Toronto Maple Leafs vs Pittsburgh Penguins – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL
Result
6:3
23/12/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 1, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5
germanyGermanyNHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1 Premium
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, Premier Sports 2
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaTNT, truTV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3131
Shots off target
169
Shooting PCT
19.35% (6/31)9.68% (3/31)
Blocked Shots
715
Goalkeeper Saves
2825
Saves PCT
90.32% (28/31)86.21% (25/29)
Penalties
33
PIM
66
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)100% (3/3)
Hits
1916
Faceoffs Won
3424
Faceoffs %
58.6241.38
Giveaways
1914
Takeaways
67
Empty Net Goals
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 1)
  • 09:07, 1 - 0, Nylander W. (G),
  • 09:51, 1 - 1, Rust B. (G), Crosby S. (A), Letang K. (A2)
  • 13:34, 2 - 1, Maccelli M. (G), Nylander W. (A), Myers P. (A2)
  • 20:00, Letang K. (2 min),
  • 20:00, McMann B. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 07:38, 3 - 1, Lorentz S. (G),
  • 11:43, 3 - 2, McGroarty R. (G),
  • 3rd Period (3 - 1)
  • 01:00, 3 - 3, Mantha A. (G), Wotherspoon P. (A), Brazeau J. (A2)
  • 09:10, Karlsson E. (2 min),
  • 09:41, Maccelli M. (2 min),
  • 09:57, Kindel B. (2 min),
  • 11:35, 4 - 3, Domi M. (G), Ekman-Larsson O. (A), Nylander W. (A2)
  • 17:57, 5 - 3, McMann B. (G), Domi M. (A),
  • 18:36, 6 - 3, Nylander W. (G), Tavares J. (A), Knies M. (A2)
  • 19:15, Myers P. (2 min),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
43.4%		Draw
22.6%		Pittsburgh Penguins
34.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 20.7% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2% 19.7% 29.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto Maple Leafs's form might have worsened.
  • Pittsburgh Penguins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Maple Leafs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
    •

    Toronto Maple Leafs - Pittsburgh Penguins Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.2 ↑
    (1.94)    		 4.23 ↓
    (4.57)    		 2.81 ↓
    (3.08)    		 4.8%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Pittsburgh Penguins?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Toronto (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B. (Lower-Body Injury) Mermis D. (Lower-Body Injury) Stolarz A. (Upper-Body Injury) Tanev C. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Pittsburgh: Hallander F. (Leg Injury) Jones C. (Lower-Body Injury) Lizotte B. (Upper-Body Injury) Malkin E. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 66:55. (average 3.3:2.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:19. (average 3.1:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Pittsburgh Penguins were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Toronto Maple Leafs 2:7
    03.11.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Pittsburgh Penguins 4:3
    02.03.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:6
    07.12.2024 Pittsburgh Penguins - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:2
    12.10.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Pittsburgh Penguins 4:2
    Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
    21.12.2025 Dallas Stars - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Nashville Predators - Toronto Maple Leafs 5:3 ✺
    18.12.2025 Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:0 ✺
    16.12.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Chicago Blackhawks 3:2 ✺
    13.12.2025 Toronto Maple Leafs - Edmonton Oilers 3:6 ✺
    Latest results of Pittsburgh Penguins
    21.12.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Montreal Canadiens 4:3 ✺
    20.12.2025 Montreal Canadiens - Pittsburgh Penguins 4:0 ✺
    18.12.2025 Ottawa Senators - Pittsburgh Penguins 4:0 ✺
    16.12.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Edmonton Oilers 4:6 ✺
    14.12.2025 Pittsburgh Penguins - Utah Mammoth 4:5 ✺
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche673951013250:17298
    2Dallas Stars6833101015237:18596
    3Minnesota Wild7025141219231:20190
    4Anaheim Ducks682215427225:23678
    5Utah Mammoth69288627218:19178
    6Edmonton Oilers70268927243:23977
    7Vegas Golden Knights692381424220:21576
    8Los Angeles Kings6818101624183:20572
    9Seattle Kraken68256928194:20871
    10Nashville Predators68238928202:22971
    11San Jose Sharks672012629207:23970
    12Winnipeg Jets682351129192:21267
    13St. Louis Blues682431130178:22465
    14Chicago Blackhawks681971230180:21864
    15Calgary Flames68225734169:21361
    16Vancouver Canucks68147839178:25450


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes683112619241:20292
    2Buffalo Sabres69367620242:20092
    3Tampa Bay Lightning67339421243:18688
    4Montreal Canadiens6825121021237:22584
    5Pittsburgh Penguins682951618235:21084
    6Detroit Red Wings692711823203:20484
    7Boston Bruins692810823230:21584
    8Columbus Blue Jackets6825111121223:21283
    9New York Islanders692514525202:19583
    10Ottawa Senators68296924229:21179
    11Philadelphia Flyers6820131223198:21078
    12Washington Capitals69295827216:20476
    13New Jersey Devils682312231186:20772
    14Florida Panthers68277331205:22571
    15Toronto Maple Leafs692181228216:24170
    16New York Rangers69199833196:22164

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