Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
02/02/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix
icelandIcelandViaplay
italyItalyDAZN Italia
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Premier Sports 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3022
Shots off target
1313
Shooting PCT
6.67% (2/30)18.18% (4/22)
Blocked shots
2717
Goalkeeper Saves
1828
Saves PCT
85.71% (18/21)93.33% (28/30)
Penalties
12
PIM
24
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)0% (0/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (1/1)100% (2/2)
Hits
2014
Faceoffs Won
1728
Faceoffs %
37.7862.22
Giveaways
1815
Takeaways
37
Empty Net Goals
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 00:35, 0 - 1, Nylander W. (G), Tavares J. (A),
  • 2nd Period (2 - 2)
  • 07:17, 0 - 2, Maccelli M. (G), Nylander W. (A),
  • 08:11, Carlo B. (2 min),
  • 08:11, Backlund M. (2 min),
  • 09:10, 0 - 3, Stecher T. (G), Nylander W. (A), Matthews A. (A2)
  • 13:15, 1 - 3, Kadri N. (G), Farabee J. (A), Hanley J. (A2)
  • 15:46, 2 - 3, Farabee J. (G), Kadri N. (A), Weegar M. (A2)
  • 17:46, Knies M. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 19:35, 2 - 4, McMann B. (G), Laughton S. (A), Carlo B. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Calgary Flames
36.5%
Draw
22.8%
Toronto Maple Leafs
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.8% 23% 44.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.3% 22.6% 44.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Calgary Flames has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calgary Flames than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.59
    (2.92)
    4.15
    (4.17)
    2.36
    (2.17)
    5.2%
    (4.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Calgary will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Toronto will win (votes: 6 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 21.7%78.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Calgary (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Toronto (votes: 5 - 31.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 5.5, OT - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 14 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 0.
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Toronto may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Calgary has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Calgary: Bean J. (Injury) Beecher J. (Upper-Body Injury) Coleman B. (Upper-Body Injury) Honzek S. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Joshua D. (Upper-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Groin Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Rielly M. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Calgary won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 53:64. (average 2.7:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Calgary won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:32. (average 2.9:3.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    28.10.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Calgary Flames 4:3
    04.02.2025 Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:6
    18.01.2024 Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4
    10.11.2023 Toronto Maple Leafs - Calgary Flames 5:4
    02.03.2023 Calgary Flames - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:2
    Latest results of Calgary Flames
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    4Montreal Canadiens7128121021251:23190
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    7Columbus Blue Jackets7227111123232:21987
    8New York Islanders732714527211:20787
    9Ottawa Senators723261024242:22086
    10Detroit Red Wings712711825207:21184
    11Philadelphia Flyers7122131224209:21582
    12Washington Capitals72305928220:21179
    13New Jersey Devils712512232197:21576
    14Toronto Maple Leafs732381329229:25575
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