Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | QQ Sports |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.86 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (464/564) | 74% (255/345) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.86 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.18 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (464/564) | 74% (255/345) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (24/62) | 25% (14/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 74% (129/174) | 67% (56/84) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (8/32) | 8% (1/12) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.37 | 0.15 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 67% (14/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.18 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | -1.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Arai Y. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
- 46', Someno I. ↓, Kimura Y. ↑,
- 55', Saito K. ↓, Yamami H. ↑,
- 62', Tsunashima Y. ↓, Suzuki K. ↑,
- 63', Matsuhashi Y. 🟨,
- 68', Maeda N. ↓, Germain V. ↑,
- 73', Hirakawa R. ↓, Inami T. ↑,
- 77', 0 - 1, Kimura Y. (Pen),
- 79', Arai N. ↓, Suga D. ↑,
- 84', Higashi S. ↓, Koshimichi S. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Germain V. ⚽, Araki H. (A),
- 89', 2 - 1, Kawabe H. ⚽, Araki H. (A),
Chances of winning
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
51.6% | Draw
28.7% | Tokyo Verdy
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↑
(1.74) |
3.27 ↓
(3.45) |
4.83 ↓
(5.04) |
6.1%
(6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 57.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 14).
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- In this match, Hiroshima is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T.
(Knee Injury)
Nakajima Y.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Hayashi N.
(Injury)
Sako M.
(Knee Injury)
Yamada G.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Hiroshima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Tokyo Verdy?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Tokyo Verdy has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:
07.08.2024
Tokyo Verdy
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0:1
15.06.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Tokyo Verdy
4:1
22.05.2024
Tokyo Verdy
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2:3
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 25 | 15 | 2 | 8 | 37:24 | 13 | 47 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 35:23 | 12 | 47 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 34:24 | 10 | 46 |
| 4 | Kyoto | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 42:30 | 12 | 45 |
| 5 | Machida | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 36:25 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 29:18 | 11 | 43 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 34:25 | 9 | 41 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 40:31 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Cerezo Osaka | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 40:34 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 26:25 | 1 | 35 |
| 11 | Gamba Osaka | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 29:34 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Okayama | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 23:22 | 1 | 33 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29:32 | -3 | 31 |
| 14 | Verdy | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 16:24 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | FC Tokyo | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 27:35 | -8 | 29 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:35 | -6 | 28 |
| 17 | Shonan Bellmare | 25 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 20:39 | -19 | 24 |
| 18 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 23:33 | -10 | 21 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 15:32 | -17 | 19 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 25:44 | -19 | 19 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
