Shonan Bellmare vs Tokyo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.46
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
82% (367/446)76% (271/358)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.511.03
Total shots
1611
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
54
Shots inside the Box
86
Shots outside the Box
85
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
2215
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
811
Passes
82% (367/446)76% (271/358)
Long passes
40% (17/42)45% (19/42)
Passes in final third
71% (94/133)70% (66/94)
Crosses
17% (2/12)19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.910.33
Throw-ins
2118
Fouls
118
Tackles
60% (9/15)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4946
Clearances
2225
Interceptions
1510
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
03
xGOT faced
1.031.51
Goals prevented
-0.97-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', Okuno K. 🟨,
  • 5', Ota S. 🟨,
  • 6', 0 - 1, Nagakura M. , Henrique Trevisan (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Barada A. , Onose K. ,
  • 46', Tawaratsumida K. , Everton Galdino ,
  • 52', 0 - 2, Scholz A. (Pen),
  • 57', Nakagawa T. , Marcelo Ryan ,
  • 61', Ono K. 🟨,
  • 64', Ota S. , Ishibashi S. ,
  • 66', 1 - 2, Suzuki Y. ,
  • 76', Oda Y. , Nitta R. ,
  • 76', Hiraoka T. , Ishii H. ,
  • 80', Kim Seung-Gyu 🟨,
  • 85', Tachi K. , Oiwa K. ,
  • 87', Nozawa L. , Oka T. ,
  • 90+7', 2 - 2, Suzuki A. , Onose K. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Shonan Bellmare
26.1%
Draw
27.3%
Tokyo
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.1% 26.3% 42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2% 25.6% 43.8%

Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.76
(2.97)
3.58
(3.51)
2.08
(2.17)
2.6%
(8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Tokyo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Shonan Bellmare: 16.1%74.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 17 and 15)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2.
    • Shonan Bellmare has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Tokyo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Tokyo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Tokyo has had a series of home games.
    • Tokyo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Takahashi N. (Shoulder Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Ogashiwa T. (Shoulder Injury) Shirai K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tokyo: Muroya S. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.8:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 1:0
    08.03.2025 Tokyo - Shonan Bellmare 0:0
    03.11.2024 Tokyo - Shonan Bellmare 0:2
    22.06.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 0:1
    03.12.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 0:1
    Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
    Latest results of Tokyo
    10.08.2025 Tokyo - Kashima Antlers 0:1
    06.08.2025 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 2:1
    19.07.2025 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:2
    16.07.2025 Tokyo - Oita Trinita 2:0
    05.07.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo 1:0
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers ✔ 36217855:302570
    2Kashiwa Reysol361912556:332369
    3Vissel Kobe36189946:311563
    4Kyoto361711859:401962
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima361881042:261662
    6Kawasaki Frontale361512966:511557
    7Machida361691149:361357
    8Gamba Osaka361661449:53-454
    9Urawa Reds3614111140:39153
    10Cerezo Osaka3614101258:51752
    11FC Tokyo361391440:47-748
    12Avispa Fukuoka3611121333:37-445
    13Shimizu S-Pulse3611111440:48-844
    14Verdy3611101522:36-1443
    15Okayama361191632:41-942
    16Yokohama F. Marinos361171842:44-240
    17Nagoya Grampus3610101642:53-1140
    18Yokohama FC ✔ 36882024:43-1932
    19Shonan Bellmare ✔ 36782134:61-2729
    20Albirex Niigata ✔ 364112134:63-2923

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Kashima Antlers is Qualified for AFC Champions League (League phase )
    Yokohama FC is Relegated to J2 League
    Shonan Bellmare is Relegated to J2 League
    Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League