Result
3:1
03/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.38 | 1.40 |
Ball Possession |
---|
55% | 45% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
83% (401/484) | 80% (310/386) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 4 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.38 | 1.40 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.73 | 1.49 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
8 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
3 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
5 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
22 | 19 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
0 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
12 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
83% (401/484) | 80% (310/386) |
Long passes |
---|
49% (25/51) | 47% (30/64) |
Passes in final third |
---|
68% (69/101) | 62% (68/109) |
Crosses |
---|
17% (1/6) | 17% (4/23) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.68 | 0.89 |
Throw-ins |
---|
21 | 24 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 12 |
Tackles |
---|
61% (11/18) | 82% (18/22) |
Duels won |
---|
47 | 55 |
Clearances |
---|
37 | 25 |
Interceptions |
---|
10 | 10 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.49 | 2.73 |
Goals prevented |
---|
1.49 | -0.27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2', Long K. 🟨,
- 19', Longstaff M. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 0, Wolf H. ⚽, Ilenic M. (A),
- 25', Martinez A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 49', 2 - 0, Ilenic M. ⚽, Ojeda A. (A), O'Neill A. (A2)
- 58', Petretta R. ↓, Laryea R. ↑,
- 58', Spicer T. ↓, Kerr D. ↑,
- 67', Dominguez M. 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 1, Romero T. (Own goal),
- 70', Risa B. ↓, O'Toole K. ↑,
- 70', Longstaff M. ↓, Henry M. ↑,
- 71', Henry M. 🟨,
- 74', 3 - 1, O'Toole K. ⚽, Wolf H. (A), Moralez M. (A2)
- 76', Ojeda A. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 84', Moralez M. ↓, Shore J. ↑,
- 84', Martinez A. ↓, Bakrar M. ↑,
Chances of winning
New York City 59.9% | Draw 22.4% | Toronto FC 17.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)Toronto FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+3.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto FC than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
New York City - Toronto FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.58 ↑ (1.53) |
4.23 ↓ (4.42) |
5.36 ↓ (5.97) |
5.6% (4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for New York City - Toronto FC?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 12 - 66.7%). Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY City: 44.9% – 88.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. NY City (votes: 3 - 50%). Toronto (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
- DC - Toronto (votes: 4 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 5.
- NY City has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Toronto has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- NY City may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
- In this match, NY City is the team to beat.
- There will not play in NY City: Freese M.
(International duty)
Jones M.
(Broken Leg)
Parks K.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Toronto: Flores D.
(International duty)
Franklin K.
(Ankle Injury)
Gomis N.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Monlouis Z.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- There are questionable in NY City: Arroyave J.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Toronto: Bernardeschi F.
(Knock)
Osorio J.
(Lower-Body Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY City won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 34:30. (average 1.7:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:11. (average 2.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has New York City won against Toronto FC?
New York City has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto FC won against New York City?
Toronto FC has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New York City - Toronto FC were as follows:
26.04.2025
Toronto FC
-
New York City
0:1
11.05.2024
Toronto FC
-
New York City
2:3
16.03.2024
New York City
-
Toronto FC
2:1
24.09.2023
New York City
-
Toronto FC
3:0
26.07.2023
New York City
-
Toronto FC
5:0
Latest results of New York City
Latest results of Toronto FC
MLS Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | San Diego FC | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 47:32 | 15 | 43 |
2 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 23 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 39:26 | 13 | 42 |
3 | Minnesota United | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 40:27 | 13 | 41 |
4 | Seattle Sounders | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 37:33 | 4 | 37 |
5 | Los Angeles FC | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 39:27 | 12 | 36 |
6 | Portland Timbers | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 34 |
7 | Colorado Rapids | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 30:36 | -6 | 30 |
8 | Austin FC | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 17:24 | -7 | 30 |
9 | San Jose Earthquakes | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 29 |
10 | Real Salt Lake | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 24:29 | -5 | 28 |
11 | Houston Dynamo | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | -9 | 27 |
12 | FC Dallas | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 32:41 | -9 | 25 |
13 | Sporting Kansas City | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 36:42 | -6 | 24 |
14 | St. Louis City | 23 | 4 | 6 | 13 | 23:38 | -15 | 18 |
15 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 28:48 | -20 | 16 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Cincinnati | 24 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 39:31 | 8 | 48 |
2 | Nashville SC | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 42:25 | 17 | 47 |
3 | Philadelphia Union | 24 | 14 | 5 | 5 | 40:23 | 17 | 47 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
5 | Inter Miami | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 49:34 | 15 | 41 |
6 | Orlando City | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 43:32 | 11 | 38 |
7 | Charlotte | 24 | 11 | 2 | 11 | 41:39 | 2 | 35 |
8 | New York City | 23 | 10 | 5 | 8 | 30:26 | 4 | 35 |
9 | New York Red Bulls | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 39:35 | 4 | 33 |
10 | Chicago Fire | 23 | 9 | 5 | 9 | 44:40 | 4 | 32 |
11 | New England Revolution | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 30:32 | -2 | 25 |
12 | Toronto FC | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 25:30 | -5 | 21 |
13 | Atlanta Utd | 23 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 27:43 | -16 | 20 |
14 | DC United | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:45 | -25 | 19 |
15 | CF Montreal | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 20:45 | -25 | 15 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)