Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy
Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.86
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
134
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
82% (464/564)74% (255/345)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.86
xG on target (xGOT)
0.181.01
Total shots
134
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
10
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
3710
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
148
Passes
82% (464/564)74% (255/345)
Long passes
39% (24/62)25% (14/55)
Passes in final third
74% (129/174)67% (56/84)
Crosses
25% (8/32)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.15
Throw-ins
3221
Fouls
814
Tackles
90% (9/10)67% (14/21)
Duels won
6053
Clearances
1135
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.010.18
Goals prevented
0.01-1.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Arai Y. , Matsuhashi Y. ,
  • 46', Someno I. , Kimura Y. ,
  • 55', Saito K. , Yamami H. ,
  • 62', Tsunashima Y. , Suzuki K. ,
  • 63', Matsuhashi Y. 🟨,
  • 68', Maeda N. , Germain V. ,
  • 73', Hirakawa R. , Inami T. ,
  • 77', 0 - 1, Kimura Y. (Pen),
  • 79', Arai N. , Suga D. ,
  • 84', Higashi S. , Koshimichi S. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Germain V. , Araki H. (A),
  • 89', 2 - 1, Kawabe H. , Araki H. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sanfrecce Hiroshima
51.6%
Draw
28.7%
Tokyo Verdy
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 27.2% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 26.7% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.74)
    3.27
    (3.45)
    4.83
    (5.04)
    6.1%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 57.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 14).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Hiroshima is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury) Nakajima Y. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Hayashi N. (Injury) Sako M. (Knee Injury) Yamada G. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Hiroshima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:
    07.08.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1
    15.06.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy 4:1
    22.05.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:3
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds23107632:24837
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

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