Washington Capitals vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
18/12/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Vinter
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Vinter
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2722
Shots off target
2412
Shooting PCT
14.81% (4/27)0% (0/22)
Blocked Shots
1213
Goalkeeper Saves
2223
Saves PCT
100% (22/22)85.19% (23/27)
Penalties
53
PIM
106
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)0% (0/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (5/5)100% (3/3)
Hits
1327
Faceoffs Won
2226
Faceoffs %
45.8354.17
Giveaways
1715
Takeaways
46
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 00:45, Protas A. (2 min),
  • 04:04, Laughton S. (2 min),
  • 06:23, McMann B. (2 min),
  • 09:22, Fehervary M. (2 min),
  • 13:53, 1 - 0, Protas A. (G), Sourdif J. (A), Carlson J. (A2)
  • 16:16, 2 - 0, Chychrun J. (G), Frank E. (A), McMichael C. (A2)
  • 17:44, Sandin R. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 11:42, Strome D. (2 min),
  • 16:19, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 04:02, 3 - 0, Chychrun J. (G), Carlson J. (A), Dowd N. (A2)
  • 04:22, Protas A. (2 min),
  • 08:57, 4 - 0, Carlson J. (G), Sourdif J. (A), Wilson T. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Washington Capitals
46.3%
Draw
22.4%
Toronto Maple Leafs
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 21.7% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 21.2% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (1.97)
    4.29
    (4.36)
    3.03
    (3.12)
    5%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 23.8%76.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Washington Capitals will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 3.
    • Washington is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • Washington will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Washington: Dubois P. (Abdominal strain) Leonard R. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B. (Lower-Body Injury) Mermis D. (Lower-Body Injury) Rifai M. (Wrist Injury) Stolarz A. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Maccelli M. (Illness)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 62:73. (average 3.1:3.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:37. (average 3.3:3.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    28.11.2025 Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:2
    28.12.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals 2:5
    06.12.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals 1:3
    13.11.2024 Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4
    28.03.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals 5:1
    NHL Table
    Main

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    2Dallas Stars61317914212:16585
    3Minnesota Wild6223131016209:18082
    4Vegas Golden Knights622181419205:19772
    5Anaheim Ducks612014324205:21271
    6Utah Mammoth62267425196:16970
    7Edmonton Oilers62228824220:21068
    8Seattle Kraken61236923173:17967
    9San Jose Sharks591812425186:20764
    10Los Angeles Kings611691422160:18264
    11Nashville Predators62217826185:21364
    12Winnipeg Jets612141026175:18760
    13Chicago Blackhawks611851028163:19556
    14St. Louis Blues61221929159:21055
    15Calgary Flames61204730150:18555
    16Vancouver Canucks61126736157:23043


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes612910616214:17584
    2Tampa Bay Lightning60299418211:16280
    3Buffalo Sabres62316619214:18480
    4Detroit Red Wings622411720185:18777
    5Montreal Canadiens602211918213:20075
    6Pittsburgh Penguins612741317205:18075
    7New York Islanders632312523186:18275
    8Boston Bruins61268522205:19473
    9Columbus Blue Jackets612210821196:19372
    10Ottawa Senators61246922205:19469
    11Washington Capitals63265725199:18969
    12Philadelphia Flyers611991122177:19167
    13Toronto Maple Leafs631981125200:22165
    14New Jersey Devils622011229160:18664
    15Florida Panthers62246329188:20963
    16New York Rangers61159829166:19256

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )