Result
0:0
21/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 6
- Referee: Correia G. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (305/368) | 73% (222/303) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.51 | 0.61 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 33 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (305/368) | 73% (222/303) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (25/46) | 40% (29/72) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (92/137) | 59% (40/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (8/30) | 20% (4/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.89 | 1.19 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 48% (10/21) | 57% (4/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.51 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.61 | 1.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Moreira P. 🟨,
- 45+1', Siebatcheu J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 49', Medina B. 🟨,
- 53', Vita R. 🟨,
- 58', Cabral S. 🟨,
- 59', Hodge J. ↓, Maviram E. ↑,
- 59', Vita R. ↓, Felix H. ↑,
- 60', Ryan Carlos ↓, Montoia G. ↑,
- 63', Kikas ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
- 63', Stoica I. ↓, Alisson Souza ↑,
- 68', Alisson Souza 🟨,
- 70', Bebeto ↓, Manso T. ↑,
- 70', Rony Lopes ↓, Sithole S. ↑,
- 77', Maviram E. 🟨,
- 79', Moreira P. ↓, Ngom O. ↑,
- 79', Cabral S. ↓, Encada J. ↑,
- 83', Siebatcheu J. ↓, Rodriguez Y. ↑,
- 87', Tavares H. 🟥,
Chances of winning
Tondela
41.6% | Draw
31.4% | Estrela da Amadora
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Tondela - Estrela da Amadora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(2.27) |
3.03 ↓
(3.3) |
3.51 ↑
(3.3) |
5.1%
(4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Tondela - Estrela da Amadora?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Estrela will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 15).
- Tondela is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Estrela is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Tondela may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Tondela is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There are questionable in Tondela: Cicero
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Estrela: Jovane
(Inactive)
Montoia G.
(Injury)
Ngom O.
(Inactive)
Nilton
(Foot Injury)
Semeu
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Tondela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Tondela won against Estrela da Amadora?
Tondela has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Tondela?
Estrela da Amadora has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tondela - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
26.02.2023
Estrela da Amadora
-
Tondela
0:0
05.09.2022
Tondela
-
Estrela da Amadora
1:1
Latest results of Tondela
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
