Toronto Maple Leafs vs Washington Capitals – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey NHL Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals
Result
2:5
28/12/2024 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • USA: NHL
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandViaplay
swedenSwedenViaplay

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3732
Shots off Goal
1718
Shooting PCT
5.41% (2/37)15.63% (5/32)
Blocked Shots
169
Goalkeeper Saves
2735
Saves PCT
84.38% (27/32)94.59% (35/37)
Penalties
12
PIM
24
Power-play Goals
01
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
0% (0/2)100% (1/1)
Pen. Killing PCT
0% (0/1)100% (2/2)
Hits
2716
Faceoffs Won
2926
Faceoffs %
52.7347.27
Giveaways
1212
Takeaways
15
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 03:14, 1 - 0, Tavares J. (G), Benoit S. (A), Pacioretty M. (A2)
  • 04:46, 1 - 1, Mangiapane A. (G), Lapierre H. (A),
  • 08:54, 1 - 2, Chychrun J. (G), Van Riemsdyk T. (A), Raddysh T. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 08:10, 2 - 2, McMann B. (G), Domi M. (A), Marner M. (A2)
  • 09:53, 2 - 3, Dowd N. (G), Sandin R. (A), Mangiapane A. (A2)
  • 15:41, Protas A. (2 min),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 2)
  • 02:00, Dubois P. (2 min),
  • 11:27, McCabe J. (2 min),
  • 12:36, 2 - 4, Wilson T. (G), Chychrun J. (A), Strome D. (A2)
  • 16:37, 2 - 5, Ovechkin A. (G), Protas A. (A), Dubois P. (A2)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toronto Maple Leafs
36.4%
Draw
22%
Washington Capitals
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.1% 21.4% 33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 20.8% 32.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toronto Maple Leafs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toronto Maple Leafs's form might have worsened.
  • Washington Capitals has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Washington Capitals's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toronto Maple Leafs than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toronto Maple Leafs, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Washington Capitals than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Washington Capitals, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.58
    (2.12)
    4.33
    (4.46)
    2.26
    (2.85)
    6%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

  • Watch this match and NHL with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : NHL Network
  • What is the prediction for Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Toronto will win (votes: 4 - 50%). Washington will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toronto: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ NHL (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Toronto won 4.
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Toronto could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Toronto: Jarnkrok C. (Hernia) Klingberg J. (Surgery) Stolarz A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Washington: Backstrom N. (Hip Injury) Milano S. (Upper-Body Injury) Oshie T.J. (Back Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toronto: Matthews A. (Upper-Body Injury)
    • There are questionable in Washington: Ovechkin A. (Broken calfbone)
    • Our prediction for today's Toronto to win the game is with odds 2.39.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Toronto won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 72:55 (average 3.6:2.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Toronto won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 35:26 (average 3.5:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals were as follows:
    06.12.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals 1:3
    13.11.2024 Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:4
    28.03.2024 Toronto Maple Leafs - Washington Capitals 5:1
    20.03.2024 Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs 3:7
    24.10.2023 Washington Capitals - Toronto Maple Leafs 1:4
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