Result
0:1
20/02/2026 at 22:06 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX Women - Clausura - Round 10
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Mexico | FOX One |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Le Sommer E. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Fernandez L. ↓, Robert F. ↑,
- 53', Guatemala D. ↓, Rodriguez Perez Y. ↑,
- 53', Le Sommer E. 🟨,
- 59', Gomez A. ↓, Felix Rosales J. G. ↑,
- 74', Rodriguez D. ↓, Guevara Ortega C. ↑,
- 90+6', 🟥,
Chances of winning
Santos Laguna
10.5% | Draw
17.8% | Toluca
71.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toluca's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos Laguna than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toluca than the current prediction. (-4%)
Santos Laguna - Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
8.7 ↑
(6.57) |
5.15 ↑
(4.44) |
1.28 ↓
(1.38) |
9.2%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX Women (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 0.
- Recent form of Santos Laguna has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Toluca is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Santos Laguna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Toluca is the undeniable favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Santos Laguna won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 9 matches, and goals 6:22. (average 0.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Santos Laguna won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Santos Laguna won against Toluca?
Santos Laguna has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Santos Laguna?
Toluca has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Santos Laguna - Toluca were as follows:
19.07.2025
Toluca
-
Santos Laguna
1:0
09.02.2025
Toluca
-
Santos Laguna
2:1
06.07.2024
Santos Laguna
-
Toluca
0:2
07.01.2024
Toluca
-
Santos Laguna
7:0
02.10.2023
Santos Laguna
-
Toluca
2:2
Latest results of Santos Laguna
Draw
Clausura - Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Club America W (1) | Juarez W (8) | 3 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Tigres UANL W (3) | Toluca W (6) | 1 : 2, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Monterrey W (2) | Cruz Azul W (7) | 4 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Pachuca W (4) | Guadalajara Chivas W (5) | 2 : 0, 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Club America W (1) | Toluca W (6) | |
| 2 | Monterrey W (2) | Pachuca W (4) | |
