Result
2:4
16/07/2025 at 23:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Apertura - Round 2
- Referee: Perez S. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | TUDN App, TUDN, UniMas, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.68 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -1.32 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 14', 1 - 0, Sordo R. ⚽,
- 20', Pereira F. 🟨,
- 27', 2 - 0, Ocejo Zazueta J. A. ⚽,
- 30', Aceves S. 🟨,
- 35', Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 🟨,
- 38', Arteaga V. 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 1, Helinho ⚽, Castro N. (A),
- 45+3', Ocejo Zazueta J. A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Arteaga V. ↓, Dominguez Chonteco J. P. ↑,
- 46', Pereira F. ↓, Virgen O. ↑,
- 46', Aceves S. ↓, Barbosa D. ↑,
- 46', Villalba F. ↓, Gutierrez E. ↑,
- 46', Balanta K. ↓, Lozano C. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 2, Helinho ⚽, Virgen O. (A),
- 54', Abella J. 🟨,
- 58', Sordo R. ↓, Dajome C. ↑,
- 62', Echeverria E. 🟨,
- 63', 2 - 3, Morales R. ⚽, Helinho (A),
- 68', Echeverria E. ↓, Carrillo J. ↑,
- 69', Abella J. ↓, Medina D. ↑,
- 77', Helinho ↓, Vega A. ↑,
- 88', Gonzalez H. ↓, Garcia L. ↑,
- 88', Garcia L. 🟨,
- 90+6', 2 - 4, Morales R. ⚽, Dominguez Chonteco J. P. (A),
Chances of winning
Santos Laguna
17.2% | Draw
22.4% | Toluca
60.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toluca's recent form is better than expected.
Santos Laguna - Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.35 ↑
(4.34) |
4.18 ↑
(3.98) |
1.57 ↓
(1.69) |
6.2%
(7.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Santos Laguna - Toluca?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Toluca (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Toluca will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 2.
- In this match, Toluca is considered a favorite.
- There are questionable in Santos Laguna: Aquino P.
(Injury)
Barticciotto B.
(Foot Injury)
Medina D.
(Injury)
Sordo R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Toluca: Lopez P.
(Finger Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 31:35. (average 1.6:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:13. (average 2.1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos Laguna won against Toluca?
Santos Laguna has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Santos Laguna?
Toluca has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos Laguna - Toluca were as follows:
06.04.2025
Toluca
-
Santos Laguna
2:1
22.09.2024
Santos Laguna
-
Toluca
2:0
21.02.2024
Toluca
-
Santos Laguna
1:0
05.11.2023
Santos Laguna
-
Toluca
3:1
23.02.2023
Santos Laguna
-
Toluca
0:5
Latest results of Santos Laguna
Mexican Liga MX Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Toluca | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 31:14 | 17 | 25 |
| 2 | Monterrey | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 23:17 | 6 | 25 |
| 3 | Club America | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23:11 | 12 | 24 |
| 4 | Cruz Azul | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 21:12 | 9 | 24 |
| 5 | Tigres UANL | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 19:9 | 10 | 19 |
| 6 | Juarez | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 18 |
| 7 | Pachuca | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 17 |
| 8 | Club Tijuana | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 16 |
| 9 | Guadalajara Chivas | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | UNAM Pumas | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 | Club Leon | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | -8 | 12 |
| 12 | Atl. San Luis | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 | Santos Laguna | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 13:18 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Atlas | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 18:26 | -8 | 10 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 9 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 13:20 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 | Queretaro | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 11:18 | -7 | 8 |
| 18 | Puebla | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9:26 | -17 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Apertura ~ Play In: )
