Cruz Azul vs Toluca – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:3
26/08/2025 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 8
  • Referee: Sanchez C. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, ViX Gratis, VIX+
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
3818
Shots on target
86
Corner Kicks
92
Yellow Cards
03
Total shots
3818
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
3012
Corner Kicks
92
Goalkeeper Saves
34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 16', van de Sanden S. , Monroy F. ,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Angeles L. ,
  • 21', Le Sommer E. 🟨,
  • 31', 1 - 1, Le Sommer E. ,
  • 40', Lopez V. 🟨,
  • 43', Martinez K. 🟨,
  • 45', 1 - 2, Le Sommer E. ,
  • 45+4', 2 - 2, Calderon D. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Martinez K. , Lopez J. ,
  • 48', 2 - 3, Le Sommer E. ,
  • 60', Gutierrez D. , Gutierrez I. ,
  • 60', Lomeli A. , Blackwood D. ,
  • 60', Garcia A. , Chavarin A. ,
  • 62', Peraza C. , Cuevas B. ,
  • 72', Monroy F. , Cortez V. ,
  • 81', 3 - 3, Chavarin A. ,
  • 90+1', 4 - 3, Chavarin A. ,
  • 90+3', Martinez A. , Grimaldo N. ,

Chances of winning


Cruz Azul
42.6%
Draw
26.5%
Toluca
30.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 28.4% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1% 28.1% 27.2%

Cruz Azul - Toluca Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.22
(2.07)
3.57
(3.25)
3.07
(3.43)
5.7%
(8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul - Toluca?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Toluca (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 1.
    • Recent performances by Cruz Azul have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Toluca is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:33. (average 0.9:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.1:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cruz Azul - Toluca were as follows:
    13.03.2025 Cruz Azul - Toluca 2:1
    12.10.2024 Toluca - Cruz Azul 3:1
    22.04.2024 Cruz Azul - Toluca 2:3
    20.10.2023 Toluca - Cruz Azul 3:0
    06.05.2023 Cruz Azul - Toluca 0:1
    Latest results of Cruz Azul
    18.08.2025 Necaxa - Cruz Azul 3:3
    12.08.2025 Cruz Azul - Monterrey 4:0
    04.08.2025 UNAM - Cruz Azul 3:1
    Latest results of Toluca
    17.08.2025 Juárez - Toluca 0:0
    09.08.2025 Toluca - Club León 1:0
    04.08.2025 Pachuca - Toluca 1:2
    24.07.2025 Tijuana - Toluca 1:3
    Draw
    Apertura - Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Tigres UANL W (1)Juarez W (8)0 : 0, 1 : 0
    2Pachuca W (2)Cruz Azul W (7)0 : 5, 2 : 1
    3Club America W (3)Monterrey W (6)5 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Toluca W (4)Guadalajara Chivas W (5)0 : 2, 2 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Tigres UANL W (1)Cruz Azul W (7)2 : 1, 1 : 1
    2Club America W (3)Guadalajara Chivas W (5)2 : 0, 2 : 0

    Final
    1Tigres UANL W (1)Club America W (3)3 : 3