Toulouse vs Nice – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
5:1
17/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 18
  • Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 3
mexicoMexicoFOX One, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 3
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamK+, ON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.651.82
Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
2215
Shots on target
106
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
67
Passes
83% (322/388)85% (438/518)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
1.651.82
xG on target (xGOT)
3.232.14
Total shots
2215
Shots on target
106
Shots off target
75
Blocked shots
54
Shots inside the box
1713
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
67
Touches in opposition box
3930
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free kicks
1712
Passes
83% (322/388)85% (438/518)
Long passes
52% (23/44)45% (24/53)
Passes in final third
71% (57/80)68% (84/124)
Crosses
40% (4/10)40% (10/25)
Expected assists (xA)
1.461.37
Throw ins
1519
Fouls
1217
Tackles
67% (6/9)58% (11/19)
Duels won
5145
Clearances
2916
Interceptions
177
Errors leading to shot
03
Errors leading to goal
12
Goalkeeper saves
54
xGOT faced
2.143.23
Goals prevented
1.14-1.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Hidalgo S. ⚽, Donnum A. (A),
  • 40', Bah J. 🟨,
  • 45', 2 - 0, Magri F. ⚽, Gboho Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', Ndombele T. ↓, Gouveia T. ↑,
  • 46', Jansson I. ↓, Cho M. ↑,
  • 49', 2 - 1, Wahi E. ⚽,
  • 51', Sanson M. 🟨,
  • 55', 3 - 1, Hidalgo S. ⚽, Magri F. (A),
  • 56', Vossah A. ↓, Casseres C. ↑,
  • 61', Hidalgo S. 🟨,
  • 67', Pereira E. ↓, Kevin ↑,
  • 70', Bard M. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
  • 74', 4 - 1, Casseres C. ⚽,
  • 75', Hidalgo S. ↓, Vignolo J. ↑,
  • 80', 5 - 1, Vignolo J. ⚽,
  • 82', Nicolaisen R. ↓, Koumbassa S. ↑,
  • 82', Magri F. ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
  • 82', Demba P. ↓, Sauer M. ↑,
  • 82', Wahi E. ↓, Vanhoutte C. ↑,

Chances of winning


Toulouse
48.4%		Draw
27%		Nice
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 26.3% 24%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.4% 25.9% 23.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)
  • Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
    •

    Toulouse - Nice Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.96 ↑
    (1.89)    		 3.53 ↓
    (3.57)    		 3.85 ↓
    (3.91)    		 5.3%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Toulouse - Nice?
  • Users Predictions: 34 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 22 - 64.7%). Nice will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 48.6% – 80.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Nice (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Nice (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Nice (2.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Nice (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 2.
    • Toulouse is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • In recent matches, Nice has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Nice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Toulouse might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I. (Knee Injury) Emersonn (Red Card) Francis A. (Broken Leg)
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Bombito M. (Leg Injury) Diouf Y. (International duty) Mendy A. (International duty) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Toulouse: Methalie D. (Knee Injury) Nicolaisen R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nice: Diop S. (Injury) Peprah K. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Nice were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Nice - Toulouse 0:1
    02.02.2025 Toulouse - Nice 1:1
    25.08.2024 Nice - Toulouse 1:1
    03.03.2024 Toulouse - Nice 2:1
    26.11.2023 Nice - Toulouse 1:0
    Latest results of Toulouse
    10.01.2026 Angers - Toulouse 1:2 ✺
    02.01.2026 Toulouse - Lens 0:3 ✺
    20.12.2025 Lyon La Duchère - Toulouse 1:2 ✺
    13.12.2025 Paris FC - Toulouse 0:3 ✺
    06.12.2025 Toulouse - Strasbourg 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Nice
    11.01.2026 Nantes - Nice 1:2 ✺
    03.01.2026 Nice - Strasbourg 1:1 ✺
    21.12.2025 Nice - Saint-Étienne 2:1 ✺
    14.12.2025 Lens - Nice 2:0 ✺
    11.12.2025 Nice - Braga 0:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG26193458:223660
    2Lens27192654:243059
    3Marseille27154854:351949
    4Lyon27145841:291247
    5Lille27145842:34847
    6Monaco27144947:38946
    7Rennes27128743:37644
    8Strasbourg27117943:331040
    9Toulouse271071038:32637
    10Lorient27910837:41-437
    11Brest271061134:39-536
    12Angers27951324:37-1332
    13Paris FC277101032:43-1131
    14Le Havre27691222:35-1327
    15Nice27761432:52-2027
    16Auxerre27571522:36-1422
    17Nantes26451724:45-2117
    18Metz27351925:60-3514

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2

    © Copyright 2026 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy