Result
2:2
04/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Ford T. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (436/501) | 87% (345/395) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.49 | 2.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (436/501) | 87% (345/395) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (24/45) | 40% (14/35) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (99/138) | 69% (57/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 24% (4/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.11 | 0.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 71% (5/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.07 | 1.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.07 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 21', Zinckernagel P. 🟨,
- 28', 0 - 1, Elliott J. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Oregel S. ↓, D'Avilla D. ↑,
- 46', Gutierrez B. ↓, Bamba J. ↑,
- 61', Rogers S. ↓, Dean J. ↑,
- 61', Pineda M. ↓, Kouame R. ↑,
- 64', Etienne D. ↓, Stefanovic L. ↑,
- 70', Cifuentes J. ↓, Dominguez M. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 1, Elliott J. ⚽, Zinckernagel P. (A),
- 74', Laryea R. 🟨,
- 81', Cuypers H. ↓, Barlow T. ↑,
- 83', Kerr D. ↓, Corbeanu T. ↑,
- 89', 2 - 1, Elliott J. ⚽, Zinckernagel P. (A),
- 90', Mihailovic D. 🟨,
- 90+9', Mihailovic D. (Pen),
- 90+10', 2 - 2, Mihailovic D. ⚽,
- 90+11', Waterman J. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Chicago Fire
61.7% | Draw
22% | Toronto FC
16.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chicago Fire has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chicago Fire than the current prediction. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
Chicago Fire - Toronto FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.65) |
4.34 ↑
(4.08) |
5.79 ↑
(4.85) |
5.1%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Chicago Fire - Toronto FC?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Chicago (votes: 2 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Chicago Fire will win
(19 of 20 users predict this - 95%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.45% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 3.
- Chicago is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Chicago may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Chicago is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Chicago: Mueller C.
(Health problems)
- There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Long K.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Monlouis Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Petretta R.
(Yellow Cards)
Wingo H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in Chicago: Barroso L.
(Injury)
Radojevic V.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- We predict that Chicago will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Chicago won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 30:35. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chicago won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 10:12. (average 1.3:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Chicago Fire won against Toronto FC?
Chicago Fire has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against Chicago Fire?
Toronto FC has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chicago Fire - Toronto FC were as follows:
15.03.2025
Toronto FC
-
Chicago Fire
1:2
28.09.2024
Chicago Fire
-
Toronto FC
1:1
15.06.2024
Toronto FC
-
Chicago Fire
1:4
15.07.2023
Chicago Fire
-
Toronto FC
1:0
31.05.2023
Toronto FC
-
Chicago Fire
0:0
Latest results of Chicago Fire
Latest results of Toronto FC
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | 1 : 0 |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
