Result
3:1
03/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (401/484) | 80% (310/386) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.73 | 1.49 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (401/484) | 80% (310/386) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (25/51) | 47% (30/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 68% (69/101) | 62% (68/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.89 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 82% (18/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 47 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.49 | 2.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.49 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', Long K. 🟨,
- 19', Longstaff M. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Wolf H. ⚽, Ilenic M. (A),
- 25', Martinez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', 2 - 0, Ilenic M. ⚽, Ojeda A. (A), O'Neill A. (A2)
- 58', Petretta R. ↓, Laryea R. ↑,
- 58', Spicer T. ↓, Kerr D. ↑,
- 67', Dominguez M. 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 1, Romero T. (Own goal),
- 70', Risa B. ↓, O'Toole K. ↑,
- 70', Longstaff M. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
- 71', Henry M. 🟨,
- 74', 3 - 1, O'Toole K. ⚽, Wolf H. (A), Moralez M. (A2)
- 76', Ojeda A. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 84', Moralez M. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
- 84', Martinez A. ↓, Bakrar M. ↑,
Chances of winning
New York City
59.9% | Draw
22.4% | Toronto FC
17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
New York City - Toronto FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.53) |
4.23 ↓
(4.42) |
5.36 ↓
(5.97) |
5.6%
(4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for New York City - Toronto FC?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 44.9% – 88.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 13 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 7 - 53.8%). Toronto (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Toronto (1.87) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Toronto (2.33) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DNB - Toronto (4.10) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 21 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 8 - 38.1%). Toronto (votes: 11 - 52.4%). Tie (votes: 2 - 9.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 5.
- NY City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Toronto has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- NY City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
- In this match, NY City is the team to beat.
- There will not play in NY City: Freese M.
(International duty)
Jones M.
(Broken Leg)
Parks K.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Toronto: Flores D.
(International duty)
Franklin K.
(Ankle Injury)
Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Monlouis Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in NY City: Arroyave J.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Toronto: Bernardeschi F.
(Knock)
Osorio J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY City won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:30. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against Toronto FC?
New York City has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against New York City?
Toronto FC has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Toronto FC were as follows:
26.04.2025
Toronto FC
-
New York City
0:1
11.05.2024
Toronto FC
-
New York City
2:3
16.03.2024
New York City
-
Toronto FC
2:1
24.09.2023
New York City
-
Toronto FC
3:0
26.07.2023
New York City
-
Toronto FC
5:0
Latest results of New York City
Latest results of Toronto FC
MLS Table
2026Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 3 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 4 | Seattle Sounders | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Dallas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Portland Timbers | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Houston Dynamo | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Minnesota United | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Austin FC | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | St. Louis City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Real Salt Lake | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Nashville SC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | FC Cincinnati | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | DC United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | New York City | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | Charlotte | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Toronto FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 0 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 10 | Orlando City | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 12 | Atlanta Utd | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 13 | New England Revolution | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 14 | Inter Miami | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:5 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
