Result
21/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Tondela
40.4% | Draw
31.2% | Estrela da Amadora
28.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tondela has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Tondela - Estrela da Amadora Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(2.27) |
3.07 ↓
(3.3) |
3.25 ↓
(3.3) |
6%
(4.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 16 in the zone Liga Portugal (Relegation)).
- Tondela has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Estrela's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Estrela may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tondela won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Tondela won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Tondela won against Estrela da Amadora?
Tondela has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Tondela?
Estrela da Amadora has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tondela - Estrela da Amadora were as follows:
26.02.2023
Estrela da Amadora
-
Tondela
0:0
05.09.2022
Tondela
-
Estrela da Amadora
1:1
Latest results of Tondela
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12:1 | 11 | 15 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15:4 | 11 | 12 |
| 3 | Moreirense | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 12 |
| 4 | Benfica | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:2 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Famalicao | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Gil Vicente | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Braga | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 8 |
| 8 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 10 | Estoril | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 5 |
| 11 | Santa Clara | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 12 | Arouca | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:13 | -6 | 5 |
| 13 | Nacional | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Alverca | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 3 |
| 16 | Estrela | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | AFS | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 1 |
| 18 | Tondela | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:10 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
