Result
 
                    0:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        21/09/2025 at  10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Liga Portugal - Round 6
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Finland | Veikkaus TV | 
|  Portugal | Sport TV1 | 
|  Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.05 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 55% | 45% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 8 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 83% (305/368) | 73% (222/303) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 4 | 3 | 
| Red Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.05 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.61 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 17 | 8 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 8 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 6 | 3 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 3 | 2 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 11 | 6 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 1 | 0 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 1 | 2 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 5 | 2 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 33 | 17 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 5 | 3 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 13 | 16 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 83% (305/368) | 73% (222/303) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 54% (25/46) | 40% (29/72) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 67% (92/137) | 59% (40/68) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 27% (8/30) | 20% (4/20) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.19 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 26 | 24 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 16 | 13 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 48% (10/21) | 57% (4/7) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 49 | 40 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 25 | 37 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 6 | 13 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 3 | 8 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.51 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.51 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Moreira P. 🟨, 
- 45+1', Siebatcheu J. 🟨, 
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Medina B. 🟨, 
- 53', Vita R. 🟨, 
- 58', Cabral S. 🟨, 
- 59', Hodge J. ↓, Maviram E. ↑, 
- 59', Vita R. ↓, Felix H. ↑, 
- 60', Ryan Carlos ↓, Montoia G. ↑, 
- 63', Kikas ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑, 
- 63', Stoica I. ↓, Alisson Souza ↑, 
- 68', Alisson Souza 🟨, 
- 70', Bebeto ↓, Manso T. ↑, 
- 70', Rony Lopes ↓, Sithole S. ↑, 
- 77', Maviram E. 🟨, 
- 79', Moreira P. ↓, Ngom O. ↑, 
- 79', Cabral S. ↓, Encada J. ↑, 
- 83', Siebatcheu J. ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑, 
- 87', Tavares H. 🟥, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Tondela 41.6%
 | Draw 31.4%
 | Estrela da Amadora 27%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Tondela - Estrela da Amadora Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2.29 ↑ (2.27)
 | 3.03 ↓ (3.3)
 | 3.51 ↑ (3.3)
 | 5.1% (4.7%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Tondela - Estrela da Amadora?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            7 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Estrela will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).                                 The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 15).
- Tondela is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Estrela is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Tondela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tondela is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There are questionable in Tondela: Cicero
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Estrela: Jovane
(Inactive)
Montoia G.
(Injury)
Ngom O.
(Inactive)
Nilton
(Foot Injury)
Semeu
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Tondela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Tondela won against Estrela da Amadora?
                    
                    
                        
                            Tondela has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Tondela?
                    
                    
                        
                             Estrela da Amadora has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Tondela - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
                                                        
                                26.02.2023 
                                Estrela da Amadora 
                                - 
                                Tondela 
                                0:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                05.09.2022 
                                Tondela 
                                - 
                                Estrela da Amadora 
                                1:1
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Tondela                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Estrela da Amadora                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | FC Porto | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 21:2 | 19 | 25 | 
| 2 | Sporting CP | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 23:5 | 18 | 22 | 
| 3 | Benfica | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 | 21 | 
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 14:4 | 10 | 19 | 
| 5 | Famalicao | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 | 
| 6 | Moreirense | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 | 
| 7 | Braga | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16:8 | 8 | 13 | 
| 8 | Rio Ave | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 13:14 | -1 | 11 | 
| 9 | Santa Clara | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 | 
| 10 | Nacional | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 11 | 
| 11 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 | 
| 12 | Alverca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 10 | 
| 13 | Arouca | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:24 | -14 | 9 | 
| 14 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 8:17 | -9 | 8 | 
| 15 | Estrela | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 | 
| 16 | Estoril | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 7 | 
| 17 | Tondela | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 4:17 | -13 | 5 | 
| 18 | AFS | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5:22 | -17 | 1 | 
      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Liga Portugal (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2