Washington Capitals vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:0
18/12/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport Vinter
germanyGermanyNHL.tv
icelandIcelandViaplay
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
norwayNorwayViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Vinter
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldNHL.tv

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
2722
Shots off target
2412
Shooting PCT
14.81% (4/27)0% (0/22)
Blocked Shots
1213
Goalkeeper Saves
2223
Saves PCT
100% (22/22)85.19% (23/27)
Penalties
53
PIM
106
Power-play Goals
00
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/3)0% (0/5)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (5/5)100% (3/3)
Hits
1327
Faceoffs Won
2226
Faceoffs %
45.8354.17
Giveaways
1715
Takeaways
46
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (2 - 0)
  • 00:45, Protas A. (2 min),
  • 04:04, Laughton S. (2 min),
  • 06:23, McMann B. (2 min),
  • 09:22, Fehervary M. (2 min),
  • 13:53, 1 - 0, Protas A. (G), Sourdif J. (A), Carlson J. (A2)
  • 16:16, 2 - 0, Chychrun J. (G), Frank E. (A), McMichael C. (A2)
  • 17:44, Sandin R. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 11:42, Strome D. (2 min),
  • 16:19, Ekman-Larsson O. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 04:02, 3 - 0, Chychrun J. (G), Carlson J. (A), Dowd N. (A2)
  • 04:22, Protas A. (2 min),
  • 08:57, 4 - 0, Carlson J. (G), Sourdif J. (A), Wilson T. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Washington Capitals
46.3%
Draw
22.4%
Toronto Maple Leafs
31.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 21.7% 30.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2% 21.2% 29.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Washington Capitals has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • Toronto Maple Leafs has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (-1.7%)
  • Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.06
    (1.97)
    4.29
    (4.36)
    3.03
    (3.12)
    5%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Washington will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Toronto will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Washington: 23.8%76.2%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Washington Capitals will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Washington won 3.
    • Washington is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Toronto has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Toronto has had a series of home games.
    • Washington will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Washington: Dubois P. (Abdominal strain) Leonard R. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There will not play in Toronto: Carlo B. (Lower-Body Injury) Mermis D. (Lower-Body Injury) Rifai M. (Wrist Injury) Stolarz A. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Maccelli M. (Illness)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Washington won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 62:73. (average 3.1:3.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Washington won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:37. (average 3.3:3.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs were as follows:
    28.11.2025 Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs 4:2
    28.12.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals 2:5
    06.12.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals 1:3
    13.11.2024 Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4
    28.03.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals 5:1
    NHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Colorado Avalanche ✔ 714261013266:179106
    2Dallas Stars ✔ 7233101118245:19897
    3Minnesota Wild7326151220239:21094
    4Anaheim Ducks722417427243:24786
    5Edmonton Oilers73279928254:24981
    6Utah Mammoth73289630229:21080
    7Vegas Golden Knights732481526228:22979
    8Nashville Predators72259929217:23977
    9Los Angeles Kings7219101825193:21676
    10Seattle Kraken712571029204:22174
    11Winnipeg Jets722461230205:22372
    12San Jose Sharks702012731212:25171
    13St. Louis Blues712641130186:22671
    14Calgary Flames72237834182:22268
    15Chicago Blackhawks722071332188:23367
    16Vancouver Canucks71147842182:26650


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Carolina Hurricanes713213620252:21196
    2Buffalo Sabres72377820254:21196
    3Tampa Bay Lightning71359621260:19994
    4Montreal Canadiens7128121021251:23190
    5Boston Bruins722911824240:22488
    6Pittsburgh Penguins722971620247:22888
    7Columbus Blue Jackets7227111123232:21987
    8New York Islanders732714527211:20787
    9Ottawa Senators723261024242:22086
    10Detroit Red Wings712711825207:21184
    11Philadelphia Flyers7122131224209:21582
    12Washington Capitals73315928227:21581
    13New Jersey Devils712512232197:21576
    14Toronto Maple Leafs732381329229:25575
    15Florida Panthers71278333213:23673
    16New York Rangers72199935202:23065

          Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )

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    Colorado Avalanche is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )
    Dallas Stars is Qualified for NHL (Play Offs )