Tokyo vs Albirex Niigata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

06/12/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo).

J1 League - Round 38
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.14	0.61
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
2	3
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
7	4
Passes
83% (425/511)	79% (334/421)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.14	0.61
xG on target (xGOT)
0.63	0.64
Total shots
16	12
Shots on target
2	3
Shots off target
9	4
Blocked Shots
5	5
Shots inside the Box
9	6
Shots outside the Box
7	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
2	0
Corner Kicks
7	4
Touches in opposition box
24	17
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	1
Free Kicks
19	7
Passes
83% (425/511)	79% (334/421)
Long passes
50% (21/42)	47% (26/55)
Passes in final third
69% (105/153)	67% (78/116)
Crosses
27% (7/26)	33% (3/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.73	0.41
Throw-ins
22	14
Fouls
7	19
Tackles
60% (9/15)	50% (9/18)
Duels won
55	40
Clearances
17	39
Interceptions
15	14
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	1
xGOT faced
0.64	0.63
Goals prevented
-0.36	-0.37

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Moraes ⚽, Hasegawa M. (A),
33', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Endo K. ⚽, Koizumi K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Muroya S. 🟨,
72', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
73', Anzai S. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
73', Moraes ↓, Okumura J. ↑,
73', Kasai K. ↓, Arai T. ↑,
85', Fitzgerald M. ↓, Chiba K. ↑,
88', Sato K. ↓, Nagakura M. ↑,
88', Endo K. ↓, Marcos Guilherme ↑,
89', Nagatomo Y. ↓, Shirai K. ↑,
90+2', Shirai E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tokyo
55.9%

Draw
24.7%

Albirex Niigata
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

25%

21.2%

Tokyo - Albirex Niigata Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.75)	3.82 ↑ (3.76)	4.88 ↑ (4.43)	6% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Tokyo - Albirex Niigata?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Tokyo will win (15 of 15 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 11 and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 4.
Tokyo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Recently, Tokyo has had a series of away games.
In this match, Tokyo is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Hashimoto K. (Calf Injury) Tawaratsumida K. (Inactive)
There will not play in Niigata: Danilo Gomes (Knee Injury) Hoshi Y. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 15 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 35:15. (average 1.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:9. (average 1.6:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Albirex Niigata?

Tokyo has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Tokyo?

Albirex Niigata has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Albirex Niigata were as follows:

03.05.2025 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo 2:3

13.07.2024 Tokyo - Albirex Niigata 2:0

27.04.2024 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo 1:3

11.11.2023 Albirex Niigata - Tokyo 0:0

Latest results of Tokyo

30.11.2025 Vissel Kobe - Tokyo 0:0 ✺

15.11.2025 Machida Zelvia - Tokyo 2:0 ✺

09.11.2025 Machida Zelvia - Tokyo 0:1 ✺

25.10.2025 Tokyo - Fagiano Okayama 3:1 ✺

17.10.2025 Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Tokyo 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Albirex Niigata

30.11.2025 Albirex Niigata - Kashiwa Reysol 1:3 ✺

08.11.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Albirex Niigata 5:2 ✺

26.10.2025 Albirex Niigata - Vissel Kobe 2:2 ✺

18.10.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Albirex Niigata 1:0 ✺

04.10.2025 Albirex Niigata - Fagiano Okayama 1:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	38	23	7	8	58:31	27	76
2	Kashiwa Reysol	38	21	12	5	60:34	26	75
3	Kyoto	38	19	11	8	62:40	22	68
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	38	20	8	10	46:28	18	68
5	Vissel Kobe	38	18	10	10	46:33	13	64
6	Machida	38	17	9	12	52:38	14	60
7	Urawa Reds	38	16	11	11	45:39	6	59
8	Kawasaki Frontale	38	15	12	11	67:57	10	57
9	Gamba Osaka	38	17	6	15	53:55	-2	57
10	Cerezo Osaka	38	14	10	14	60:57	3	52
11	FC Tokyo	38	13	11	14	41:48	-7	50
12	Avispa Fukuoka	38	12	12	14	34:38	-4	48
13	Okayama	38	12	9	17	34:43	-9	45
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	38	11	11	16	41:51	-10	44
15	Yokohama F. Marinos	38	12	7	19	46:47	-1	43
16	Nagoya Grampus	38	11	10	17	44:56	-12	43
17	Verdy	38	11	10	17	23:41	-18	43
18	Yokohama FC	38	9	8	21	27:45	-18	35
19	Shonan Bellmare	38	8	8	22	36:63	-27	32
20	Albirex Niigata	38	4	12	22	36:67	-31	24

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League