Nice vs Toulouse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

16/08/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Allianz Riviera (Nice).

Ligue 1 - Round 1
Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Albania	SuperSport 3
Argentina	Disney+
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 4
Brazil	Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 1
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Europe	TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	DAZN France, Ligue 1+
Germany	DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 3
Mexico	Caliente TV
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV3
Serbia	Arena Premium 4
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass, Prime Video Sportsbar
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.66	0.53
Ball Possession
57%	43%
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
10	4
Passes
85% (400/469)	84% (306/364)
Yellow Cards
2	3
Expected Goals (xG)
0.66	0.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.17	0.35
Total shots
13	10
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
6	6
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
4	7
Shots outside the Box
9	3
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
10	4
Touches in opposition box
28	32
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	0
Free Kicks
13	12
Passes
85% (400/469)	84% (306/364)
Long passes
43% (12/28)	46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
73% (93/128)	69% (72/104)
Crosses
30% (7/23)	31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.06	0.91
Throw-ins
18	8
Fouls
12	13
Tackles
59% (10/17)	63% (12/19)
Duels won
49	53
Clearances
23	43
Interceptions
5	2
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.35	0.17
Goals prevented
-0.65	0.17

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Canvot J. 🟨,
51', Methalie D. 🟨,
65', Sauer M. 🟨,
68', Edjouma N. ↓, Kamanzi W. ↑,
68', Sauer M. ↓, Vossah A. ↑,
75', Magri F. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
76', Moffi T. ↓, Nguene B. ↑,
76', Bouanani B. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
76', Jansson I. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
77', Louchet T. ↓, Abdul Samed S. ↑,
79', Nguene B. 🟨,
82', Methalie D. ↓, Nicolaisen R. ↑,
89', 0 - 1, Sidibe D. ⚽, Hidalgo S. (A),
90+1', Peprah K. ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
90+4', Boudaoui H. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Nice
46%

Draw
28.1%

Toulouse
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.7%

25%

20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

25%

20.3%

Nice - Toulouse Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (1.73)	3.43 ↓ (3.79)	3.73 ↓ (4.65)	4% (5.7%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Nice - Toulouse?

Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 24 - 75%). Toulouse will win (votes: 2 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 60% – 90%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nice will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 1.
Nice has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Toulouse is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Nice might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Cho M. (Injury) Dante (Knee Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury) Sanson M. (Hamstring Injury)
There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I. (Knee Injury) Casseres C. (Yellow Cards) Francis A. (Injury) Messali R. (Inactive) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Toulouse?

Nice has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Nice?

Toulouse has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Toulouse were as follows:

02.02.2025 Toulouse - Nice 1:1

25.08.2024 Nice - Toulouse 1:1

03.03.2024 Toulouse - Nice 2:1

26.11.2023 Nice - Toulouse 1:0

21.05.2023 Nice - Toulouse 0:0

Latest results of Nice

12.08.2025 Benfica - Nice 2:0 ✺

06.08.2025 Nice - Benfica 0:2 ✺

30.07.2025 Nice - Sheffield United 3:2 ✺

26.07.2025 St. Pauli - Nice 2:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Feyenoord - Nice 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Toulouse

10.08.2025 Toulouse - Sevilla 1:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Stuttgart - Toulouse 4:0 ✺

30.07.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Toulouse 2:1 ✺

26.07.2025 RB Leipzig - Toulouse 7:0 ✺

18.07.2025 Toulouse - Queens Park Rangers 1:2 ✺

French Ligue 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	PSG	12	8	3	1	24:11	13	27
2	Marseille	12	8	1	3	28:11	17	25
3	Lens	12	8	1	3	21:11	10	25
4	Strasbourg	12	7	1	4	24:16	8	22
5	Lille	12	6	2	4	23:15	8	20
6	Monaco	12	6	2	4	24:21	3	20
7	Lyon	12	6	2	4	18:15	3	20
8	Rennes	12	4	6	2	19:17	2	18
9	Nice	12	5	2	5	17:18	-1	17
10	Toulouse	12	4	4	4	18:16	2	16
11	Paris FC	12	4	2	6	18:21	-3	14
12	Le Havre	12	3	5	4	13:17	-4	14
13	Angers	12	3	4	5	10:15	-5	13
14	Metz	12	3	2	7	12:27	-15	11
15	Brest	12	2	4	6	14:21	-7	10
16	Nantes	12	2	4	6	11:18	-7	10
17	Lorient	12	2	4	6	14:26	-12	10
18	Auxerre	12	2	1	9	7:19	-12	7

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