Toluca vs Querétaro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Mexican Liga MX Toluca - Querétaro
Result
4:0
18/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga MX - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Santander Aguirre L. E. (Mex)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Caliente TV, Tubi TV
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.000.62
Ball Possession
63%37%
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
75
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
36
Passes
90% (517/572)88% (285/325)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.000.62
xG on target (xGOT)
3.940.22
Total shots
1514
Shots on target
75
Shots off target
57
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
126
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
02
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
36
Touches in opposition box
2311
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
43
Free Kicks
716
Passes
90% (517/572)88% (285/325)
Long passes
69% (43/62)63% (20/32)
Passes in final third
69% (77/111)76% (63/83)
Crosses
57% (4/7)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.890.36
Throw-ins
1410
Fouls
167
Tackles
56% (5/9)60% (6/10)
Duels won
2433
Clearances
149
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
0.223.94
Goals prevented
0.22-0.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 0)
  • 15', 1 - 0, Castro N. ,
  • 22', 2 - 0, Paulinho , Angulo J. (A),
  • 30', 3 - 0, Vega A. (Pen),
  • 32', Gomez J. , Jhojan Julio ,
  • 34', Vega A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Armenta E. , Carcelen Carabali M. A. ,
  • 46', Gallardo J. , Alvarez A. ,
  • 62', Vega A. , Virgen O. ,
  • 62', Ruiz M. , Herrera H. ,
  • 66', 4 - 0, Angulo J. , Paulinho (A),
  • 67', Rodriguez L. , Barrera P. ,
  • 67', Bogarin R. , Garcia C. ,
  • 72', Paulinho , Morales R. ,
  • 74', Perlaza J. , Venegas F. ,
  • 83', Castro N. , Briseno A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toluca
77.5%
Draw
13.9%
Querétaro
8.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
79.1% 12.9% 8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toluca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • Querétaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Toluca - Querétaro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.22
    (1.18)
    6.8
    (7.23)
    10.9
    (11.61)
    6.2%
    (7.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Toluca - Querétaro?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Toluca will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 3.
    • Toluca is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In recent matches, Querétaro has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Toluca is the undeniable favorite.
    • There will not play in Toluca: Luan (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Querétaro: Gruezo E. (Knee Injury) Lertora F. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 9 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 35:22. (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toluca won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:11. (average 2.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toluca - Querétaro were as follows:
    26.02.2025 Toluca - Querétaro 5:0
    18.10.2024 Querétaro - Toluca 0:1
    12.01.2024 Querétaro - Toluca 2:2
    08.10.2023 Toluca - Querétaro 3:1
    05.03.2023 Querétaro - Toluca 1:0
    Latest results of Toluca
    04.10.2025 Club León - Toluca 2:4
    27.09.2025 Toluca - Mazatlan 3:1
    24.09.2025 Toluca - Monterrey 6:2
    Latest results of Querétaro
    04.10.2025 Querétaro - Puebla 3:1
    28.09.2025 Querétaro - Tigres UANL 0:2
    24.09.2025 Cruz Azul - Querétaro 2:2
    20.09.2025 Pachuca - Querétaro 0:2
    14.09.2025 Querétaro - Monterrey 0:1
    Mexican Liga MX Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Toluca13101239:162331
    2Cruz Azul1384124:16828
    3Club America1383227:131427
    4Monterrey1383226:20627
    5Tigres UANL1375127:131426
    6Pachuca1363418:15321
    7Club Tijuana1355326:17920
    8Guadalajara Chivas1362520:18220
    9Juarez1354418:17119
    10UNAM Pumas1335516:20-414
    11Atl. San Luis1341819:20-113
    12Santos Laguna1341815:21-613
    13Atlas1334621:29-813
    14Club Leon1333712:24-1212
    15Mazatlan FC1325615:23-811
    16Queretaro1332814:25-1111
    17Necaxa1323814:26-129
    18Puebla1322914:32-188

          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )