Result
2:1
15/02/2025 at 22:10 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- MEXICO: Liga MX - Clausura - Round 7
- Referee: Valle J. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.32 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (547/622) | 82% (338/412) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 76% (102/134) | 68% (63/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 20% (3/15) | 35% (6/17) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (11/22) | 67% (12/18) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Vega A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Rey L. ↓, Chavez Garcia M. ↑,
- 57', Pulido A. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
- 57', Padilla Y. ↓, Camberos H. ↑,
- 60', Morales R. ↓, Violante I. ↑,
- 61', Angulo J. ↓, Helinho ↑,
- 70', 1 - 1, Camberos H. ⚽, Alvarado R. (A),
- 79', Romero F. ↓, Herrera H. ↑,
- 79', Gallardo J. ↓, Lopez I. ↑,
- 84', Vega A. ↓, Briseno A. ↑,
- 90', Mozo A. ↓, Brizuela I. ↑,
- 90', Alvarado R. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Camberos H. (Own goal),
- 90+2', Luan 🟨,
Chances of winning
Toluca
54.3% | Draw
24.3% | Chivas Guadalajara
21.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)Chivas Guadalajara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chivas Guadalajara than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.75 ↑
(1.71) |
3.9 ↓
(3.98) |
4.4 ↓
(4.45) |
5.5%
(6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Toluca will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Toluca won 0.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Toluca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Toluca is a favorite.
- There will not play in Guadalajara: Guzman V.
(Leg Injury)
Olivas Salcedo L. A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Toluca: Escobar J.
(Health problems)
- There are questionable in Guadalajara: Aguirre D.
(Injury)
Gomez M.
(Hamstring Injury)
Whalley O.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Toluca won 2 matches, drawn 13 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:23 (average 0.9:1.2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Toluca won 1 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8:9 (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Chivas Guadalajara?
Toluca has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Chivas Guadalajara won against Toluca?
Chivas Guadalajara has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Chivas Guadalajara were as follows:
06.07.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Toluca
0:0
11.05.2024
Toluca
-
Chivas Guadalajara
0:0
08.05.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Toluca
1:0
30.01.2024
Chivas Guadalajara
-
Toluca
3:2
01.10.2023
Toluca
-
Chivas Guadalajara
1:1
Latest results of Chivas Guadalajara
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Pachuca | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:2 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Club America | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 4 | Atlas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6:5 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Mazatlan FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 6 | Club Tijuana | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Santos Laguna | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 3 |
| 9 | Necaxa | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Puebla | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | UNAM Pumas | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 3 |
| 14 | Monterrey | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Juarez | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 2 |
| 17 | Guadalajara Chivas | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Queretaro | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
