Washington Capitals vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
28/11/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3418
Shots off target
1718
Shooting PCT
11.76% (4/34)11.11% (2/18)
Blocked Shots
1412
Goalkeeper Saves
1630
Saves PCT
88.89% (16/18)90.91% (30/33)
Penalties
02
PIM
04
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)0% (0/0)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (0/0)100% (2/2)
Hits
1728
Faceoffs Won
2232
Faceoffs %
40.7459.26
Giveaways
2117
Takeaways
03
Empty Net Goals
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 03:07, 0 - 1, Rielly M. (G), Ekman-Larsson O. (A), Roy N. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 00:41, Rielly M. (2 min),
  • 02:49, 0 - 2, Knies M. (G), Matthews A. (A), Stecher T. (A2)
  • 04:31, Matthews A. (2 min),
  • 13:18, 1 - 2, McMichael C. (G), Protas A. (A), Wilson T. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (3 - 0)
  • 13:16, 2 - 2, Beauvillier A. (G), Ovechkin A. (A), Strome D. (A2)
  • 16:04, 3 - 2, Chychrun J. (G), Leonard R. (A), McMichael C. (A2)
  • 19:58, 4 - 2, Wilson T. (G),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Washington Capitals
48.3%
Draw
21.9%
Toronto Maple Leafs
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.2% 21.6% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.3% 20.3% 29.3%

Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.97
(2)
4.36
(4.38)
3.17
(3.03)
5.4%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Toronto will win (votes: 2 - 13.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 35.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Washington (votes: 2 - 50%). Toronto (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 2.
    • Washington is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Toronto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Washington may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Washington has had a series of home games.
    • Washington could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Washington: Dubois P. (Abdominal strain)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B. (Lower-Body Injury) Stolarz A. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Washington: Dowd N. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Tanev C. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • We predict that Washington will win today's game, with odds of 2.02.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 58:73. (average 2.9:3.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:37. (average 2.9:3.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    28.12.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals 2:5
    06.12.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals 1:3
    13.11.2024 Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4
    28.03.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals 5:1
    20.03.2024 Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:7
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    4Anaheim Ducks31118111113:10339
    5Minnesota Wild311165990:8339
    6Los Angeles Kings30958882:8036
    7Edmonton Oilers3195611103:10734
    8San Jose Sharks328731490:10533
    9Chicago Blackhawks3012161189:9132
    10Utah Mammoth3211331596:9431
    11Seattle Kraken287561070:8530
    12Winnipeg Jets3012211591:9529
    13St. Louis Blues3211071481:11629
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    15Calgary Flames3210241682:9628
    16Vancouver Canucks317431787:11125


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes3013629101:8540
    2Washington Capitals3117149105:7840
    3New York Islanders3213531197:9139
    4Tampa Bay Lightning31153211102:8038
    5Boston Bruins32136013107:9938
    6Detroit Red Wings32134312100:10937
    7Philadelphia Flyers29974987:8136
    8Pittsburgh Penguins291317890:8535
    9Montreal Canadiens309731197:10735
    10New Jersey Devils3111611392:10035
    11New York Rangers3211441383:8434
    12Toronto Maple Leafs3010451199:9633
    13Florida Panthers3013221394:9932
    14Ottawa Senators3010441296:9932
    15Columbus Blue Jackets317661294:10932
    16Buffalo Sabres319441495:10830

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )