New York City vs Toronto FC: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer MLS New York City - Toronto FC
03/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
New York City - Toronto FC - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Chances of winning


New York City
58.6%
Draw
22.7%
Toronto FC
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 21.6% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8% 21.2% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • New York City - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.62
    (1.53)
    4.15
    (4.42)
    5.05
    (5.97)
    5.8%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 5.
    • NY City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Toronto is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, NY City is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY City won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:30. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Toronto FC were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Toronto FC - New York City 0:1
    11.05.2024 Toronto FC - New York City 2:3
    16.03.2024 New York City - Toronto FC 2:1
    24.09.2023 New York City - Toronto FC 3:0
    26.07.2023 New York City - Toronto FC 5:0
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC20123541:251639
    2Vancouver Whitecaps19115335:191638
    3Minnesota United2097433:231034
    4Portland Timbers1986528:27130
    5Seattle Sounders1985627:25229
    6San Jose Earthquakes2076740:32827
    7Los Angeles FC1775530:24626
    8Colorado Rapids2075823:28-526
    9Austin FC2075815:23-826
    10Houston Dynamo2065925:31-623
    11FC Dallas1956826:35-921
    12Sporting Kansas City20551031:37-620
    13Real Salt Lake19541019:26-719
    14St. Louis City20361119:31-1215
    15Los Angeles Galaxy20161319:42-239


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union20124435:201540
    2FC Cincinnati20123531:26539
    3Nashville SC20115436:231338
    4Columbus Crew20107333:26737
    5Orlando City2096537:261133
    6Inter Miami1685336:27929
    7New York Red Bulls2085732:24829
    8Chicago Fire1984738:34428
    9New York City1984724:21328
    10Charlotte20811132:34-225
    11New England Revolution1866624:21324
    12DC United20461017:39-2218
    13Toronto FC19451022:25-317
    14Atlanta Utd19451022:37-1517
    15CF Montreal20351217:36-1914

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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