Result
4:3
26/08/2025 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Sanchez C. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, ViX Gratis, VIX+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 38 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 38 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 30 | 12 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 16', van de Sanden S. ↓, Monroy F. ↑,
- 20', 1 - 0, Angeles L. ⚽,
- 21', Le Sommer E. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
- 40', Lopez V. 🟨,
- 43', Martinez K. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 2, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
- 45+4', 2 - 2, Calderon D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Martinez K. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 3, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
- 60', Gutierrez D. ↓, Gutierrez I. ↑,
- 60', Lomeli A. ↓, Blackwood D. ↑,
- 60', Garcia A. ↓, Chavarin A. ↑,
- 62', Peraza C. ↓, Cuevas B. ↑,
- 72', Monroy F. ↓, Cortez V. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 3, Chavarin A. ⚽,
- 90+1', 4 - 3, Chavarin A. ⚽,
- 90+3', Martinez A. ↓, Grimaldo N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cruz Azul
42.6% | Draw
26.5% | Toluca
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Cruz Azul - Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(2.07) |
3.48 ↑
(3.25) |
3.2 ↓
(3.43) |
5%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul - Toluca?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Toluca (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 1.
- Recent performances by Cruz Azul have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Toluca is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:33. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Toluca?
Cruz Azul has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Cruz Azul?
Toluca has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruz Azul - Toluca were as follows:
13.03.2025
Cruz Azul
-
Toluca
2:1
12.10.2024
Toluca
-
Cruz Azul
3:1
22.04.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Toluca
2:3
20.10.2023
Toluca
-
Cruz Azul
3:0
06.05.2023
Cruz Azul
-
Toluca
0:1
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Mexican Liga MX Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigres UANL W ✔ | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 53:8 | 45 | 38 |
| 2 | Pachuca W ✔ | 15 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 52:18 | 34 | 36 |
| 3 | Club America W ✔ | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 48:19 | 29 | 32 |
| 4 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 23:14 | 9 | 29 |
| 5 | Toluca W | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 28:15 | 13 | 28 |
| 6 | Monterrey W | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 33:22 | 11 | 26 |
| 7 | Club Leon W | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 29:30 | -1 | 24 |
| 8 | UNAM Pumas W | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 30:24 | 6 | 22 |
| 9 | Cruz Azul W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 32:23 | 9 | 21 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis W | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 21 |
| 11 | Juarez W | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Atlas W | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 21:25 | -4 | 19 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana W | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 16:26 | -10 | 12 |
| 14 | Queretaro W | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 13:42 | -29 | 10 |
| 15 | Santos Laguna W | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 15:32 | -17 | 9 |
| 16 | Necaxa W | 14 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8:32 | -24 | 8 |
| 17 | Puebla W | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5:36 | -31 | 5 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC W | 14 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7:48 | -41 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Tigres UANL W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Pachuca W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Club America W is Qualified for Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs Quarter~finals)
