Torpedo Moscow vs Chernomorets Novorossiysk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Russian FNL Torpedo Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk
Result
1:4
05/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FNL - Round 13
  • Referee: Safyan R. (Rus)

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
128
Shots on target
86
Corner Kicks
82
Yellow Cards
10
Total shots
128
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
42
Corner Kicks
82
Free Kicks
1219

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Lomakin A. ,
  • 38', 1 - 1, Rodionov I. ,
  • 45+3', 1 - 2, Aliev S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Puzanov S. , Zhilkin G. ,
  • 46', Lomakin A. , Moskvichev V. ,
  • 46', Curic M. , Shitov V. ,
  • 54', 1 - 3, Aliev S. ,
  • 63', Tarba Z. , Zarypbekov E. ,
  • 64', 1 - 4, Nikolaev O. ,
  • 66', Kashtanov A. 🟨,
  • 67', Danilin K. , Shevchenko G. ,
  • 67', Churilov V. , Dunay V. ,
  • 75', Aliev S. , Kukharchuk I. ,
  • 75', Antonov A. , Gurchenko D. ,
  • 76', Yushin A. , Alykulov G. ,
  • 83', Rodionov I. , Lozhkin V. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Torpedo Moscow
45.5%
Draw
29.4%
Chernomorets Novorossiysk
25.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48% 28.4% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.1% 29.7% 22.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Torpedo Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Chernomorets Novorossiysk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torpedo Moscow than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernomorets Novorossiysk than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Torpedo Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.98)
    3.2
    (3.34)
    3.74
    (4.01)
    6.3%
    (5.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Torpedo Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk?
  • Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Torpedo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Chernomorets will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Torpedo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 12).
    • In recent matches, Torpedo has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chernomorets is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Chernomorets may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Torpedo has had a series of away games.
    • Torpedo could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Torpedo won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Torpedo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Torpedo Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk were as follows:
    01.03.2025 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Torpedo Moscow 2:0
    25.08.2024 Torpedo Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 1:1
    04.05.2024 Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Torpedo Moscow 1:2
    30.07.2023 Torpedo Moscow - Chernomorets Novorossiysk 1:1
    Latest results of Torpedo Moscow
    Russian FNL Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1S. Kostroma1384121:12928
    2Fakel Voronezh1383212:8427
    3Ural1273220:101024
    4Chelyabinsk1264218:10822
    5R. Volgograd1364318:71122
    6Rodina Moscow1355319:13620
    7Kamaz1254316:13319
    8SKA Khabarovsk1354415:14119
    9Neftekhimik1346313:13018
    10Shinnik Yaroslavl1345410:10017
    11Arsenal Tula1336418:16215
    12Chernomorets Novorossijsk1343618:17115
    13Ulyanovsk1333713:23-1012
    14Ufa1326513:14-112
    15Yenisey122467:14-710
    16Saratov131666:14-89
    17Torpedo Moscow132388:20-129
    18FK Chayka131579:26-178

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