Shonan Bellmare vs Tokyo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Lemon Gas Stadium (Hiratsuka).

J1 League - Round 26
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.08	1.46
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
3	7
Passes
82% (367/446)	76% (271/358)
Yellow Cards
3	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.08	1.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.51	1.03
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
6	5
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
8	6
Shots outside the Box
8	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
2	3
Corner Kicks
3	7
Touches in opposition box
22	15
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
8	11
Passes
82% (367/446)	76% (271/358)
Long passes
40% (17/42)	45% (19/42)
Passes in final third
71% (94/133)	70% (66/94)
Crosses
17% (2/12)	19% (4/21)
Expected assists (xA)
0.91	0.33
Throw-ins
21	18
Fouls
11	8
Tackles
60% (9/15)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
49	46
Clearances
22	25
Interceptions
15	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	3
xGOT faced
1.03	1.51
Goals prevented
-0.97	-0.49

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
3', Okuno K. 🟨,
5', Ota S. 🟨,
6', 0 - 1, Nagakura M. ⚽, Henrique Trevisan (A),
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Barada A. ↓, Onose K. ↑,
46', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Everton Galdino ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Scholz A. (Pen),
57', Nakagawa T. ↓, Marcelo Ryan ↑,
61', Ono K. 🟨,
64', Ota S. ↓, Ishibashi S. ↑,
66', 1 - 2, Suzuki Y. ⚽,
76', Oda Y. ↓, Nitta R. ↑,
76', Hiraoka T. ↓, Ishii H. ↑,
80', Kim Seung-Gyu 🟨,
85', Tachi K. ↓, Oiwa K. ↑,
87', Nozawa L. ↓, Oka T. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 2, Suzuki A. ⚽, Onose K. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Shonan Bellmare
26.1%

Draw
27.3%

Tokyo
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.1%

26.3%

42.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

25.6%

43.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.76 ↑ (2.97)	3.58 ↑ (3.51)	2.08 ↓ (2.17)	2.6% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo?

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Tokyo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shonan Bellmare: 16.1% – 74.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 17 and 15)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2.
Shonan Bellmare has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Tokyo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Tokyo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Tokyo has had a series of home games.
Tokyo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Matsumoto K. (Knee Injury) Nagai T. (Calf Injury) Takahashi N. (Shoulder Injury) Tamura S. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Ogashiwa T. (Shoulder Injury) Shirai K. (Hamstring Injury)
There are questionable in Tokyo: Muroya S. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.8:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Tokyo?

Shonan Bellmare has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Shonan Bellmare?

Tokyo has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo were as follows:

21.05.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 1:0

08.03.2025 Tokyo - Shonan Bellmare 0:0

03.11.2024 Tokyo - Shonan Bellmare 0:2

22.06.2024 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 0:1

03.12.2023 Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo 0:1

Latest results of Shonan Bellmare

10.08.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Shonan Bellmare 2:0 ✺

23.07.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Shonan Bellmare 4:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Cerezo Osaka 3:3 ✺

16.07.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Shimizu S-Pulse 0:1 ✺

05.07.2025 Vissel Kobe - Shonan Bellmare 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Tokyo

10.08.2025 Tokyo - Kashima Antlers 0:1 ✺

06.08.2025 Tokyo - Cerezo Osaka 2:1 ✺

19.07.2025 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 3:2 ✺

16.07.2025 Tokyo - Oita Trinita 2:0 ✺

05.07.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo 1:0 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	34	20	6	8	52:28	24	66
2	Kashiwa Reysol	34	17	12	5	53:33	20	63
3	Kyoto	34	17	10	7	58:36	22	61
4	Vissel Kobe	34	18	7	9	43:28	15	61
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	34	17	8	9	39:23	16	59
6	Kawasaki Frontale	34	15	11	8	65:48	17	56
7	Machida	34	16	8	10	49:35	14	56
8	Urawa Reds	34	14	10	10	40:36	4	52
9	Gamba Osaka	34	15	5	14	46:52	-6	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	34	12	10	12	52:50	2	46
11	FC Tokyo	34	11	9	14	36:46	-10	42
12	Verdy	34	11	9	14	22:35	-13	42
13	Avispa Fukuoka	34	10	11	13	32:37	-5	41
14	Shimizu S-Pulse	34	10	11	13	38:44	-6	41
15	Okayama	34	11	8	15	30:37	-7	41
16	Nagoya Grampus	34	10	10	14	42:50	-8	40
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	34	9	7	18	36:44	-8	34
18	Yokohama FC	34	8	8	18	23:39	-16	32
19	Shonan Bellmare	34	6	8	20	29:58	-29	26
20	Albirex Niigata	34	4	10	20	30:56	-26	22

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      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League