Result
0:3
23/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Canal GOAT |
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | AbemaTV, DAZN Japan, NHK BS1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (390/485) | 71% (237/335) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.52 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.14 | 1.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (390/485) | 71% (237/335) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 27% (12/44) | 47% (30/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (99/136) | 52% (56/107) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (6/22) | 44% (7/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.90 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 79% (15/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 64 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 31 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.68 | 2.14 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.32 | 2.14 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Nakano S. ⚽,
- 12', Someno I. 🟨,
- 28', Taniguchi H. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 46', Germain V. ↓, Germain R. ↑,
- 60', Kinoshita K. ↓, Kawabe H. ↑,
- 62', 0 - 2, Nakamura S. ⚽, Germain R. (A),
- 66', Fukuda Y. ↓, Matsuhashi Y. ↑,
- 77', Someno I. ↓, Shirai R. ↑,
- 77', Saito K. ↓, Kawasaki S. ↑,
- 77', Kim Ju-Sung ↓, Higashi S. ↑,
- 80', Hirakawa R. 🟨,
- 83', 0 - 3, Arai N. ⚽,
- 86', Inoue R. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
- 87', Nakamura S. ↓, Marcos Junior ↑,
- 87', Arai N. ↓, Koshimichi S. ↑,
Chances of winning
Tokyo Verdy
21.3% | Draw
28.4% | Sanfrecce Hiroshima
50.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo Verdy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Sanfrecce Hiroshima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo Verdy than the current prediction. (-1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sanfrecce Hiroshima than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.67 ↑
(4.44) |
3.43 ↓
(3.56) |
1.89 ↑
(1.73) |
3.4%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Hiroshima (votes: 2 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.5 - Tokyo Verdy (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Tokyo Verdy (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Hiroshima (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 14 and 6).
- Tokyo Verdy has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Hiroshima is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Hiroshima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
- In this match, Hiroshima is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Tokyo Verdy: Yamada G.
(Knee Injury)
Yamami H.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Hiroshima: Arslan T.
(Knee Injury)
Sasaki S.
(Red Card)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tokyo Verdy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:10. (average 1:2.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo Verdy won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo Verdy won against Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Tokyo Verdy has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sanfrecce Hiroshima won against Tokyo Verdy?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima has won 4 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo Verdy - Sanfrecce Hiroshima were as follows:
17.05.2025
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Tokyo Verdy
2:1
07.08.2024
Tokyo Verdy
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0:1
15.06.2024
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
-
Tokyo Verdy
4:1
22.05.2024
Tokyo Verdy
-
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2:3
Latest results of Tokyo Verdy
Latest results of Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Verdy | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 7 |
| 3 | Urawa Reds | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 7 |
| 5 | Machida | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:7 | 6 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 5 |
| 7 | Mito | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5:7 | 3 |
| 8 | Chiba | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1:5 | 2 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:6 | 0 |
| 10 | Kashiwa Reysol | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4:9 | 0 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 8 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 6 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 5 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 5 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 4 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | 4 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | 3 |
| 9 | Okayama | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3:6 | 2 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | 2 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
