Result
1:0
18/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 34
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.45 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (407/485) | 88% (521/590) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 1.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (407/485) | 88% (521/590) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (20/53) | 42% (15/36) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (82/114) | 75% (132/177) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 56% (5/9) | 23% (6/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.22 | 1.18 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (16/18) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 35 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | -0.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 36', 1 - 0, Taniguchi H. ⚽, Someno I. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fitzgerald M. ↓, Geria J. ↑,
- 46', Taniguchi K. ↓, Moraes ↑,
- 54', Fukuda Y. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
- 72', Someno I. ↓, Teranuma S. ↑,
- 73', Arai Y. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
- 73', Boudah A. ↓, Wakatsuki Y. ↑,
- 74', Uemura H. ↓, Hasegawa M. ↑,
- 82', Morita K. ↓, Hirakawa R. ↑,
- 82', Okumura J. ↓, Miguel ↑,
Chances of winning
Tokyo Verdy
41.6% | Draw
31.9% | Albirex Niigata
26.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Tokyo Verdy - Albirex Niigata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.14) |
2.96 ↓
(3.11) |
3.58 ↓
(3.66) |
5.5%
(6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Albirex Niigata?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Tokyo Verdy will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 3.
- Tokyo Verdy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Niigata has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Tokyo Verdy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tokyo Verdy could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G.
(Knee Injury)
Yamami H.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes
(Knee Injury)
Hoshi Y.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.7:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Albirex Niigata?
Tokyo Verdy has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Tokyo Verdy?
Albirex Niigata has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Albirex Niigata were as follows:
21.05.2025
Albirex Niigata
-
Tokyo Verdy
0:2
08.03.2025
Albirex Niigata
-
Tokyo Verdy
2:2
23.10.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Tokyo Verdy
0:2
16.03.2024
Tokyo Verdy
-
Albirex Niigata
2:2
15.10.2022
Tokyo Verdy
-
Albirex Niigata
1:0
Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 55:30 | 25 | 70 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 56:33 | 23 | 69 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 36 | 17 | 11 | 8 | 59:40 | 19 | 62 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 42:26 | 16 | 62 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 45:30 | 15 | 62 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 36 | 15 | 12 | 9 | 66:51 | 15 | 57 |
| 7 | Machida | 36 | 16 | 9 | 11 | 49:36 | 13 | 57 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 36 | 14 | 11 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 40:47 | -7 | 48 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 45 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 14 | Verdy | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 43 |
| 15 | Okayama | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 42 |
| 16 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 42:44 | -2 | 40 |
| 17 | Nagoya Grampus | 36 | 10 | 10 | 16 | 42:53 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 24:43 | -19 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 34:61 | -27 | 29 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata ✔ | 36 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 34:63 | -29 | 23 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
