Result
0:1
16/08/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 1
- Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient |
 Albania | SuperSport 3 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique |
 Austria | DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1 |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 4 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Europe | TV5 Monde Europe |
 Finland | Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+ |
 Germany | DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1 |
 Israel | 5 SPORT Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4, ART Sport 3 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Philippines | Cignal Play |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-america | TV5 Monde Amerique Latine |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass, Prime Video Sportsbar |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.53 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (400/469) | 84% (306/364) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 0.53 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.17 | 0.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 32 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (400/469) | 84% (306/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (12/28) | 46% (23/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (93/128) | 69% (72/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (7/23) | 31% (5/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.06 | 0.91 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 43 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.65 | 0.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Canvot J. 🟨,
- 51', Methalie D. 🟨,
- 65', Sauer M. 🟨,
- 68', Edjouma N. ↓, Kamanzi W. ↑,
- 68', Sauer M. ↓, Vossah A. ↑,
- 75', Magri F. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
- 76', Moffi T. ↓, Nguene B. ↑,
- 76', Bouanani B. ↓, Diop S. ↑,
- 76', Jansson I. ↓, Boga J. ↑,
- 77', Louchet T. ↓, Abdul Samed S. ↑,
- 79', Nguene B. 🟨,
- 82', Methalie D. ↓, Nicolaisen R. ↑,
- 89', 0 - 1, Sidibe D. ⚽, Hidalgo S. (A),
- 90+1', Peprah K. ↓, Brahimi B. ↑,
- 90+4', Boudaoui H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nice
46% | Draw
28.1% | Toulouse
25.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nice has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nice's form might have worsened.Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulouse's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nice than the current prediction. (+8.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Nice, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-5.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toulouse, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Nice - Toulouse Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.08 ↑
(1.73) |
3.43 ↓
(3.79) |
3.73 ↓
(4.65) |
4%
(5.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nice - Toulouse?
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 24 - 75%). Toulouse will win (votes: 2 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 60% – 90%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nice will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 1.
- Nice has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Toulouse is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Nice might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M.
(Knee Injury)
Cho M.
(Injury)
Dante
(Knee Injury)
Ndayishimiye Y.
(Knee Injury)
Ndombele T.
(Groin Injury)
Sanson M.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I.
(Knee Injury)
Casseres C.
(Yellow Cards)
Francis A.
(Injury)
Messali R.
(Inactive)
Schmidt N.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Toulouse?
Nice has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Nice?
Toulouse has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Toulouse were as follows:
02.02.2025
Toulouse
-
Nice
1:1
25.08.2024
Nice
-
Toulouse
1:1
03.03.2024
Toulouse
-
Nice
2:1
26.11.2023
Nice
-
Toulouse
1:0
21.05.2023
Nice
-
Toulouse
0:0
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Lyon | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Nice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Marseille | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
