Result
2:3
28/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 32
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 67% | 33% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (429/524) | 67% (169/254) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.98 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (429/524) | 67% (169/254) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 60% (38/63) | 23% (15/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (91/133) | 52% (46/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (5/22) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 92% (11/12) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 2.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.72 | 0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 20', Croux J. 🟨,
- 31', Jean Claude ↓, Watanabe K. ↑,
- 34', Tanimura K. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 3)
- 51', 0 - 1, Kida T. ⚽, Tsunoda R. (A),
- 59', 0 - 2, Tanimura K. ⚽, Uenaka A. (A),
- 60', Nakagawa T. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
- 60', Tawaratsumida K. ↓, Marcos Guilherme ↑,
- 62', 0 - 3, Tanimura K. ⚽, Croux J. (A),
- 65', Nagatomo Y. 🟨,
- 66', Croux J. ↓, Amano J. ↑,
- 66', Yuri Araujo ↓, Miyaichi R. ↑,
- 78', Marcelo Ryan ↓, Yamashita K. ↑,
- 80', Endo K. 🟨,
- 81', Kida T. ↓, Yamane R. ↑,
- 81', Uenaka A. ↓, Onaiwu G. ↑,
- 84', Endo K. ↓, Nozawa L. ↑,
- 84', Hashimoto K. ↓, Higashi K. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 3, Ko T. ⚽,
- 90+8', 2 - 3, Scholz A. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Tokyo
44.9% | Draw
28.9% | Yokohama F. Marinos
26.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↑
(2.06) |
3.28 ↓
(3.64) |
3.6 ↑
(3.37) |
5.2%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tokyo (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Tokyo will win
(8 of 9 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.36% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 2.
- Tokyo has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Yokohama FM's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Yokohama FM may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tokyo could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Tokyo: Arai Y.
(Knee Injury)
Ogashiwa T.
(Injury)
Shirai K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Yokohama FM: Kimura T.
(Knee Injury)
Tono D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Watanabe T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Yokohama FM: Matsubara K.
(Injury)
- We predict that Tokyo will win today's game, with odds of 2.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tokyo won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 29:39. (average 1.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tokyo won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 17:20. (average 1.7:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tokyo won against Yokohama F. Marinos?
Tokyo has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Yokohama F. Marinos won against Tokyo?
Yokohama F. Marinos has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tokyo - Yokohama F. Marinos were as follows:
25.06.2025
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Tokyo
0:3
28.09.2024
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Tokyo
1:3
19.05.2024
Tokyo
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
1:1
19.08.2023
Yokohama F. Marinos
-
Tokyo
2:1
03.06.2023
Tokyo
-
Yokohama F. Marinos
2:3
Latest results of Yokohama F. Marinos
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kawasaki Frontale | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:3 | 3 |
| 2 | Verdy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 3 | Urawa Reds | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 3 |
| 4 | Machida | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Tokyo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 2 |
| 6 | Kashima Antlers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 7 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | 0 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | 0 |
| 9 | Mito | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
| 10 | Chiba | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | 0 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 3 |
| 2 | Nagoya Grampus | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 3 |
| 3 | Avispa Fukuoka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 2 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 2 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 2 |
| 6 | Kyoto | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 7 | Okayama | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:2 | 1 |
| 8 | Cerezo Osaka | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:1 | 1 |
| 9 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | 0 |
| 10 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
