Tokyo Verdy vs Albirex Niigata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo).

J1 League - Round 34
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.56	1.45
Ball Possession
44%	56%
Total shots
6	15
Shots on target
3	2
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
1	6
Passes
84% (407/485)	88% (521/590)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.56	1.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.81	0.16
Total shots
6	15
Shots on target
3	2
Shots off target
1	6
Blocked Shots
2	7
Shots inside the Box
5	8
Shots outside the Box
1	7
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
1	6
Touches in opposition box
20	22
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
4	7
Passes
84% (407/485)	88% (521/590)
Long passes
38% (20/53)	42% (15/36)
Passes in final third
72% (82/114)	75% (132/177)
Crosses
56% (5/9)	23% (6/26)
Expected assists (xA)
1.22	1.18
Throw-ins
14	21
Fouls
7	4
Tackles
89% (16/18)	65% (11/17)
Duels won
47	38
Clearances
35	12
Interceptions
16	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.16	0.81
Goals prevented
0.16	-0.19

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
36', 1 - 0, Taniguchi H. ⚽, Someno I. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fitzgerald M. ↓, Geria J. ↑,
46', Taniguchi K. ↓, Moraes ↑,
54', Fukuda Y. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
72', Someno I. ↓, Teranuma S. ↑,
73', Arai Y. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
73', Boudah A. ↓, Wakatsuki Y. ↑,
74', Uemura H. ↓, Hasegawa M. ↑,
82', Morita K. ↓, Hirakawa R. ↑,
82', Okumura J. ↓, Miguel ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tokyo Verdy
41.6%

Draw
31.9%

Albirex Niigata
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

30.3%

25.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.3%

30.8%

26.1%

Tokyo Verdy - Albirex Niigata Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.14)	2.96 ↓ (3.11)	3.58 ↓ (3.66)	5.5% (6.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Albirex Niigata?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Tokyo Verdy will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 3.
Tokyo Verdy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Niigata has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Tokyo Verdy may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Tokyo Verdy could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes (Knee Injury) Hoshi Y. (Knee Injury)
In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:27. (average 1.7:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:10. (average 1.7:1.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Albirex Niigata?

Tokyo Verdy has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Tokyo Verdy?

Albirex Niigata has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Albirex Niigata were as follows:

21.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo Verdy 0:2

08.03.2025 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo Verdy 2:2

23.10.2024 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo Verdy 0:2

16.03.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Albirex Niigata 2:2

15.10.2022 Tokyo Verdy - Albirex Niigata 1:0

Latest results of Tokyo Verdy

03.10.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Verdy 0:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Urawa Red Diamonds 0:0 ✺

23.09.2025 Vissel Kobe - Tokyo Verdy 4:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Fagiano Okayama 4:2 ✺

15.09.2025 Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Albirex Niigata

04.10.2025 Albirex Niigata - Fagiano Okayama 1:1 ✺

27.09.2025 Gamba Osaka - Albirex Niigata 4:2 ✺

23.09.2025 Albirex Niigata - Nagoya Grampus 0:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Yokohama FC - Albirex Niigata 1:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Albirex Niigata - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	38	23	7	8	58:31	27	76
2	Kashiwa Reysol	38	21	12	5	60:34	26	75
3	Kyoto	38	19	11	8	62:40	22	68
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	38	20	8	10	46:28	18	68
5	Vissel Kobe	38	18	10	10	46:33	13	64
6	Machida	38	17	9	12	52:38	14	60
7	Urawa Reds	38	16	11	11	45:39	6	59
8	Kawasaki Frontale	38	15	12	11	67:57	10	57
9	Gamba Osaka	38	17	6	15	53:55	-2	57
10	Cerezo Osaka	38	14	10	14	60:57	3	52
11	FC Tokyo	38	13	11	14	41:48	-7	50
12	Avispa Fukuoka	38	12	12	14	34:38	-4	48
13	Okayama	38	12	9	17	34:43	-9	45
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	38	11	11	16	41:51	-10	44
15	Yokohama F. Marinos	38	12	7	19	46:47	-1	43
16	Nagoya Grampus	38	11	10	17	44:56	-12	43
17	Verdy	38	11	10	17	23:41	-18	43
18	Yokohama FC	38	9	8	21	27:45	-18	35
19	Shonan Bellmare	38	8	8	22	36:63	-27	32
20	Albirex Niigata	38	4	12	22	36:67	-31	24

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League