Charlotte vs Toronto FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS Charlotte - Toronto FC
Result
2:0
26/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.69
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
88% (329/374)89% (428/481)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
2.200.69
xG on target (xGOT)
1.901.09
Total shots
1013
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
50
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
2435
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
616
Passes
88% (329/374)89% (428/481)
Long passes
56% (20/36)53% (21/40)
Passes in final third
71% (59/83)75% (93/124)
Crosses
50% (3/6)28% (5/18)
Expected assists (xA)
1.840.60
Throw-ins
1122
Fouls
166
Tackles
75% (6/8)50% (6/12)
Duels won
2639
Clearances
2010
Interceptions
89
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.091.90
Goals prevented
1.09-0.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 39', Dominguez M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 61', 1 - 0, Toklomati I. , Bronico B. (A),
  • 62', Longstaff M. , Spicer T. ,
  • 65', 2 - 0, Calderon Vargas K. A. , Zaha W. (A),
  • 68', Westwood A. 🟨,
  • 72', Bronico B. , Williamson E. ,
  • 72', Osorio J. , Flores D. ,
  • 73', Calderon Vargas K. A. , Abada L. ,
  • 73', Tuiloma B. , Scardina N. ,
  • 88', Dominguez M. , Cimermancic M. ,
  • 89', Long K. , Stefanovic L. ,
  • 89', Toklomati I. , Smalls T. ,
  • 89', Biel P. , Petkovic N. ,

Chances of winning


Charlotte
62.5%
Draw
20.7%
Toronto FC
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.7% 22.9% 18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 22.2% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Charlotte - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.61)
    4.51
    (4.13)
    5.59
    (5.14)
    5.4%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Charlotte - Toronto FC?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Charlotte will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Charlotte: 57.1%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Charlotte (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 12).
    • Charlotte is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Charlotte is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Charlotte: Abada L. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Flores D. (Ankle Injury) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury) Petretta R. (Head Injury) Wingo H. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Charlotte: Byrne N. (Neck Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Brynhildsen O. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte - Toronto FC were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Toronto FC - Charlotte 0:2
    13.04.2024 Charlotte - Toronto FC 3:2
    09.03.2024 Toronto FC - Charlotte 1:0
    04.10.2023 Charlotte - Toronto FC 3:0
    01.04.2023 Toronto FC - Charlotte 2:2
    Latest results of Charlotte
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC25144748:321646
    2Vancouver Whitecaps24136542:261645
    3Minnesota United25128542:281444
    4Seattle Sounders24108639:35438
    5Portland Timbers24107733:32137
    6Los Angeles FC22106639:281136
    7Austin FC2396821:26-533
    8Real Salt Lake24941126:30-431
    9Colorado Rapids25861131:39-830
    10San Jose Earthquakes25781047:44329
    11Houston Dynamo24761130:39-927
    12FC Dallas24671135:45-1025
    13Sporting Kansas City24661236:45-924
    14St. Louis City24461424:40-1618
    15Los Angeles Galaxy24371428:48-2016


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union25155543:241950
    2FC Cincinnati25154639:31849
    3Nashville SC25145642:261647
    4Columbus Crew25128541:36544
    5Inter Miami22126449:341542
    6Orlando City25118646:331341
    7Charlotte251221143:39438
    8New York City24115834:29538
    9Chicago Fire24105945:40535
    10New York Red Bulls25961039:36333
    11New England Revolution24671131:35-425
    12Toronto FC24561325:32-721
    13Atlanta Utd24491129:45-1621
    14DC United25471422:49-2719
    15CF Montreal25461523:46-2318

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