Result
4:3
26/08/2025 at 17:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 8
- Referee: Sanchez C. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, ViX Gratis, VIX+ |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 38 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 38 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 30 | 12 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 2)
- 16', van de Sanden S. ↓, Monroy F. ↑,
- 20', 1 - 0, Angeles L. ⚽,
- 21', Le Sommer E. 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 1, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
- 40', Lopez V. 🟨,
- 43', Martinez K. 🟨,
- 45', 1 - 2, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
- 45+4', 2 - 2, Calderon D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Martinez K. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 3, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
- 60', Gutierrez D. ↓, Gutierrez I. ↑,
- 60', Lomeli A. ↓, Blackwood D. ↑,
- 60', Garcia A. ↓, Chavarin A. ↑,
- 62', Peraza C. ↓, Cuevas B. ↑,
- 72', Monroy F. ↓, Cortez V. ↑,
- 81', 3 - 3, Chavarin A. ⚽,
- 90+1', 4 - 3, Chavarin A. ⚽,
- 90+3', Martinez A. ↓, Grimaldo N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cruz Azul
42.6% | Draw
26.5% | Toluca
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cruz Azul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cruz Azul than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
Cruz Azul - Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.22 ↑
(2.07) |
3.57 ↑
(3.25) |
3.07 ↓
(3.43) |
5.7%
(8.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Cruz Azul - Toluca?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Toluca (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 11 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 1.
- Recent performances by Cruz Azul have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Toluca is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Cruz Azul won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:33. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cruz Azul won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.1:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cruz Azul won against Toluca?
Cruz Azul has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Cruz Azul?
Toluca has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cruz Azul - Toluca were as follows:
13.03.2025
Cruz Azul
-
Toluca
2:1
12.10.2024
Toluca
-
Cruz Azul
3:1
22.04.2024
Cruz Azul
-
Toluca
2:3
20.10.2023
Toluca
-
Cruz Azul
3:0
06.05.2023
Cruz Azul
-
Toluca
0:1
Latest results of Cruz Azul
Mexican Liga MX Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tigres UANL W | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 39:7 | 32 | 28 |
| 2 | Pachuca W | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 38:14 | 24 | 26 |
| 3 | Club America W | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 38:13 | 25 | 25 |
| 4 | Toluca W | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:10 | 7 | 23 |
| 5 | Monterrey W | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 23:17 | 6 | 20 |
| 6 | Guadalajara Chivas W | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:11 | 5 | 20 |
| 7 | UNAM Pumas W | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 21:16 | 5 | 19 |
| 8 | Juarez W | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | 6 | 18 |
| 9 | Club Leon W | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 10 | Atl. San Luis W | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16:13 | 3 | 17 |
| 11 | Atlas W | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 16:19 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | Cruz Azul W | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 23:18 | 5 | 14 |
| 13 | Club Tijuana W | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 10:16 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | Necaxa W | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:25 | -17 | 8 |
| 15 | Santos Laguna W | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 14:27 | -13 | 5 |
| 16 | Puebla W | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5:29 | -24 | 5 |
| 17 | Queretaro W | 11 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 10:39 | -29 | 4 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC W | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6:36 | -30 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
