Result
1:1
20/09/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Arreguin E. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.17 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (378/434) | 85% (403/473) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 0.17 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.44 | 0.58 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (378/434) | 85% (403/473) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (11/25) | 47% (27/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (95/123) | 63% (59/93) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (8/16) | 75% (9/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.58 | 0.44 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.42 | -0.56 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 16', 1 - 0, Abou Ali W. ⚽, Arfsten M. (A),
- 32', Abou Ali W. ↓, Aliyu I. ↑,
- 34', Coello A. 🟨,
- 42', Gazdag D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 51', 1 - 1, Laryea R. ⚽, Osorio J. (A), Etienne D. (A2)
- 71', Cifuentes J. ↓, Stefanovic L. ↑,
- 71', Petretta R. ↓, Franklin K. ↑,
- 74', Gazdag D. ↓, Russell-Rowe J. ↑,
- 74', Chambost D. ↓, Habroune T. ↑,
- 80', Thompson K. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
- 89', Etienne D. ↓, Vilsaint J. ↑,
- 89', Corbeanu T. ↓, Cimermancic M. ↑,
- 90+8', Aliyu I. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Columbus Crew
64.4% | Draw
19.7% | Toronto FC
15.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Columbus Crew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Columbus Crew, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
Columbus Crew - Toronto FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.49 ↑
(1.42) |
4.77 ↓
(4.85) |
5.92 ↓
(6.7) |
4.9%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Columbus Crew - Toronto FC?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Columbus will win (votes: 5 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Columbus (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Toronto may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Columbus has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Columbus is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Columbus: Camacho R.
(Pelvis Injury)
Zawadzki S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Toronto: Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There are questionable in Columbus: Farsi M.
(Pelvis Injury)
Rossi D.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Toronto: Long K.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Columbus won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 27:28. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Columbus won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:10. (average 2:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Columbus Crew won against Toronto FC?
Columbus Crew has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against Columbus Crew?
Toronto FC has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Columbus Crew - Toronto FC were as follows:
16.08.2025
Toronto FC
-
Columbus Crew
1:1
18.09.2024
Toronto FC
-
Columbus Crew
0:2
06.07.2024
Columbus Crew
-
Toronto FC
4:0
26.08.2023
Columbus Crew
-
Toronto FC
2:0
11.03.2023
Toronto FC
-
Columbus Crew
1:1
Latest results of Columbus Crew
Latest results of Toronto FC
MLS Table
2026Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Minnesota United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Austin FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Seattle Sounders | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Houston Dynamo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | New York City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Cincinnati | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | DC United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Inter Miami | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Charlotte | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 10 | Philadelphia Union | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 0 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 13 | New England Revolution | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
