Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo).

J1 League - Round 27
Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Canal GOAT
China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan, NHK BS1

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.52	1.05
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
18	14
Shots on target
6	4
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
10	5
Passes
80% (390/485)	71% (237/335)
Yellow Cards
3	0
Expected Goals (xG)
1.52	1.05
xG on target (xGOT)
2.14	1.68
Total shots
18	14
Shots on target
6	4
Shots off target
4	7
Blocked Shots
8	3
Shots inside the Box
12	10
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
1	3
Corner Kicks
10	5
Touches in opposition box
38	26
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free Kicks
9	12
Passes
80% (390/485)	71% (237/335)
Long passes
27% (12/44)	47% (30/64)
Passes in final third
73% (99/136)	52% (56/107)
Crosses
27% (6/22)	44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.88	0.90
Throw-ins
26	22
Fouls
12	9
Tackles
67% (6/9)	79% (15/19)
Duels won
51	64
Clearances
31	35
Interceptions
3	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
1.68	2.14
Goals prevented
-1.32	2.14

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Nakano S. ⚽,
12', Someno I. 🟨,
28', Taniguchi H. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Germain V. ↓, Germain R. ↑,
60', Kinoshita K. ↓, Kawabe H. ↑,
62', 0 - 2, Nakamura S. ⚽, Germain R. (A),
66', Fukuda Y. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
77', Someno I. ↓, Shirai R. ↑,
77', Saito K. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
77', Kim Ju-Sung ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
80', Hirakawa R. 🟨,
83', 0 - 3, Arai N. ⚽,
86', Inoue R. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
87', Nakamura S. ↓, Marcos Junior ↑,
87', Arai N. ↓, Koshimichi S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tokyo Verdy
21.3%

Draw
28.4%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.8%

25.9%

53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3%

25.2%

54.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.67 ↑ (4.44)	3.43 ↓ (3.56)	1.89 ↑ (1.73)	3.4% (8.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6).
Tokyo Verdy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Hiroshima is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
In this match, Hiroshima is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury) Sasaki S. (Red Card)
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1:2.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?

Tokyo Verdy has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Tokyo Verdy?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:

17.05.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy 2:1

07.08.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1

15.06.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy 4:1

22.05.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:3

Latest results of Tokyo Verdy

16.08.2025 Kyoto Sanga - Tokyo Verdy 1:0 ✺

13.08.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Nagoya Grampus 1:2 ✺

09.08.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺

20.07.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Machida Zelvia 0:1 ✺

16.07.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Sagan Tosu 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima

20.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Vissel Kobe 0:1 ✺

16.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Gamba Osaka 1:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:0 ✺

06.08.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Shimizu S-Pulse 3:0 ✺

20.07.2025 Albirex Niigata - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	34	20	6	8	52:28	24	66
2	Kashiwa Reysol	34	17	12	5	53:33	20	63
3	Kyoto	34	17	10	7	58:36	22	61
4	Vissel Kobe	34	18	7	9	43:28	15	61
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	34	17	8	9	39:23	16	59
6	Kawasaki Frontale	34	15	11	8	65:48	17	56
7	Machida	34	16	8	10	49:35	14	56
8	Urawa Reds	34	14	10	10	40:36	4	52
9	Gamba Osaka	34	15	5	14	46:52	-6	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	34	12	10	12	52:50	2	46
11	FC Tokyo	34	11	9	14	36:46	-10	42
12	Verdy	34	11	9	14	22:35	-13	42
13	Avispa Fukuoka	34	10	11	13	32:37	-5	41
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	34	10	11	13	38:44	-6	41
15	Okayama	34	11	8	15	30:37	-7	41
16	Nagoya Grampus	34	10	10	14	42:50	-8	40
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	34	9	7	18	36:44	-8	34
18	Yokohama FC	34	8	8	18	23:39	-16	32
19	Shonan Bellmare	34	6	8	20	29:58	-29	26
20	Albirex Niigata	34	4	10	20	30:56	-26	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League