Result
2:3
03/05/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | QQ Sports |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (465/531) | 84% (394/468) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.41 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 2.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (465/531) | 84% (394/468) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (30/51) | 36% (20/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (72/96) | 75% (109/146) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (8/22) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 0.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (15/20) | 60% (6/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 45 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.58 | 1.21 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | -0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Sato K. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 52', 0 - 2, Koizumi K. ⚽, Doi K. (A),
- 58', Ono Y. ↓, Kasai K. ↑,
- 58', Komi Y. ↓, Danilo Gomes ↑,
- 59', Endo K. ↓, Anzai S. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 2, Hasegawa M. ⚽,
- 66', Akiyama H. ↓, Takagi Y. ↑,
- 67', Horigome Y. ↓, Hashimoto K. ↑,
- 72', Ko T. ↓, Shirai K. ↑,
- 74', Sato K. ↓, Nakagawa T. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 3, Marcelo Ryan ⚽, Shirai K. (A),
- 85', Okumura J. ↓, Miguel ↑,
- 85', Arai T. ↓, Hoshi Y. ↑,
- 85', Henrique Trevisan ↓, Oka T. ↑,
- 86', Hashimoto K. ↓, Tokiwa K. ↑,
- 86', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
- 90+6', Fujiwara S. 🟨,
- 90+9', 2 - 3, Danilo Gomes ⚽, Kasai K. (A),
Chances of winning
Albirex Niigata
39.8% | Draw
29.9% | Tokyo
30.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Albirex Niigata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Albirex Niigata - Tokyo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.13) |
3.16 ↓
(3.37) |
3.1 ↓
(3.39) |
6.5%
(6.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Tokyo?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tokyo will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 0.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Niigata may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Niigata could have a small edge in this match.
- There are questionable in Tokyo: Baek I.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niigata won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 13:32. (average 0.7:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Niigata won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 4:14. (average 0.4:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Albirex Niigata won against Tokyo?
Albirex Niigata has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Albirex Niigata?
Tokyo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Tokyo were as follows:
13.07.2024
Tokyo
-
Albirex Niigata
2:0
27.04.2024
Albirex Niigata
-
Tokyo
1:3
11.11.2023
Albirex Niigata
-
Tokyo
0:0
Latest results of Albirex Niigata
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:30 | 22 | 54 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 53 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 53 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 41:27 | 14 | 52 |
| 5 | Machida | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 50 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 34:20 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 39:30 | 9 | 47 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 50:38 | 12 | 45 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 40 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 42:39 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Okayama | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Verdy | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Tokyo | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 31 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 29 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:35 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:47 | -21 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 18:35 | -17 | 23 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27:48 | -21 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
