Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokyo Verdy: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Japan J1 League Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy
Result
2:1
17/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : J1 League - Round 17
Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.86
Ball Possession
62%38%
Total shots
134
Shots on target
32
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
82% (464/564)74% (255/345)
Yellow Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.86
xG on target (xGOT)
0.181.01
Total shots
134
Shots on target
32
Shots off target
51
Blocked Shots
51
Shots inside the Box
124
Shots outside the Box
10
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
3710
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
148
Passes
82% (464/564)74% (255/345)
Long passes
39% (24/62)25% (14/55)
Passes in final third
74% (129/174)67% (56/84)
Crosses
25% (8/32)8% (1/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.370.15
Throw-ins
3221
Fouls
814
Tackles
90% (9/10)67% (14/21)
Duels won
6053
Clearances
1135
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
1.010.18
Goals prevented
0.01-1.82

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Arai Y. , Matsuhashi Y. ,
  • 46', Someno I. , Kimura Y. ,
  • 55', Saito K. , Yamami H. ,
  • 62', Tsunashima Y. , Suzuki K. ,
  • 63', Matsuhashi Y. 🟨,
  • 68', Maeda N. , Germain V. ,
  • 73', Hirakawa R. , Inami T. ,
  • 77', 0 - 1, Kimura Y. (Pen),
  • 79', Arai N. , Suga D. ,
  • 84', Higashi S. , Koshimichi S. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Germain V. , Araki H. (A),
  • 89', 2 - 1, Kawabe H. , Araki H. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sanfrecce Hiroshima
51.6%
Draw
28.7%
Tokyo Verdy
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 27.2% 18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.1% 26.7% 18.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.74)
    3.27
    (3.45)
    4.83
    (5.04)
    6.1%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Hiroshima will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Tokyo Verdy will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Hiroshima: 57.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 5 and 14).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Hiroshima is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T. (Knee Injury) Nakajima Y. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Hayashi N. (Injury) Sako M. (Knee Injury) Yamada G. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Hiroshima won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2.7:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Hiroshima won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy were as follows:
    07.08.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0:1
    15.06.2024 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo Verdy 4:1
    22.05.2024 Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2:3
    Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
    Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers22132732:201241
    2Kashiwa Reysol22118330:201041
    3Vissel Kobe22124628:21740
    4Kyoto22115636:261038
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima22113826:18836
    6Kawasaki Frontale2298535:231235
    7Urawa Reds2197526:20634
    8Machida22104830:25534
    9Cerezo Osaka2296734:29533
    10Okayama2286819:19030
    11Avispa Fukuoka2286819:21-230
    12Gamba Osaka22841026:30-428
    13Nagoya Grampus2276928:30-227
    14Shimizu S-Pulse2276927:29-227
    15Verdy2276915:23-827
    16FC Tokyo22751024:31-726
    17Shonan Bellmare21651016:26-1023
    18Yokohama FC22541314:27-1319
    19Albirex Niigata22471123:37-1419
    20Yokohama F. Marinos22361319:32-1315

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

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