Farense vs Tondela – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese League Cup Farense - Tondela
Result
1:0
27/09/2023 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • PORTUGAL: LEAGUE CUP - ROUND 1
  • Referee: Narciso A. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV

Highlights

Chances of winning


Farense
48.3%
Draw
28.1%
Tondela
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.8% 26.9% 19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8% 27.9% 18.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Farense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Farense's form might have worsened.
  • Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Farense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • Farense - Tondela Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.65)
    3.32
    (3.3)
    3.97
    (4.6)
    7%
    (12.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Farense - Tondela?
  • Users Predictions: Farense will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Farense won 2.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Tondela could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Farense is a favorite.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Farense won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-9.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Farense won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Farense - Tondela were as follows:
    28.05.2023 Farense - Tondela 3:1
    22.01.2023 Tondela - Farense 1:0
    Latest results of Farense
    23.09.2023 Moreirense - Farense 1:0
    16.09.2023 Farense - Braga 3:1
    02.09.2023 Famalicão - Farense 1:0
    26.08.2023 Farense - Chaves 5:0
    20.08.2023 Porto - Farense 2:1
    Latest results of Tondela
    16.09.2023 Tondela - Mafra 2:1
    01.09.2023 Tondela - Belenenses 0:1
    Draw
    2024/25

    Quarter-finals
    1Sporting CPNacional3 : 1
    2FC PortoMoreirense2 : 0
    3BenficaSanta Clara3 : 0
    4BragaVitoria Guimaraes2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Sporting CPFC Porto1 : 0
    2BenficaBraga3 : 0

    Final
    1Sporting CPBenfica1 : 2