Tombense vs Maringá – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie C Tombense - Maringá
Result
1:1
28/07/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 14
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, SportyNet+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
33
Corner Kicks
45
Yellow Cards
36
Red Cards
01
Total shots
1212
Shots on target
33
Shots off target
99
Corner Kicks
45
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 14', Lucas Mila 🟨,
  • 23', Everton Morelli 🟨,
  • 27', Max Miller 🟨,
  • 34', Leo Pereira , Julio Henrique ,
  • 45', Ronald Carvalho 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 58', 0 - 1, Ze Vitor ,
  • 65', Fabricio Dias , Pedro Oliveira ,
  • 65', Lucas Mila , Joao Vitor ,
  • 65', Rafael Silva , Ze Eduardo ,
  • 69', Ianson , Fernando ,
  • 71', Danielzinho , Jhow Alecxander ,
  • 74', Ronald Carvalho 🟨,
  • 74', 🟨,
  • 76', Fernando 🟨,
  • 78', Ze Vitor , Vinicius Amaral ,
  • 79', Maranhao , Julio Rodrigues ,
  • 83', 1 - 1, Pedro Oliveira (Pen),
  • 84', Buga , Joao Felix ,
  • 90', Joao Felix 🟨,
  • 90+1', Kaike 🟨,

Chances of winning


Tombense
35.6%
Draw
30.7%
Maringá
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 29.4% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 28.6% 27.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tombense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tombense's form might have worsened.
  • Maringá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Maringá's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tombense than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tombense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maringá than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maringá, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Tombense - Maringá Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.57
    (2.13)
    2.97
    (3.08)
    2.71
    (3.23)
    9.5%
    (10.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Tombense - Maringá?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Maringá (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 16).
    • Tombense has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Maringá has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Maringá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
    Latest results of Tombense
    20.07.2025 Confiança - Tombense 3:2
    12.07.2025 Tombense - ABC 1:2
    07.07.2025 Ponte Preta - Tombense 1:0
    15.06.2025 Brusque - Tombense 0:0
    Latest results of Maringá
    19.07.2025 ABC - Maringá 3:3
    14.07.2025 Maringá - Brusque 0:2
    06.07.2025 Ypiranga - Maringá 0:0
    01.06.2025 Maringá - Ituano 1:1
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    First stage
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1SER Caxias19121626:21537
    2Ponte Preta19113520:16436
    3Nautico19106325:71836
    4Londrina1986527:19830
    5Sao Bernardo1986519:15430
    6Brusque1984720:17328
    7Guarani1976620:20027
    8Floresta EC1976615:15027
    9Confianca1975721:22-126
    10Ypiranga FC1974817:21-425
    11Maringa FC19510426:24225
    12Ituano1966719:24-524
    13Botafogo PB1965822:21123
    14Figueirense1958621:18323
    15Anapolis1958616:19-323
    16Itabaiana1964916:20-422
    17CSA1957721:23-222
    18ABC19212520:25-518
    19Retro1935117:22-1514
    20Tombense1928914:23-914

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D