Torpedo Moscow vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian FNL Torpedo Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Result
1:4
05/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 13
  • Referee: Safyan R. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
86
Corner Kicks
82
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
128
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
42
Corner Kicks
82
Free Kicks
1219

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Lomakin A. ,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Rodionov I. ,
  • 45+3', 1 - 2, Aliev S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Puzanov S. , Zhilkin G. ,
  • 46', Lomakin A. , Moskvichev V. ,
  • 46', Curic M. , Shitov V. ,
  • 54', 1 - 3, Aliev S. ,
  • 63', Tarba Z. , Zarypbekov E. ,
  • 64', 1 - 4, Nikolaev O. ,
  • 66', Kashtanov A. 🟨,
  • 67', Danilin K. , Shevchenko G. ,
  • 67', Churilov V. , Dunay V. ,
  • 75', Aliev S. , Kukharchuk I. ,
  • 75', Antonov A. , Gurchenko D. ,
  • 76', Yushin A. , Alykulov G. ,
  • 83', Rodionov I. , Lozhkin V. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Torpedo Moscow
45.5%
Draw
29.4%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 28.4% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1% 29.7% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Torpedo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Torpedo Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.98)
    3.2
    (3.34)
    3.74
    (4.01)
    6.3%
    (5.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Torpedo Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Torpedo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Chernomorets will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Torpedo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).
    • In recent matches, Torpedo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chernomorets is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Chernomorets may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Torpedo has had a series of away games.
    • Torpedo could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Torpedo Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Torpedo Moscow 2:0
    25.08.2024 Torpedo Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 1:1
    04.05.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Torpedo Moscow 1:2
    30.07.2023 Torpedo Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 1:1
    Latest results of Torpedo Moscow
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Fakel Voronezh16103317:9833
    2Ural1593324:16830
    3S. Kostroma1686224:16830
    4Rodina Moscow1676323:14927
    5R. Volgograd1675420:11926
    6Kamaz1675428:171126
    7Chelyabinsk1567220:12825
    8SKA Khabarovsk1665516:16023
    9Neftekhimik1647518:20-219
    10Shinnik Yaroslavl1647512:13-119
    11Yenisey1645712:21-917
    12Arsenal Tula1638523:22117
    13Chernomorets Novorossijsk1645719:20-117
    14Ufa1637618:20-216
    15Ulyanovsk1643917:28-1115
    16Saratov162869:16-714
    17Torpedo Moscow1635813:24-1114
    18FK Chayka1625914:32-1811

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