New York City vs Toronto FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS New York City - Toronto FC
Result
3:1
03/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.40
Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
56
Passes
83% (401/484)80% (310/386)
Yellow Cards
14
Expected Goals (xG)
1.381.40
xG on target (xGOT)
2.731.49
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
23
Shots inside the Box
88
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
51
Corner Kicks
56
Touches in opposition box
2219
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1210
Passes
83% (401/484)80% (310/386)
Long passes
49% (25/51)47% (30/64)
Passes in final third
68% (69/101)62% (68/109)
Crosses
17% (1/6)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.680.89
Throw-ins
2124
Fouls
1012
Tackles
61% (11/18)82% (18/22)
Duels won
4755
Clearances
3725
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.492.73
Goals prevented
1.49-0.27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', Long K. 🟨,
  • 19', Longstaff M. 🟨,
  • 20', 1 - 0, Wolf H. , Ilenic M. (A),
  • 25', Martinez A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 49', 2 - 0, Ilenic M. , Ojeda A. (A), O'Neill A. (A2)
  • 58', Petretta R. , Laryea R. ,
  • 58', Spicer T. , Kerr D. ,
  • 67', Dominguez M. 🟨,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Romero T. (Own goal),
  • 70', Risa B. , O'Toole K. ,
  • 70', Longstaff M. , Henry M. ,
  • 71', Henry M. 🟨,
  • 74', 3 - 1, O'Toole K. , Wolf H. (A), Moralez M. (A2)
  • 76', Ojeda A. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 84', Moralez M. , Shore J. ,
  • 84', Martinez A. , Bakrar M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


New York City
59.9%
Draw
22.4%
Toronto FC
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 21.6% 16%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.8% 21.2% 15.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)
  • Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • New York City - Toronto FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.53)
    4.23
    (4.42)
    5.36
    (5.97)
    5.6%
    (4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for New York City - Toronto FC?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 44.9%88.5%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 3 - 50%). Toronto (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • DC - Toronto (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 5.
    • NY City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Toronto has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • NY City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, NY City is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in NY City: Freese M. (International duty) Jones M. (Broken Leg) Parks K. (Leg Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Flores D. (International duty) Franklin K. (Ankle Injury) Gomis N. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Monlouis Z. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in NY City: Arroyave J. (Leg Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Bernardeschi F. (Knock) Osorio J. (Lower-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY City won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:30. (average 1.7:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Toronto FC were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Toronto FC - New York City 0:1
    11.05.2024 Toronto FC - New York City 2:3
    16.03.2024 New York City - Toronto FC 2:1
    24.09.2023 New York City - Toronto FC 3:0
    26.07.2023 New York City - Toronto FC 5:0
    Latest results of New York City
    Latest results of Toronto FC
    MLS Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1San Diego FC ✔ 32176956:391757
    2Vancouver Whitecaps ✔ 31169659:342557
    3Minnesota United ✔ 321510752:371555
    4Los Angeles FC ✔ 30158760:372353
    5Seattle Sounders311210954:47746
    6Austin FC311281134:40-644
    7Portland Timbers3211111041:43-244
    8Colorado Rapids321171442:53-1140
    9San Jose Earthquakes321081457:58-138
    10FC Dallas319111147:51-438
    11Real Salt Lake311141635:46-1137
    12Houston Dynamo32991441:52-1136
    13St. Louis City32771839:55-1628
    14Sporting Kansas City32761946:67-2127
    15Los Angeles Galaxy31591741:62-2124


    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Philadelphia Union ✔ 32196756:332363
    2FC Cincinnati ✔ 31184947:39858
    3New York City ✔ 321751049:41856
    4Inter Miami ✔ 30168665:471856
    5Charlotte ✔ 321721352:46653
    6Nashville SC321651155:391653
    7Orlando City30149758:431551
    8Columbus Crew321311851:49250
    9Chicago Fire311461159:53648
    10New York Red Bulls321271347:43443
    11New England Revolution32981541:45-435
    12Toronto FC315131331:38-728
    13CF Montreal32691733:56-2327
    14Atlanta Utd315121437:57-2027
    15DC United325101729:64-3525

          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    San Diego FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Vancouver Whitecaps is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Minnesota United is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Los Angeles FC is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Philadelphia Union is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    FC Cincinnati is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    New York City is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Inter Miami is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Charlotte is Qualified for MLS (Play Offs 1/8~finals)