Yelimay Semey than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Yelimay Semey that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tobol Kostanay could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Yelimay Semey - Tobol Kostanay Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.43 ↓
(2.8) |
3.06 ↓
(3.12) |
2.83 ↑
(2.46) |
9.1%
(8.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Yelimay Semey - Tobol Kostanay?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Yelimay will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tobol will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Yelimay (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Yelimay (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 4).
- Yelimay has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tobol is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Yelimay may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Tobol has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Yelimay won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Yelimay won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Yelimay Semey won against Tobol Kostanay?
Yelimay Semey has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tobol Kostanay won against Yelimay Semey?
Tobol Kostanay has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Yelimay Semey - Tobol Kostanay were as follows:
30.03.2025
Tobol Kostanay
-
Yelimay Semey
1:1
15.09.2024
Yelimay Semey
-
Tobol Kostanay
2:1
06.03.2024
Tobol Kostanay
-
Yelimay Semey
4:2
Latest results of Yelimay Semey
Latest results of Tobol Kostanay
Kazakh Premier League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Astana | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41:16 | 25 | 40 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 38:14 | 24 | 40 |
| 3 | Tobol | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 30:16 | 14 | 35 |
| 4 | Aktobe | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 26:12 | 14 | 33 |
| 5 | Yelimay Semey | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 25:18 | 7 | 28 |
| 6 | Okzhetpes | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 25:24 | 1 | 28 |
| 7 | Zhenis | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | 20:16 | 4 | 24 |
| 8 | Ordabasy | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 15:13 | 2 | 23 |
| 9 | Kyzylzhar | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 19 |
| 10 | Kaisar Kyzylorda | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 18:30 | -12 | 17 |
| 11 | Zhetysu Taldykorgan | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 14:28 | -14 | 16 |
| 12 | Ulytau | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 10:24 | -14 | 13 |
| 13 | Turan | 17 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 13:33 | -20 | 11 |
| 14 | Atyrau | 18 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 10:37 | -27 | 8 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ First League
