Result
1:1
16/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Penso C. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | TSN 4 |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.31 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (335/402) | 88% (463/527) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (335/402) | 88% (463/527) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 54% (30/56) | 62% (21/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (50/82) | 77% (132/172) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 1.17 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 74% (14/19) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.60 | 0.88 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.60 | -0.12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Rossi D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Aliyu I. ↓, Russell-Rowe J. ↑,
- 46', Amundsen M. ↓, Cheberko Y. ↑,
- 66', Rosted S. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
- 66', Brynhildsen O. ↓, Corbeanu T. ↑,
- 68', Rossi D. 🟨,
- 75', Kerr D. ↓, Vilsaint J. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Vilsaint J. ⚽, Mihailovic D. (A),
- 83', Herrera A. ↓, Picard H. ↑,
- 84', Rossi D. ↓, Lappalainen L. ↑,
- 89', Coello A. ↓, Franklin K. ↑,
- 89', Dominguez M. ↓, Etienne D. ↑,
- 89', Moreira S. ↓, Ruvalcaba C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Toronto FC
24.3% | Draw
25.1% | Columbus Crew
50.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto FC's form might have worsened.Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Columbus Crew's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto FC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Columbus Crew, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Toronto FC - Columbus Crew Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.87 ↑
(3.11) |
3.77 ↑
(3.59) |
1.88 ↓
(2.21) |
5.5%
(5.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Toronto FC - Columbus Crew?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). Columbus will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Columbus: 40% – 93.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Columbus Crew will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 0.
- Toronto has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Columbus is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Columbus has had a series of home games.
- Columbus could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Johnson S.
(Concussion)
Monlouis Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Wingo H.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Columbus: Camacho R.
(Thigh Injury)
Farsi M.
(Pelvis Injury)
Hagen N.
(Hand Injury)
- There are questionable in Columbus: Abou Ali W.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 1.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against Columbus Crew?
Toronto FC has won 0 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Columbus Crew won against Toronto FC?
Columbus Crew has won 3 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto FC - Columbus Crew were as follows:
18.09.2024
Toronto FC
-
Columbus Crew
0:2
06.07.2024
Columbus Crew
-
Toronto FC
4:0
26.08.2023
Columbus Crew
-
Toronto FC
2:0
11.03.2023
Toronto FC
-
Columbus Crew
1:1
Latest results of Toronto FC
Latest results of Columbus Crew
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 28 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 52:33 | 19 | 53 |
| 2 | Minnesota United | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 50 |
| 3 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Los Angeles FC | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 44:31 | 13 | 41 |
| 5 | Seattle Sounders | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43:36 | 7 | 41 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 35:37 | -2 | 38 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 36:44 | -8 | 36 |
| 8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 52:48 | 4 | 35 |
| 9 | Austin FC | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 26:32 | -6 | 35 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 28:36 | -8 | 31 |
| 11 | FC Dallas | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 39:47 | -8 | 30 |
| 12 | Houston Dynamo | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 34:44 | -10 | 29 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 37:50 | -13 | 24 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 27 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 31:47 | -16 | 21 |
| 15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 32:55 | -23 | 19 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Philadelphia Union | 28 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 48:26 | 22 | 54 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 28 | 16 | 4 | 8 | 42:35 | 7 | 52 |
| 3 | Nashville SC | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 49:32 | 17 | 50 |
| 4 | Orlando City | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54:40 | 14 | 47 |
| 5 | Inter Miami | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 54:40 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 43:39 | 4 | 45 |
| 7 | Charlotte | 27 | 14 | 2 | 11 | 45:39 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | New York City | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 37:30 | 7 | 44 |
| 9 | New York Red Bulls | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 42:37 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Chicago Fire | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50:48 | 2 | 39 |
| 11 | New England Revolution | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 31 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 27:34 | -7 | 24 |
| 13 | CF Montreal | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 28:50 | -22 | 23 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 27 | 4 | 11 | 12 | 31:49 | -18 | 23 |
| 15 | DC United | 28 | 4 | 9 | 15 | 24:53 | -29 | 21 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
