Result
2:4
02/02/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
Germany | NHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix |
Iceland | Viaplay |
Italy | DAZN Italia |
Mexico | Sky Sport |
Norway | Viaplay |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | Viaplay |
United-kingdom | DAZN, Premier Sports 2 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 13 | 13 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 6.67% (2/30) | 18.18% (4/22) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 27 | 17 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 18 | 28 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 85.71% (18/21) | 93.33% (28/30) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (2/2) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 20 | 14 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 17 | 28 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 37.78 | 62.22 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 00:35, 0 - 1, Nylander W. (G), Tavares J. (A),
- 2nd Period (2 - 2)
- 07:17, 0 - 2, Maccelli M. (G), Nylander W. (A),
- 08:11, Carlo B. (2 min),
- 08:11, Backlund M. (2 min),
- 09:10, 0 - 3, Stecher T. (G), Nylander W. (A), Matthews A. (A2)
- 13:15, 1 - 3, Kadri N. (G), Farabee J. (A), Hanley J. (A2)
- 15:46, 2 - 3, Farabee J. (G), Kadri N. (A), Weegar M. (A2)
- 17:46, Knies M. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (0 - 1)
- 19:35, 2 - 4, McMann B. (G), Laughton S. (A), Carlo B. (A2)
Chances of winning
Calgary Flames 36.5% | Draw 22.8% | Toronto Maple Leafs 40.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Calgary Flames has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calgary Flames than the current prediction. (-4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.59 ↓ (2.92) |
4.15 ↓ (4.17) |
2.36 ↑ (2.17) |
5.2% (4.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Calgary will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Toronto will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 21.7% – 78.3%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Calgary (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Toronto (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 0.
- The current form of both teams is below expectations.
- Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Calgary has had a series of home games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Calgary: Bean J.
(Injury)
Beecher J.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Coleman B.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Honzek S.
(Upper-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Toronto: Joshua D.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Tanev C.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Toronto: Rielly M.
(Upper-Body Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 53:64. (average 2.7:3.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 2.9:3.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Calgary Flames won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
Calgary Flames has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Calgary Flames?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
28.10.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Calgary Flames
4:3
04.02.2025
Calgary Flames
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:6
18.01.2024
Calgary Flames
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
3:4
10.11.2023
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Calgary Flames
5:4
02.03.2023
Calgary Flames
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
1:2
Latest results of Calgary Flames
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
NHL Table
MainWestern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Colorado Avalanche ✔ | 71 | 42 | 6 | 10 | 13 | 266:179 | 106 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars ✔ | 72 | 33 | 10 | 11 | 18 | 245:198 | 97 |
| 3 | Minnesota Wild | 73 | 26 | 15 | 12 | 20 | 239:210 | 94 |
| 4 | Anaheim Ducks | 72 | 24 | 17 | 4 | 27 | 243:247 | 86 |
| 5 | Utah Mammoth | 73 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 30 | 229:210 | 80 |
| 6 | Edmonton Oilers | 72 | 27 | 8 | 9 | 28 | 250:246 | 79 |
| 7 | Vegas Golden Knights | 72 | 24 | 8 | 14 | 26 | 225:225 | 78 |
| 8 | Nashville Predators | 72 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 29 | 217:239 | 77 |
| 9 | Seattle Kraken | 71 | 25 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 204:221 | 74 |
| 10 | Los Angeles Kings | 71 | 18 | 10 | 18 | 25 | 189:216 | 74 |
| 11 | Winnipeg Jets | 72 | 24 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 205:223 | 72 |
| 12 | San Jose Sharks | 70 | 20 | 12 | 7 | 31 | 212:251 | 71 |
| 13 | St. Louis Blues | 71 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 186:226 | 71 |
| 14 | Calgary Flames | 72 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 34 | 182:222 | 68 |
| 15 | Chicago Blackhawks | 72 | 20 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 188:233 | 67 |
| 16 | Vancouver Canucks | 70 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 41 | 182:262 | 50 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Carolina Hurricanes | 71 | 32 | 13 | 6 | 20 | 252:211 | 96 |
| 2 | Buffalo Sabres | 72 | 37 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 254:211 | 96 |
| 3 | Tampa Bay Lightning | 71 | 35 | 9 | 6 | 21 | 260:199 | 94 |
| 4 | Montreal Canadiens | 71 | 28 | 12 | 10 | 21 | 251:231 | 90 |
| 5 | Boston Bruins | 72 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 24 | 240:224 | 88 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 72 | 29 | 7 | 16 | 20 | 247:228 | 88 |
| 7 | Columbus Blue Jackets | 72 | 27 | 11 | 11 | 23 | 232:219 | 87 |
| 8 | New York Islanders | 73 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 27 | 211:207 | 87 |
| 9 | Ottawa Senators | 72 | 32 | 6 | 10 | 24 | 242:220 | 86 |
| 10 | Detroit Red Wings | 71 | 27 | 11 | 8 | 25 | 207:211 | 84 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Flyers | 71 | 22 | 13 | 12 | 24 | 209:215 | 82 |
| 12 | Washington Capitals | 73 | 31 | 5 | 9 | 28 | 227:215 | 81 |
| 13 | New Jersey Devils | 71 | 25 | 12 | 2 | 32 | 197:215 | 76 |
| 14 | Toronto Maple Leafs | 73 | 23 | 8 | 13 | 29 | 229:255 | 75 |
| 15 | Florida Panthers | 71 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 33 | 213:236 | 73 |
| 16 | New York Rangers | 72 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 35 | 202:230 | 65 |
Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )