Tokyo vs Yokohama F. Marinos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Ajinomoto Stadium (Tokyo).

J1 League - Round 32
Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.98	1.51
Ball Possession
67%	33%
Total shots
16	9
Shots on target
7	4
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
5	3
Passes
82% (429/524)	67% (169/254)
Yellow Cards
2	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.98	1.51
xG on target (xGOT)
2.83	1.28
Total shots
16	9
Shots on target
7	4
Shots off target
8	5
Blocked Shots
1	0
Shots inside the Box
10	6
Shots outside the Box
6	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Headed Goals
0	2
Big Chances
2	4
Corner Kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
22	14
Accurate through passes
2	0
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
14	11
Passes
82% (429/524)	67% (169/254)
Long passes
60% (38/63)	23% (15/64)
Passes in final third
68% (91/133)	52% (46/88)
Crosses
23% (5/22)	30% (3/10)
Expected assists (xA)
0.97	1.34
Throw-ins
23	19
Fouls
11	14
Tackles
92% (11/12)	78% (7/9)
Duels won
52	32
Clearances
20	33
Interceptions
4	13
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
1.28	2.83
Goals prevented
-1.72	0.83

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
20', Croux J. 🟨,
31', Jean Claude ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
34', Tanimura K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 3)
51', 0 - 1, Kida T. ⚽, Tsunoda R. (A),
59', 0 - 2, Tanimura K. ⚽, Uenaka A. (A),
60', Nakagawa T. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
60', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Marcos Guilherme ↑,
62', 0 - 3, Tanimura K. ⚽, Croux J. (A),
65', Nagatomo Y. 🟨,
66', Croux J. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
66', Yuri Araujo ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
78', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Yamashita K. ↑,
80', Endo K. 🟨,
81', Kida T. ↓, Yamane R. ↑,
81', Uenaka A. ↓, Onaiwu G. ↑,
84', Endo K. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
84', Hashimoto K. ↓, Higashi K. ↑,
90', 1 - 3, Ko T. ⚽,
90+8', 2 - 3, Scholz A. (Pen),

Highlights

Chances of winning

Tokyo
44.9%

Draw
28.9%

Yokohama F. Marinos
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

26%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

25.4%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Yokohama F. Marinos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tokyo than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yokohama F. Marinos than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (2.06)	3.28 ↓ (3.64)	3.6 ↑ (3.37)	5.2% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Tokyo will win (8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 2.
Tokyo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Yokohama FM's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Yokohama FM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Tokyo could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y. (Knee Injury) Ogashiwa T. (Injury) Shirai K. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T. (Knee Injury) Tono D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Watanabe T. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Matsubara K. (Injury)
We predict that Tokyo will win today's game, with odds of 2.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 29:39. (average 1.5:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.7:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Yokohama F. Marinos?

Tokyo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Tokyo?

Yokohama F. Marinos has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:

25.06.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo 0:3

28.09.2024 Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo 1:3

19.05.2024 Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:1

19.08.2023 Yokohama F. Marinos - Tokyo 2:1

03.06.2023 Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:3

Latest results of Tokyo

23.09.2025 Tokyo - Avispa Fukuoka 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Kawasaki Frontale - Tokyo 0:1 ✺

15.09.2025 Tokyo - Tokyo Verdy 1:0 ✺

31.08.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Tokyo 1:1 ✺

27.08.2025 Tokyo - Urawa Red Diamonds 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos

23.09.2025 Gamba Osaka - Yokohama F. Marinos 3:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Avispa Fukuoka 2:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kawasaki Frontale 0:3 ✺

07.09.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama F. Marinos 1:0 ✺

03.09.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Kashiwa Reysol 1:4 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	33	20	5	8	52:28	24	65
2	Kyoto	33	17	9	7	57:35	22	60
3	Kashiwa Reysol	33	16	12	5	48:33	15	60
4	Vissel Kobe	33	18	6	9	43:28	15	60
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	33	17	7	9	39:23	16	58
6	Machida	33	16	7	10	49:35	14	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	33	14	11	8	60:45	15	53
8	Urawa Reds	33	14	10	9	40:32	8	52
9	Gamba Osaka	33	15	5	13	46:47	-1	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	33	11	10	12	50:49	1	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	33	10	11	12	35:39	-4	41
12	Okayama	33	11	8	14	29:35	-6	41
13	FC Tokyo	33	11	8	14	36:46	-10	41
14	Avispa Fukuoka	33	10	10	13	32:37	-5	40
15	Nagoya Grampus	33	10	9	14	40:48	-8	39
16	Verdy	33	10	9	14	21:35	-14	39
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	33	8	7	18	32:44	-12	31
18	Yokohama FC	33	8	7	18	21:37	-16	31
19	Shonan Bellmare	33	6	7	20	28:57	-29	25
20	Albirex Niigata	33	4	10	19	30:55	-25	22

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      Relegation ~ J2 League