Charlotte vs Toronto FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Charlotte - Toronto FC
Result
2:0
26/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.69
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
88% (329/374)89% (428/481)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.901.09
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2435
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
616
Passes
88% (329/374)89% (428/481)
Long passes
56% (20/36)53% (21/40)
Passes in final third
71% (59/83)75% (93/124)
Crosses
50% (3/6)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.840.60
Throw-ins
1122
Fouls
166
Tackles
75% (6/8)50% (6/12)
Duels won
2639
Clearances
2010
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.091.90
Goals prevented
1.09-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Dominguez M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 61', 1 - 0, Toklomati I. , Bronico B. (A),
  • 62', Longstaff M. , Spicer T. ,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Calderon Vargas K. A. , Zaha W. (A),
  • 68', Westwood A. 🟨,
  • 72', Bronico B. , Williamson E. ,
  • 72', Osorio J. , Flores D. ,
  • 73', Calderon Vargas K. A. , Abada L. ,
  • 73', Tuiloma B. , Scardina N. ,
  • 88', Dominguez M. , Cimermancic M. ,
  • 89', Long K. , Stefanovic L. ,
  • 89', Toklomati I. , Smalls T. ,
  • 89', Biel P. , Petkovic N. ,

Chances of winning


Charlotte
62.5%
Draw
20.7%
Toronto FC
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 22.9% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 22.2% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Charlotte - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.61)
    4.51
    (4.13)
    5.59
    (5.14)
    5.4%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Charlotte - Toronto FC?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Charlotte will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Charlotte: 57.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Charlotte (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 12).
    • Charlotte is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Charlotte is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Abada L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Flores D. (Ankle Injury) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Petretta R. (Head Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Charlotte: Byrne N. (Neck Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Brynhildsen O. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte - Toronto FC were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Toronto FC - Charlotte 0:2
    13.04.2024 Charlotte - Toronto FC 3:2
    09.03.2024 Toronto FC - Charlotte 1:0
    04.10.2023 Charlotte - Toronto FC 3:0
    01.04.2023 Toronto FC - Charlotte 2:2
    Latest results of Charlotte
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC27164752:331952
    2Minnesota United27138644:301447
    3Vancouver Whitecaps26137644:291546
    4Seattle Sounders26118743:36741
    5Los Angeles FC24117643:301340
    6Portland Timbers26107935:37-237
    7Colorado Rapids271061136:41-536
    8Austin FC2598824:29-535
    9San Jose Earthquakes27881150:47332
    10Real Salt Lake26941327:33-631
    11FC Dallas26781138:46-829
    12Houston Dynamo26781133:42-929
    13Sporting Kansas City26661437:50-1324
    14St. Louis City26561529:44-1521
    15Los Angeles Galaxy26371629:55-2616


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Cincinnati27164742:34852
    2Philadelphia Union27156644:261851
    3Nashville SC27145844:311347
    4Orlando City27138653:351847
    5Inter Miami24136553:391445
    6Columbus Crew26129542:37545
    7Charlotte271421145:39644
    8New York City25125836:30641
    9Chicago Fire26116950:44639
    10New York Red Bulls271161042:37539
    11New England Revolution26771233:37-428
    12Toronto FC26581327:34-723
    13Atlanta Utd264101231:49-1822
    14CF Montreal27481525:48-2320
    15DC United27481523:52-2920

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