Result
0:0
30/01/2026 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 4
- Referee: Contreras Q. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, FOX One |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 2.08 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 30% | 70% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 27 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (179/238) | 89% (497/559) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 2.08 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.04 | 1.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 27 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 11 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 16 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 0 | 12 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (179/238) | 89% (497/559) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (18/46) | 54% (14/26) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (39/66) | 77% (144/186) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 24% (7/29) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 1.13 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (15/24) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 42 | 5 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.87 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+4', Cordova S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+7', Bruno Mendez 🟨,
- 45+7', Guerra E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Organista A. ↓, Ramirez A. ↑,
- 46', Rey L. ↓, Velasco K. ↑,
- 60', Ruiz M. 🟨,
- 61', Cordova S. ↓, Rossi F. ↑,
- 62', Gallardo J. 🟨,
- 63', Diaz N. 🟥,
- 69', Baltazar C. ↓, Pachuca Martinez J. R. ↑,
- 78', Gomez E. ↓, Ramirez M. ↑,
- 78', Guerra E. ↓, Garnica B. ↑,
- 80', Castro N. ↓, Perez P. ↑,
- 80', Bruno Mendez ↓, del Villar E. ↑,
- 83', Angulo J. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 90+2', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Puebla
14.2% | Draw
21.3% | Toluca
64.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Puebla - Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.65 ↑
(5.1) |
4.42 ↑
(4.11) |
1.46 ↓
(1.62) |
6.1%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Puebla - Toluca?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +0.75 - Toluca (1.79) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +1 - Toluca (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH +1.5 - Toluca (2.23) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Toluca will win
(12 of 13 users predict this - 92.31%).
Confidence interval (95%): 77.83% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Toluca will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 13 high ROI users predict this event. Toluca (votes: 13 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 1.
- Toluca is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- In this match, Toluca is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Puebla: Cavallini L.
(Knee Injury)
Monarrez F.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Toluca: Vega A.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Puebla: Baltazar C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Toluca: Luan
(Groin Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Puebla won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 26:33. (average 1.3:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Puebla won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.3:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Puebla won against Toluca?
Puebla has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Puebla?
Toluca has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Puebla - Toluca were as follows:
13.09.2025
Toluca
-
Puebla
3:1
14.03.2025
Puebla
-
Toluca
0:3
22.10.2024
Toluca
-
Puebla
5:0
26.01.2024
Puebla
-
Toluca
1:1
31.10.2023
Toluca
-
Puebla
0:1
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Guadalajara Chivas | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 15 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Atlas | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 | UNAM Pumas | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | Toluca | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 8 |
| 8 | Club America | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 8 |
| 9 | Monterrey | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 7 |
| 10 | Club Tijuana | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Necaxa | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:7 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 | Queretaro | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Puebla | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Juarez | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Club Leon | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 17 | Santos Laguna | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5:17 | -12 | 1 |
| 18 | Mazatlan FC | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
