Result
2:1
01/08/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Leagues Cup - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | Apple TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.54 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (336/443) | 71% (287/407) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.54 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.86 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (336/443) | 71% (287/407) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 45% (42/94) | 40% (28/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (93/160) | 60% (67/112) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 47% (8/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 1.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (10/19) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 2.86 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | 0.86 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 20', 0 - 1, Morales E. ⚽, Synchuk G. (A),
- 23', 1 - 1, Angulo J. ⚽, Castro H. (A),
- 26', 2 - 1, Paulinho ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 55', Waterman J. 🟨,
- 56', Guboglo Y. ↓, Petrasso L. ↑,
- 57', Loturi V. ↓, Sealy D. ↑,
- 71', Castro H. ↓, Castro N. ↑,
- 72', Angulo J. ↓, Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ↑,
- 77', Waterman J. ↓, Craig B. ↑,
- 77', Synchuk G. ↓, Escobar O. ↑,
- 83', Vega A. ↓, Morales R. ↑,
- 84', Paulinho ↓, Bruno Mendez ↑,
- 84', Bugaj D. ↓, Graham-Roache O. ↑,
- 90+6', Graham-Roache O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Toluca
61.5% | Draw
20.8% | CF Montréal
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toluca's performance.CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CF Montréal might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-13.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toluca that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CF Montréal could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Toluca - CF Montréal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.52 ↓
(2.01) |
4.48 ↑
(3.61) |
5.28 ↑
(3.4) |
7.2%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Toluca - CF Montréal?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Toluca (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Toluca will win
(13 of 14 users predict this - 92.86%).
Confidence interval (95%): 79.37% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Toluca is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Montreal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Toluca is the team to beat.
- In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against CF Montréal?
Toluca has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CF Montréal won against Toluca?
CF Montréal has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - CF Montréal were as follows:
Latest results of CF Montréal
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Pachuca | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Seattle Sounders | Puebla | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Tigres UANL | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Toluca | Orlando City | 0 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Seattle Sounders | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Seattle Sounders | Inter Miami | 3 : 0 |
3rd place| 2 | Los Angeles Galaxy | Orlando City | 2 : 1 |
