Result
2:0
26/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Marrufo J. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.69 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (329/374) | 89% (428/481) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.20 | 0.69 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.90 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 35 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (329/374) | 89% (428/481) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (20/36) | 53% (21/40) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (59/83) | 75% (93/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 28% (5/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.84 | 0.60 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 50% (6/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 26 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 10 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.90 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.09 | -0.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Dominguez M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 61', 1 - 0, Toklomati I. ⚽, Bronico B. (A),
- 62', Longstaff M. ↓, Spicer T. ↑,
- 65', 2 - 0, Calderon Vargas K. A. ⚽, Zaha W. (A),
- 68', Westwood A. 🟨,
- 72', Bronico B. ↓, Williamson E. ↑,
- 72', Osorio J. ↓, Flores D. ↑,
- 73', Calderon Vargas K. A. ↓, Abada L. ↑,
- 73', Tuiloma B. ↓, Scardina N. ↑,
- 88', Dominguez M. ↓, Cimermancic M. ↑,
- 89', Long K. ↓, Stefanovic L. ↑,
- 89', Toklomati I. ↓, Smalls T. ↑,
- 89', Biel P. ↓, Petkovic N. ↑,
Chances of winning
Charlotte
62.5% | Draw
20.7% | Toronto FC
16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Charlotte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charlotte than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Charlotte - Toronto FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↓
(1.61) |
4.51 ↑
(4.13) |
5.59 ↑
(5.14) |
5.4%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Charlotte - Toronto FC?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Charlotte will win (votes: 11 - 78.6%). Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Charlotte: 57.1% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Charlotte (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 12).
- Charlotte is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Charlotte is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Charlotte: Abada L.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Toronto: Flores D.
(Ankle Injury)
Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Monlouis Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Petretta R.
(Head Injury)
Wingo H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Charlotte: Byrne N.
(Neck Injury)
- There are questionable in Toronto: Brynhildsen O.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charlotte won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 10:5. (average 2:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charlotte won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Charlotte won against Toronto FC?
Charlotte has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against Charlotte?
Toronto FC has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charlotte - Toronto FC were as follows:
31.05.2025
Toronto FC
-
Charlotte
0:2
13.04.2024
Charlotte
-
Toronto FC
3:2
09.03.2024
Toronto FC
-
Charlotte
1:0
04.10.2023
Charlotte
-
Toronto FC
3:0
01.04.2023
Toronto FC
-
Charlotte
2:2
Latest results of Charlotte
Latest results of Toronto FC
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
