New York City II vs Toronto FC II – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Next Pro New York City II - Toronto FC II
Result
1:0
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS Next Pro
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Next Pro

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.91
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
74
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
88% (384/437)88% (419/477)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
0.710.91
xG on target (xGOT)
1.870.87
Total shots
1516
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
47
Blocked Shots
45
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
610
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1920
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
126
Passes
88% (384/437)88% (419/477)
Long passes
68% (30/44)52% (16/31)
Passes in final third
76% (84/110)82% (152/186)
Crosses
10% (1/10)13% (2/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.510.68
Throw-ins
2522
Fouls
612
Tackles
64% (9/14)75% (12/16)
Duels won
4933
Clearances
3421
Interceptions
1110
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
46
xGOT faced
0.871.87
Goals prevented
0.870.29

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 29', Ythallo 🟨,
  • 32', Elias P. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Sharp C. , Nolan J. ,
  • 53', 1 - 0, Guarino E. , Elias P. (A),
  • 66', Arroyave J. , Lacher J. ,
  • 66', Henry M. , Iliadis C. ,
  • 66', Ythallo , Fortier T. ,
  • 68', Chisholm M. 🟨,
  • 72', Sullivan M. 🟨,
  • 73', Iliadis C. 🟨,
  • 74', Zeitz U. , Sunjic L. ,
  • 81', Bossenberry A. , Edwards N. ,
  • 85', Elias P. , Infuso P. ,
  • 87', Guarino E. , Duque D. ,

Chances of winning


New York City II
52.7%
Draw
26%
Toronto FC II
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 24.5% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3% 24.2% 26.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • Toronto FC II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Toronto FC II might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York City II than the current prediction. (-3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC II than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Toronto FC II could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • New York City II - Toronto FC II Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.88)
    3.53
    (3.74)
    4.29
    (3.41)
    9.1%
    (9.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New York City II won 3.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Toronto II may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, New York City II is the team to beat.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, New York City II won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:16. (average 2.1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, New York City II won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:9. (average 2.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City II - Toronto FC II were as follows:
    15.05.2025 New York City II - Toronto FC II 3:0
    15.09.2024 Toronto FC II - New York City II 3:0
    11.09.2024 New York City II - Toronto FC II 1:2
    12.06.2024 Toronto FC II - New York City II 1:3
    15.09.2023 New York City II - Toronto FC II 4:3
    Latest results of New York City II
    Latest results of Toronto FC II
    MLS Next Pro Table
    2025

    Northeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2221322553:4645
    2Philadelphia Union II221053447:2343
    3Chicago Fire II211132554:3641
    4New England Revolution II20951537:2638
    5Toronto FC II23914928:3633
    6New York City II23824944:4632
    7Cincinnati 221570923:2829
    8Columbus Crew 2224131425:4717


    Southeast Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Huntsville221142546:2543
    2Chattanooga231043635:3341
    3Orlando City B238221132:4630
    4Crown Legacy23635939:4429
    5Carolina Core22544928:3127
    6Atlanta United 221526829:3425
    7Inter Miami II226041234:5322


    Pacific Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1Town FC201222449:2642
    2Ventura County221023744:4037
    3Real Monarchs20743635:3332
    4Vancouver Whitecaps 2228311047:4331
    5Tacoma Defiance20722950:5127
    6Los Angeles FC II227211235:4826
    7Portland Timbers 2216231032:3925


    Frontier Division
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2221530450:3051
    2Colorado Rapids 2231214645:3442
    3Austin FC II22835629:2835
    4Minnesota 221823834:3431
    5North Texas21831935:4331
    6Houston Dynamo 2237321132:3729
    7Sporting Kansas City II212131521:5211


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1New York Red Bulls 2221322553:4645
    2Huntsville221142546:2543
    3Philadelphia Union II221053447:2343
    4Chicago Fire II211132554:3641
    5Chattanooga231043635:3341
    6New England Revolution II20951537:2638
    7Toronto FC II23914928:3633
    8New York City II23824944:4632
    9Orlando City B238221132:4630
    10Crown Legacy23635939:4429
    11Cincinnati 221570923:2829
    12Carolina Core22544928:3127
    13Atlanta United 221526829:3425
    14Inter Miami II226041234:5322
    15Columbus Crew 2224131425:4717


    Western Conference
    PlWWLLPts
    1St. Louis City 2221530450:3051
    2Town FC201222449:2642
    3Colorado Rapids 2231214645:3442
    4Ventura County221023744:4037
    5Austin FC II22835629:2835
    6Real Monarchs20743635:3332
    7Vancouver Whitecaps 2228311047:4331
    8Minnesota 221823834:3431
    9North Texas21831935:4331
    10Houston Dynamo 2237321132:3729
    11Tacoma Defiance20722950:5127
    12Los Angeles FC II227211235:4826
    13Portland Timbers 2216231032:3925
    14Sporting Kansas City II212131521:5211

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