Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
23/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanAbemaTV, DAZN Japan, NHK BS1

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.521.05
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
105
Passes
80% (390/485)71% (237/335)
Yellow Cards
30
Expected Goals (xG)
1.521.05
xG on target (xGOT)
2.141.68
Total shots
1814
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
83
Shots inside the Box
1210
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
11
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
105
Touches in opposition box
3826
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
912
Passes
80% (390/485)71% (237/335)
Long passes
27% (12/44)47% (30/64)
Passes in final third
73% (99/136)52% (56/107)
Crosses
27% (6/22)44% (7/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.90
Throw-ins
2622
Fouls
129
Tackles
67% (6/9)79% (15/19)
Duels won
5164
Clearances
3135
Interceptions
32
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
1.682.14
Goals prevented
-1.322.14

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Nakano S. ,
  • 12', Someno I. 🟨,
  • 28', Taniguchi H. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Germain V. , Germain R. ,
  • 60', Kinoshita K. , Kawabe H. ,
  • 62', 0 - 2, Nakamura S. , Germain R. (A),
  • 66', Fukuda Y. , Matsuhashi Y. ,
  • 77', Someno I. , Shirai R. ,
  • 77', Saito K. , Kawasaki S. ,
  • 77', Kim Ju-Sung , Higashi S. ,
  • 80', Hirakawa R. 🟨,
  • 83', 0 - 3, Arai N. ,
  • 86', Inoue R. , Toyama S. ,
  • 87', Nakamura S. , Marcos Junior ,
  • 87', Arai N. , Koshimichi S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tokyo Verdy
21.3%
Draw
28.4%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
50.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.8% 25.9% 53.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.3% 25.2% 54.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
  • Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.67
    (4.44)
    3.43
    (3.56)
    1.89
    (1.73)
    3.4%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +0.5 - Tokyo Verdy (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 77.83%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Hiroshima (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6).
    • Tokyo Verdy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hiroshima is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Hiroshima is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G. (Knee Injury) Yamami H. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury) Sasaki S. (Red Card)
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
    17.05.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy 2:1
    07.08.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1
    15.06.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy 4:1
    22.05.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:3
    Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Japan J1 League Table
    2026

    East
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kashima Antlers9702016:723
    2FC Tokyo10432116:920
    3Machida10431216:1619
    4Kawasaki Frontale9321316:1714
    5Verdy9320414:1413
    6Kashiwa Reysol9310515:1311
    7Urawa Reds9302413:1311
    8Mito9123311:1810
    9Yokohama F. Marinos9300612:159
    10Chiba920259:168


    West
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vissel Kobe10612120:1022
    2Gamba Osaka9332116:1317
    3Nagoya Grampus9412215:1216
    4Shimizu S-Pulse10323214:1216
    5Kyoto9321312:1114
    6V-Varen Nagasaki9400510:1412
    7Sanfrecce Hiroshima9310513:1311
    8Cerezo Osaka922149:1111
    9Okayama9213310:1511
    10Avispa Fukuoka912159:178

          Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
          Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)