Result
2:3
28/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (429/524) | 67% (169/254) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (429/524) | 67% (169/254) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (38/63) | 23% (15/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (91/133) | 52% (46/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 2.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.72 | 0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Croux J. 🟨,
- 31', Jean Claude ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
- 34', Tanimura K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 51', 0 - 1, Kida T. ⚽, Tsunoda R. (A),
- 59', 0 - 2, Tanimura K. ⚽, Uenaka A. (A),
- 60', Nakagawa T. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
- 60', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Marcos Guilherme ↑,
- 62', 0 - 3, Tanimura K. ⚽, Croux J. (A),
- 65', Nagatomo Y. 🟨,
- 66', Croux J. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
- 66', Yuri Araujo ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
- 78', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Yamashita K. ↑,
- 80', Endo K. 🟨,
- 81', Kida T. ↓, Yamane R. ↑,
- 81', Uenaka A. ↓, Onaiwu G. ↑,
- 84', Endo K. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
- 84', Hashimoto K. ↓, Higashi K. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 3, Ko T. ⚽,
- 90+8', 2 - 3, Scholz A. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Tokyo
44.9% | Draw
28.9% | Yokohama F. Marinos
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(2.06) |
3.28 ↓
(3.64) |
3.6 ↑
(3.37) |
5.2%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Tokyo will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 2.
- Tokyo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Yokohama FM's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Yokohama FM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tokyo could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Knee Injury)
Ogashiwa T.
(Injury)
Shirai K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T.
(Knee Injury)
Tono D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Watanabe T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Matsubara K.
(Injury)
- We predict that Tokyo will win today's game, with odds of 2.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 29:39. (average 1.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
Tokyo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Tokyo?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
25.06.2025
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Tokyo
0:3
28.09.2024
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Tokyo
1:3
19.05.2024
Tokyo
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
1:1
19.08.2023
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Tokyo
2:1
03.06.2023
Tokyo
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
2:3
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 53:29 | 24 | 67 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 55:33 | 22 | 66 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 43:28 | 15 | 61 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 39:26 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Machida | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 65:50 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 13 | Verdy | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 42 |
| 14 | Avispa Fukuoka | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 32:37 | -5 | 41 |
| 15 | Okayama | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 23:41 | -18 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare ✔ | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:58 | -29 | 26 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata ✔ | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 30:56 | -26 | 22 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Shonan Bellmare is Relegated to J2 League
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
