Result
2:1
29/09/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 5
- Referee: Collu G. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | Azam Sports 2 |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Brazil | Disney+, ESPN 3 |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Sport 1 |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
France | DAZN France |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 1 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player |
Hungary | Match 4, Net4+ |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Israel | Sport 2 |
Italy | 214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, Primavera TV, SKY Go Italia, Sportitalia |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 1, ART Sport 1 |
Kuwait | Shasha |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 6 |
Mexico | Disney+ |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 2 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1 |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
Slovakia | Sport 1 |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 |
South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1 |
United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | K+, ON Football, ON Plus, VTVcab |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.32 | 0.70 |
Ball Possession |
---|
37% | 63% |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
73% (195/266) | 82% (367/447) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 3 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.32 | 0.70 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.79 | 1.18 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 15 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
7 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 8 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 7 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 0 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
12 | 39 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
73% (195/266) | 82% (367/447) |
Long passes |
---|
37% (17/46) | 37% (25/68) |
Passes in final third |
---|
53% (41/78) | 75% (92/123) |
Crosses |
---|
33% (4/12) | 29% (8/28) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.31 | 0.65 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
60% (9/15) | 63% (10/16) |
Duels won |
---|
48 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
33 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
6 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 2 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.18 | 0.79 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.18 | -1.21 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', Ndiaye A. 🟨,
- 30', Ngonge C. 🟨,
- 36', 1 - 0, Pellegrino M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 50', 1 - 1, Ngonge C. ⚽, Coco S. (A),
- 50', Baroni M. 🟨,
- 58', Oristanio G. ↓, Benedyczak A. ↑,
- 60', Pellegrino M. 🟨,
- 68', Nkounkou N. 🟨,
- 70', Nkounkou N. ↓, Biraghi C. ↑,
- 71', Asllani K. ↓, Tameze A. ↑,
- 72', 2 - 1, Pellegrino M. ⚽, Valeri E. (A),
- 77', Ismajli A. ↓, Adams C. ↑,
- 81', Bernabe A. ↓, Estevez N. ↑,
- 81', Cutrone P. ↓, Sorensen O. ↑,
- 87', Vlasic N. ↓, Aboukhlal Z. ↑,
- 87', Simeone G. ↓, Njie A. ↑,
- 90+1', Del Prato E. 🟨,
- 90+1', Pellegrino M. ↓, Djuric M. ↑,
- 90+2', Njie A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Parma 38.3% | Draw 32.1% | Torino 29.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Parma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Torino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Parma than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torino than the current prediction. (-2.1%)
Parma - Torino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.54 ↑ (2.25) |
3 ↓ (3.18) |
3.24 ↓ (3.48) |
3.6% (4.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Parma - Torino?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Parma will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). Torino will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Parma: 25.9% – 65.7%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Parma (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Torino (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Parma won 0.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Parma could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Parma: Cremaschi B.
(International duty)
Frigan M.
(Knee Injury)
Ondrejka J.
(Leg Injury)
Valenti L.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Torino: Masina A.
(Thigh Injury)
Savva Z.
(Knee Injury)
Sazonov S.
(Knee Injury)
Schuurs P.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Parma: Hernani
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Torino: Anjorin F.
(Injury)
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Parma won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:17. (average 1.4:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Parma won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 1.7:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Parma won against Torino?
Parma has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Torino won against Parma?
Torino has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Parma - Torino were as follows:
08.03.2025
Parma
-
Torino
2:2
05.01.2025
Torino
-
Parma
0:0
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Napoli | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12:6 | 6 | 15 |
2 | AS Roma | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 15 |
3 | AC Milan | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Inter | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 12 |
5 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Atalanta | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Bologna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
8 | Sassuolo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Como | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Cremonese | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
11 | Cagliari | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
12 | Udinese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Lazio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
14 | Lecce | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
15 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
16 | Torino | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:13 | -8 | 5 |
17 | Verona | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
18 | Fiorentina | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
19 | Pisa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 3 |
20 | Genoa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B