Result
26/08/2025 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Sanchez C. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, ViX Gratis, VIX+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Chances of winning
Cruz Azul
38.4% | Draw
26.1% | Toluca
35.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Cruz Azul's form might have worsened.Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toluca's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Cruz Azul, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-8.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toluca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Cruz Azul - Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.35 ↑
(2.07) |
3.46 ↑
(3.25) |
2.54 ↓
(3.43) |
10.7%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 1.
- Recent performances by Cruz Azul have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Toluca is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:33. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Toluca?
Cruz Azul has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Cruz Azul?
Toluca has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruz Azul - Toluca were as follows:
13.03.2025
Cruz Azul
-
Toluca
2:1
12.10.2024
Toluca
-
Cruz Azul
3:1
22.04.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Toluca
2:3
20.10.2023
Toluca
-
Cruz Azul
3:0
06.05.2023
Cruz Azul
-
Toluca
0:1
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Mexican Liga MX Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Club America W | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 28:3 | 25 | 21 |
| 2 | Toluca W | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 17 |
| 3 | Tigres UANL W | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 19:4 | 15 | 16 |
| 4 | UNAM Pumas W | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 14:6 | 8 | 16 |
| 5 | Monterrey W | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 20:11 | 9 | 15 |
| 6 | Pachuca W | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 24:9 | 15 | 14 |
| 7 | Juarez W | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 14 |
| 8 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 |
| 9 | Atl. San Luis W | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Club Leon W | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 12 |
| 11 | Cruz Azul W | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 14:10 | 4 | 8 |
| 12 | Atlas W | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:12 | -7 | 6 |
| 13 | Necaxa W | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:17 | -11 | 5 |
| 14 | Santos Laguna W | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
| 15 | Queretaro W | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 7:23 | -16 | 3 |
| 16 | Club Tijuana W | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:15 | -10 | 2 |
| 17 | Puebla W | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3:22 | -19 | 1 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC W | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4:27 | -23 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
