Albirex Niigata vs Tokyo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Tokyo
Result
2:3
03/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.171.41
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
32
Passes
88% (465/531)84% (394/468)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.171.41
xG on target (xGOT)
1.212.58
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
87
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
57
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
32
Touches in opposition box
2914
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
79
Passes
88% (465/531)84% (394/468)
Long passes
59% (30/51)36% (20/55)
Passes in final third
75% (72/96)75% (109/146)
Crosses
36% (8/22)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.690.85
Throw-ins
2126
Fouls
97
Tackles
75% (15/20)60% (6/10)
Duels won
4537
Clearances
2319
Interceptions
1411
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
2.581.21
Goals prevented
-0.42-0.79

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Marcelo Ryan , Sato K. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 52', 0 - 2, Koizumi K. , Doi K. (A),
  • 58', Ono Y. , Kasai K. ,
  • 58', Komi Y. , Danilo Gomes ,
  • 59', Endo K. , Anzai S. ,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Hasegawa M. ,
  • 66', Akiyama H. , Takagi Y. ,
  • 67', Horigome Y. , Hashimoto K. ,
  • 72', Ko T. , Shirai K. ,
  • 74', Sato K. , Nakagawa T. ,
  • 82', 1 - 3, Marcelo Ryan , Shirai K. (A),
  • 85', Okumura J. , Miguel ,
  • 85', Arai T. , Hoshi Y. ,
  • 85', Henrique Trevisan , Oka T. ,
  • 86', Hashimoto K. , Tokiwa K. ,
  • 86', Tawaratsumida K. , Nozawa L. ,
  • 90+6', Fujiwara S. 🟨,
  • 90+9', 2 - 3, Danilo Gomes , Kasai K. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
39.8%
Draw
29.9%
Tokyo
30.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.2% 27.9% 27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 27.9% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • Albirex Niigata - Tokyo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.13)
    3.16
    (3.37)
    3.1
    (3.39)
    6.5%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Tokyo?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tokyo will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 0.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Niigata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Niigata could have a small edge in this match.
    • There are questionable in Tokyo: Baek I. (Hamstring Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:32. (average 0.7:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.4:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Tokyo were as follows:
    13.07.2024 Tokyo - Albirex Niigata 2:0
    27.04.2024 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo 1:3
    11.11.2023 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo 0:0
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Tokyo
    29.04.2025 Tokyo - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:2
    25.04.2025 Tokyo - Gamba Osaka 3:0
    20.04.2025 Cerezo Osaka - Tokyo 1:1
    16.04.2025 Omiya Ardija - Tokyo 1:3
    11.04.2025 Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol 1:1
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers32204852:282464
    2Vissel Kobe32186843:271660
    3Kyoto32178756:342259
    4Kashiwa Reysol321512547:331457
    5Machida32167948:331555
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima32167937:221555
    7Kawasaki Frontale321410859:441552
    8Urawa Reds321310939:32749
    9Gamba Osaka321541346:47-149
    10Cerezo Osaka3211101149:47243
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3210101234:38-440
    12Okayama321171428:34-640
    13FC Tokyo321171435:45-1040
    14Avispa Fukuoka329101331:37-637
    15Nagoya Grampus32991438:47-936
    16Verdy32991420:35-1536
    17Yokohama F. Marinos32871732:43-1131
    18Yokohama FC32871721:36-1531
    19Shonan Bellmare32671928:56-2825
    20Albirex Niigata32491929:54-2521

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League