Mafra vs Torreense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
15/05/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 34
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
105
Shots on target
52
Corner Kicks
13
Yellow Cards
02
Total shots
105
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
13
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1618
Throw-ins
2624
Fouls
1814
Goalkeeper Saves
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, Goncalves V. , Capitao D. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Lomboto J. , Costa D. ,
  • 59', Texel P. , Beni D. ,
  • 59', Matos R. , Monteiro V. ,
  • 74', Kolawole J. , Chriso ,
  • 76', Stopira , Pinto R. ,
  • 76', Leo Silva , Ali Abdallah A. ,
  • 81', Jean D. 🟨,
  • 85', Goncalves V. , Lucas Gabriel ,
  • 85', Rochez B. , Souza A. ,
  • 86', 2 - 0, Chriso ,
  • 88', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mafra
24.2%
Draw
24.9%
Torreense
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.5% 27.5% 43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4% 26.5% 44.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mafra's form might have worsened.
  • Torreense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Torreense's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torreense than the current prediction. (-6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torreense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mafra - Torreense Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.76
    (3.17)
    3.71
    (3.41)
    1.85
    (2.18)
    7.7%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Mafra - Torreense?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Mafra will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Torreense will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Torreense: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Mafra (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Torreense (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DNB - Torreense (1.23) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • EH +2 - Torreense (4.58) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Mafra (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Torreense (votes: 9 - 81.8%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mafra won 2.
    • Mafra has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Torreense is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Torreense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Mafra won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mafra won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mafra - Torreense were as follows:
    05.01.2025 Torreense - Mafra 1:0
    01.04.2024 Mafra - Torreense 2:1
    12.11.2023 Torreense - Mafra 0:0
    21.07.2023 Torreense - Mafra 1:0
    15.04.2023 Mafra - Torreense 1:0
    Latest results of Mafra
    09.05.2025 Feirense - Mafra 2:1
    04.05.2025 Mafra - Leixões 1:2
    30.04.2025 Benfica B - Mafra 5:0
    20.04.2025 Marítimo - Mafra 2:0
    14.04.2025 Mafra - Penafiel 4:2
    Latest results of Torreense
    11.05.2025 Torreense - Leixões 3:2
    05.05.2025 Penafiel - Torreense 0:1
    26.04.2025 Torreense - Marítimo 2:2
    13.04.2025 Torreense - Felgueiras 1:1
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo27175543:212256
    2Academico Viseu27155750:282250
    3Torreense271431035:27845
    4Vizela27128736:31544
    5Leiria26118741:34741
    6Sporting CP B271321239:261341
    7FC Porto B271151133:35-238
    8Lusitania FC271071037:44-737
    9Benfica B27910837:32537
    10Chaves271061129:26336
    11Feirense27981030:32-235
    12Leixoes271041332:49-1734
    13Felgueiras27791124:34-1030
    14Pacos Ferreira26791026:37-1130
    15Penafiel27781222:26-429
    16SC Farense27781223:33-1029
    17Portimonense27761429:40-1127
    18Oliveirense27691226:37-1127

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