Result
1:0 penalties
04/04/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2/J3 League - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 7', Nakayama R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Sugimoto R. 🟨,
- 66', Takeuchi T. 🟨,
- 70', Pedro Augusto 🟨,
- 72', Tanaka P. ↓, Karlsson D.M. ↑,
- 73', Nakayama R. ↓, Maeda T. ↑,
- 79', Suzuki M. ↓, Yamashita K. ↑,
- 79', Kato M. ↓, Mori T. ↑,
- 82', Shimakawa T. ↓, Takusari Y. ↑,
- 82', Sasaki K. ↓, Takano R. ↑,
- 89', Tanahashi A. ↓, Ando T. ↑,
- 89', Kato D. ↓, Pytlik K. ↑,
- Penalties (4 - 2)
- 1, Karlsson D.M. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Ando T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Yamashita K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Maeda T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Yoshida A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Yamauchi R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Kotake S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Takeuchi T. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Tochigi City
44.7% | Draw
27% | Sagamihara
28.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tochigi City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tochigi City's form might have worsened.Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sagamihara's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tochigi City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sagamihara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Tochigi City - Sagamihara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.05 ↑
(1.79) |
3.4 ↓
(3.59) |
3.24 ↓
(4.16) |
9%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, Tochigi City is a strong favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tochigi City won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 3.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Tochigi City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Tochigi City won against Sagamihara?
Tochigi City has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sagamihara won against Tochigi City?
Sagamihara has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tochigi City - Sagamihara were as follows:
29.11.2025
Sagamihara
-
Tochigi City
0:5
15.02.2025
Tochigi City
-
Sagamihara
2:1
Latest results of Tochigi City
Latest results of Sagamihara
Japan J2 J3 League Table
2026East A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vegalta Sendai | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 21:6 | 26 |
| 2 | Shonan Bellmare | 10 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 20:8 | 24 |
| 3 | Blaublitz | 10 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 22 |
| 4 | Montedio Yamagata | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 5 | Tochigi SC | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18:19 | 13 |
| 6 | Sagamihara | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18:20 | 12 |
| 7 | Vanraure | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 11:13 | 12 |
| 8 | Yokohama FC | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 17:17 | 11 |
| 9 | Tochigi City | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12:23 | 9 |
| 10 | Kusatsu | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 10:27 | 7 |
East B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Iwaki | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 18:10 | 23 |
| 2 | Kofu | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:7 | 20 |
| 3 | Omiya Ardija | 10 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 24:15 | 19 |
| 4 | Yamaga | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 23:13 | 18 |
| 5 | Gifu | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 17:13 | 18 |
| 6 | Fujieda MYFC | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 7 | Iwata | 10 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9:13 | 10 |
| 8 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 10 |
| 9 | Fukushima Utd | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15:28 | 8 |
| 10 | Nagano | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9:26 | 6 |
West A | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tokushima | 10 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 27:5 | 24 |
| 2 | Toyama | 10 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 25:15 | 21 |
| 3 | Kochi United | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19:13 | 21 |
| 4 | Albirex Niigata | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 14:12 | 16 |
| 5 | Kanazawa | 10 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:16 | 14 |
| 6 | Ehime | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Kamatamare | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7:18 | 12 |
| 8 | Osaka | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7:11 | 11 |
| 9 | Imabari | 10 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Nara Club | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 13:26 | 8 |
West B | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:7 | 27 |
| 2 | Kagoshima Utd | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 23 |
| 3 | Sagan Tosu | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 4 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 10 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 12:12 | 15 |
| 5 | Oita Trinita | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13:12 | 14 |
| 6 | Kumamoto | 10 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 7 | Reilac Shiga | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7:10 | 13 |
| 8 | Gainare Tottori | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Ryukyu | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 10:16 | 9 |
| 10 | Giravanz Kitakyushu | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8:18 | 7 |
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )
