Result
2:2
16/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (367/446) | 76% (271/358) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 1.03 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (367/446) | 76% (271/358) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (17/42) | 45% (19/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (94/133) | 70% (66/94) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (2/12) | 19% (4/21) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.33 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.97 | -0.49 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 3', Okuno K. 🟨,
- 5', Ota S. 🟨,
- 6', 0 - 1, Nagakura M. ⚽, Henrique Trevisan (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Barada A. ↓, Onose K. ↑,
- 46', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Everton Galdino ↑,
- 52', 0 - 2, Scholz A. (Pen),
- 57', Nakagawa T. ↓, Marcelo Ryan ↑,
- 61', Ono K. 🟨,
- 64', Ota S. ↓, Ishibashi S. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 2, Suzuki Y. ⚽,
- 76', Oda Y. ↓, Nitta R. ↑,
- 76', Hiraoka T. ↓, Ishii H. ↑,
- 80', Kim Seung-Gyu 🟨,
- 85', Tachi K. ↓, Oiwa K. ↑,
- 87', Nozawa L. ↓, Oka T. ↑,
- 90+7', 2 - 2, Suzuki A. ⚽, Onose K. (A),
Chances of winning
Shonan Bellmare
26.1% | Draw
27.3% | Tokyo
46.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shonan Bellmare has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Tokyo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shonan Bellmare than the current prediction. (+4.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.76 ↑
(2.97) |
3.58 ↑
(3.51) |
2.08 ↓
(2.17) |
2.6%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Shonan Bellmare will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). Tokyo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shonan Bellmare: 16.1% – 74.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 17 and 15)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 2.
- Shonan Bellmare has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Tokyo's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Tokyo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Tokyo has had a series of home games.
- Tokyo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Shonan Bellmare: Kamifukumoto N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Matsumoto K.
(Knee Injury)
Nagai T.
(Calf Injury)
Takahashi N.
(Shoulder Injury)
Tamura S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Knee Injury)
Ogashiwa T.
(Shoulder Injury)
Shirai K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Tokyo: Muroya S.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shonan Bellmare won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 19:24. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shonan Bellmare won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Shonan Bellmare won against Tokyo?
Shonan Bellmare has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Shonan Bellmare?
Tokyo has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shonan Bellmare - Tokyo were as follows:
21.05.2025
Shonan Bellmare
-
Tokyo
1:0
08.03.2025
Tokyo
-
Shonan Bellmare
0:0
03.11.2024
Tokyo
-
Shonan Bellmare
0:2
22.06.2024
Shonan Bellmare
-
Tokyo
0:1
03.12.2023
Shonan Bellmare
-
Tokyo
0:1
Latest results of Shonan Bellmare
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kyoto | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 52:30 | 22 | 54 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 53 |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 37:26 | 11 | 53 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 41:27 | 14 | 52 |
| 5 | Machida | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 50 |
| 6 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 29 | 15 | 5 | 9 | 34:20 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Urawa Reds | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 39:30 | 9 | 47 |
| 8 | Kawasaki Frontale | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 50:38 | 12 | 45 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 38:44 | -6 | 40 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 42:39 | 3 | 39 |
| 11 | Okayama | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 26:28 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 28 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 28:28 | 0 | 37 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Verdy | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 16:28 | -12 | 32 |
| 15 | FC Tokyo | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 30:42 | -12 | 31 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 34:42 | -8 | 29 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:35 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | Shonan Bellmare | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 26:47 | -21 | 25 |
| 19 | Yokohama FC | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 18:35 | -17 | 23 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 27:48 | -21 | 20 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
