Kawasaki Frontale vs Tokyo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium (Kawasaki).

J1 League - Round 30
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.70	1.08
Ball Possession
59%	41%
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
3	3
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	2
Passes
87% (443/512)	79% (287/364)
Yellow Cards
1	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70	1.08
xG on target (xGOT)
0.29	0.75
Total shots
13	11
Shots on target
3	3
Shots off target
7	6
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
6	8
Shots outside the Box
7	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
2	2
Corner Kicks
6	2
Touches in opposition box
26	23
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
2	4
Free Kicks
15	11
Passes
87% (443/512)	79% (287/364)
Long passes
54% (22/41)	38% (19/50)
Passes in final third
70% (95/135)	62% (46/74)
Crosses
14% (4/28)	57% (4/7)
Expected assists (xA)
0.74	0.98
Throw-ins
16	11
Fouls
11	15
Tackles
71% (5/7)	30% (7/23)
Duels won
40	51
Clearances
8	42
Interceptions
5	5
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
0.75	0.29
Goals prevented
-0.25	-0.71

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Endo K. ⚽, Nagakura M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Romanic L. ↓, Wakizaka Y. ↑,
59', Doi K. 🟨,
63', Nakagawa T. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
76', Marcinho 🟨,
79', Kawahara S. ↓, Tachibanada K. ↑,
79', Marcinho ↓, Miyagi T. ↑,
79', Ito T. ↓, Ienaga A. ↑,
81', Ko T. ↓, Koizumi K. ↑,
81', Marcos Guilherme ↓, Tawaratsumida K. ↑,
84', Erison ↓, Kobayashi Y. ↑,
85', Endo K. ↓, Muroya S. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Kawasaki Frontale
51.6%

Draw
24.1%

Tokyo
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

25.2%

28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3%

24.2%

27.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kawasaki Frontale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kawasaki Frontale's performance.

Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kawasaki Frontale than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+3%)

Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.06)	3.93 ↑ (3.79)	3.93 ↑ (3.37)	5.4% (4.6%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo?

Users Predictions: Kawasaki Frontale will win (21 of 21 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Kawasaki Frontale will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 14).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 4.
Kawasaki has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Tokyo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Tokyo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Kawasaki is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Kawasaki: Kurumaya S. (Calf Injury) Lee G. (Knee Injury) Maruyama Y. (Knee Injury) Oshima R. (Calf Injury)
There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Marcelo Ryan (Yellow Cards) Shirai K. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Tokyo: Ogashiwa T. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kawasaki won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:16. (average 2:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Kawasaki won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.1:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Kawasaki Frontale won against Tokyo?

Kawasaki Frontale has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Kawasaki Frontale?

Tokyo has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo were as follows:

29.03.2025 Tokyo - Kawasaki Frontale 0:3

11.08.2024 Tokyo - Kawasaki Frontale 0:3

30.03.2024 Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo 3:0

15.09.2023 Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo 1:0

12.05.2023 Tokyo - Kawasaki Frontale 2:1

Latest results of Kawasaki Frontale

13.09.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kawasaki Frontale 0:3 ✺

07.09.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:2 ✺

03.09.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Kawasaki Frontale 1:1 ✺

31.08.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Machida Zelvia 5:3 ✺

23.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Kawasaki Frontale 3:4 ✺

Latest results of Tokyo

15.09.2025 Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy 1:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo 1:1 ✺

27.08.2025 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1 ✺

24.08.2025 Tokyo - Kyoto Sanga 0:4 ✺

16.08.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 2:2 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	33	20	5	8	52:28	24	65
2	Kyoto	33	17	9	7	57:35	22	60
3	Kashiwa Reysol	33	16	12	5	48:33	15	60
4	Vissel Kobe	33	18	6	9	43:28	15	60
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	33	17	7	9	39:23	16	58
6	Machida	33	16	7	10	49:35	14	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	33	14	11	8	60:45	15	53
8	Urawa Reds	33	14	10	9	40:32	8	52
9	Gamba Osaka	33	15	5	13	46:47	-1	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	33	11	10	12	50:49	1	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	33	10	11	12	35:39	-4	41
12	Okayama	33	11	8	14	29:35	-6	41
13	FC Tokyo	33	11	8	14	36:46	-10	41
14	Avispa Fukuoka	33	10	10	13	32:37	-5	40
15	Nagoya Grampus	33	10	9	14	40:48	-8	39
16	Verdy	33	10	9	14	21:35	-14	39
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	33	8	7	18	32:44	-12	31
18	Yokohama FC	33	8	7	18	21:37	-16	31
19	Shonan Bellmare	33	6	7	20	28:57	-29	25
20	Albirex Niigata	33	4	10	19	30:55	-25	22

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