Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
2:4
02/02/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Premier Sports 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3022
Shots off target
1313
Shooting PCT
6.67% (2/30)18.18% (4/22)
Blocked shots
2717
Goalkeeper Saves
1828
Saves PCT
85.71% (18/21)93.33% (28/30)
Penalties
12
PIM
24
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)100% (2/2)
Hits
2014
Faceoffs Won
1728
Faceoffs %
37.7862.22
Giveaways
1815
Takeaways
37
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 00:35, 0 - 1, Nylander W. (G), Tavares J. (A),
  • 2nd Period (2 - 2)
  • 07:17, 0 - 2, Maccelli M. (G), Nylander W. (A),
  • 08:11, Carlo B. (2 min),
  • 08:11, Backlund M. (2 min),
  • 09:10, 0 - 3, Stecher T. (G), Nylander W. (A), Matthews A. (A2)
  • 13:15, 1 - 3, Kadri N. (G), Farabee J. (A), Hanley J. (A2)
  • 15:46, 2 - 3, Farabee J. (G), Kadri N. (A), Weegar M. (A2)
  • 17:46, Knies M. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 19:35, 2 - 4, McMann B. (G), Laughton S. (A), Carlo B. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Calgary Flames
36.5%		Draw
22.8%		Toronto Maple Leafs
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.8% 23% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3% 22.6% 44.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Calgary Flames has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calgary Flames than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
    •

    Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.59 ↓
    (2.92)    		 4.15 ↓
    (4.17)    		 2.36 ↑
    (2.17)    		 5.2%
    (4.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Calgary will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Toronto will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 21.7% – 78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Calgary (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Toronto (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 0.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Calgary has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Calgary: Bean J. (Injury) Beecher J. (Upper-Body Injury) Coleman B. (Upper-Body Injury) Honzek S. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Joshua D. (Upper-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Rielly M. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 53:64. (average 2.7:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 2.9:3.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    28.10.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Calgary Flames 4:3
    04.02.2025 Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:6
    18.01.2024 Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4
    10.11.2023 Toronto Maple Leafs - Calgary Flames 5:4
    02.03.2023 Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:2
    Latest results of Calgary Flames
    31.01.2026 Calgary Flames - San Jose Sharks 3:2 ✺
    29.01.2026 Minnesota Wild - Calgary Flames 4:1 ✺
    25.01.2026 Calgary Flames - Anaheim Ducks 3:4 ✺
    23.01.2026 Calgary Flames - Washington Capitals 1:3 ✺
    21.01.2026 Calgary Flames - Pittsburgh Penguins 1:4 ✺
    Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
    31.01.2026 Vancouver Canucks - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:3 ✺
    29.01.2026 Seattle Kraken - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:2 ✺
    27.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Buffalo Sabres 4:7 ✺
    25.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Colorado Avalanche 1:4 ✺
    23.01.2026 Toronto Maple Leafs - Vegas Golden Knights 3:6 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche60383910230:14991
    2Dallas Stars61317914212:16585
    3Minnesota Wild6223131016209:18082
    4Vegas Golden Knights622181419205:19772
    5Anaheim Ducks612014324205:21271
    6Utah Mammoth62267425196:16970
    7Edmonton Oilers62228824220:21068
    8Seattle Kraken61236923173:17967
    9San Jose Sharks591812425186:20764
    10Nashville Predators62217826185:21364
    11Los Angeles Kings601591422155:17962
    12Winnipeg Jets612141026175:18760
    13Chicago Blackhawks611851028163:19556
    14St. Louis Blues61221929159:21055
    15Calgary Flames61204730150:18555
    16Vancouver Canucks61126736157:23043


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes612910616214:17584
    2Tampa Bay Lightning60299418211:16280
    3Buffalo Sabres62316619214:18480
    4Detroit Red Wings622411720185:18777
    5Montreal Canadiens602211918213:20075
    6Pittsburgh Penguins612741317205:18075
    7New York Islanders622312522183:17775
    8Boston Bruins61268522205:19473
    9Columbus Blue Jackets612210821196:19372
    10Ottawa Senators61246922205:19469
    11Washington Capitals63265725199:18969
    12Philadelphia Flyers611991122177:19167
    13Toronto Maple Leafs631981125200:22165
    14New Jersey Devils622011229160:18664
    15Florida Panthers62246329188:20963
    16New York Rangers61159829166:19256

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