Result
6:3
23/12/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- NHL
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | ESPN |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5 |
 Germany | NHL.tv, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 Mexico | Sky Sport |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 United-kingdom | DAZN, Premier Sports 2 |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | TNT, truTV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | NHL.tv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 31 | 31 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 16 | 9 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 19.35% (6/31) | 9.68% (3/31) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 28 | 25 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 90.32% (28/31) | 86.21% (25/29) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 100% (3/3) |
| Hits |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 34 | 24 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 58.62 | 41.38 |
| Giveaways |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Takeaways |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 1)
- 09:07, 1 - 0, Nylander W. (G),
- 09:51, 1 - 1, Rust B. (G), Crosby S. (A), Letang K. (A2)
- 13:34, 2 - 1, Maccelli M. (G), Nylander W. (A), Myers P. (A2)
- 20:00, Letang K. (2 min),
- 20:00, McMann B. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 07:38, 3 - 1, Lorentz S. (G),
- 11:43, 3 - 2, McGroarty R. (G),
- 3rd Period (3 - 1)
- 01:00, 3 - 3, Mantha A. (G), Wotherspoon P. (A), Brazeau J. (A2)
- 09:10, Karlsson E. (2 min),
- 09:41, Maccelli M. (2 min),
- 09:57, Kindel B. (2 min),
- 11:35, 4 - 3, Domi M. (G), Ekman-Larsson O. (A), Nylander W. (A2)
- 17:57, 5 - 3, McMann B. (G), Domi M. (A),
- 18:36, 6 - 3, Nylander W. (G), Tavares J. (A), Knies M. (A2)
- 19:15, Myers P. (2 min),
Chances of winning
Toronto Maple Leafs
43.4% | Draw
22.6% | Pittsburgh Penguins
34.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto Maple Leafs's form might have worsened.Pittsburgh Penguins has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+7.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Maple Leafs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pittsburgh Penguins than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
Toronto Maple Leafs - Pittsburgh Penguins Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.2 ↑
(1.94) |
4.23 ↓
(4.57) |
2.81 ↓
(3.08) |
4.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Pittsburgh Penguins?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Pittsburgh will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toronto (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 6.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 and 13).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 4.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Mermis D.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Stolarz A.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Tanev C.
(Upper-Body Injury)
- There will not play in Pittsburgh: Hallander F.
(Leg Injury)
Jones C.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Lizotte B.
(Upper-Body Injury)
Malkin E.
(Upper-Body Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toronto won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 66:55. (average 3.3:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toronto won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:19. (average 3.1:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Toronto Maple Leafs won against Pittsburgh Penguins?
Toronto Maple Leafs has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pittsburgh Penguins won against Toronto Maple Leafs?
Pittsburgh Penguins has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Pittsburgh Penguins were as follows:
29.11.2025
Pittsburgh Penguins
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
2:7
03.11.2025
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Pittsburgh Penguins
4:3
02.03.2025
Pittsburgh Penguins
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
5:6
07.12.2024
Pittsburgh Penguins
-
Toronto Maple Leafs
5:2
12.10.2024
Toronto Maple Leafs
-
Pittsburgh Penguins
4:2
Latest results of Toronto Maple Leafs
Latest results of Pittsburgh Penguins
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Los Angeles Kings (8) | 4 : 0 |
| 2 | Dallas Stars (2) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 4 |
| 3 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Utah Mammoth (6) | 4 : 2 |
| 4 | Edmonton Oilers (5) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 2 : 4 |
| 5 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Ottawa Senators (6) | 4 : 0 |
| 6 | Pittsburgh Penguins (7) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 4 |
| 7 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Boston Bruins (5) | 4 : 2 |
| 8 | Tampa Bay Lightning (3) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | 3 : 4 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Colorado Avalanche (1) | Minnesota Wild (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Vegas Golden Knights (4) | Anaheim Ducks (7) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Carolina Hurricanes (1) | Philadelphia Flyers (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Buffalo Sabres (2) | Montreal Canadiens (4) | 1 : 0 |
Semi-finalsFinal
