Nice vs Toulouse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
16/08/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 1
  • Referee: Leonard T. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
austriaAustriaDAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 4
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
europeEuropeTV5 Monde Europe
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+
germanyGermanyDAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 1
israelIsrael5 SPORT Israel
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4, ART Sport 3
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Premium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass, Prime Video Sportsbar
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.53
Ball Possession
57%43%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
22
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
104
Passes
85% (400/469)84% (306/364)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.660.53
xG on target (xGOT)
0.170.35
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
22
Shots off target
66
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
93
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
104
Touches in opposition box
2832
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
1312
Passes
85% (400/469)84% (306/364)
Long passes
43% (12/28)46% (23/50)
Passes in final third
73% (93/128)69% (72/104)
Crosses
30% (7/23)31% (5/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.060.91
Throw-ins
188
Fouls
1213
Tackles
59% (10/17)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4953
Clearances
2343
Interceptions
52
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
0.350.17
Goals prevented
-0.650.17

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Canvot J. 🟨,
  • 51', Methalie D. 🟨,
  • 65', Sauer M. 🟨,
  • 68', Edjouma N. , Kamanzi W. ,
  • 68', Sauer M. , Vossah A. ,
  • 75', Magri F. , Hidalgo S. ,
  • 76', Moffi T. , Nguene B. ,
  • 76', Bouanani B. , Diop S. ,
  • 76', Jansson I. , Boga J. ,
  • 77', Louchet T. , Abdul Samed S. ,
  • 79', Nguene B. 🟨,
  • 82', Methalie D. , Nicolaisen R. ,
  • 89', 0 - 1, Sidibe D. , Hidalgo S. (A),
  • 90+1', Peprah K. , Brahimi B. ,
  • 90+4', Boudaoui H. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nice
46%
Draw
28.1%
Toulouse
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.7% 25% 20.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 25% 20.3%

Nice - Toulouse Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.08
(1.73)
3.43
(3.79)
3.73
(4.65)
4%
(5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nice - Toulouse?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Nice will win (votes: 24 - 75%). Toulouse will win (votes: 2 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 18.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nice: 60%90%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nice will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nice won 1.
    • Nice has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Toulouse is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Nice might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M. (Knee Injury) Cho M. (Injury) Dante (Knee Injury) Ndayishimiye Y. (Knee Injury) Ndombele T. (Groin Injury) Sanson M. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I. (Knee Injury) Casseres C. (Yellow Cards) Francis A. (Injury) Messali R. (Inactive) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nice won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 24:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nice won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:5. (average 1.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nice - Toulouse were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Toulouse - Nice 1:1
    25.08.2024 Nice - Toulouse 1:1
    03.03.2024 Toulouse - Nice 2:1
    26.11.2023 Nice - Toulouse 1:0
    21.05.2023 Nice - Toulouse 0:0
    Latest results of Nice
    12.08.2025 Benfica - Nice 2:0
    06.08.2025 Nice - Benfica 0:2
    30.07.2025 Nice - Sheffield United 3:2
    26.07.2025 St. Pauli - Nice 2:0
    26.07.2025 Feyenoord - Nice 1:2
    Latest results of Toulouse
    10.08.2025 Toulouse - Sevilla 1:1
    02.08.2025 Stuttgart - Toulouse 4:0
    30.07.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Toulouse 2:1
    26.07.2025 RB Leipzig - Toulouse 7:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens15111326:131334
    2PSG15103232:122033
    3Marseille1592435:152029
    4Lille1592429:171229
    5Lyon1473421:15624
    6Rennes1566324:23124
    7Monaco1572626:26023
    8Strasbourg1571725:20522
    9Toulouse1555521:19220
    10Brest1554620:24-419
    11Angers1554613:17-419
    12Nice1552819:27-817
    13Paris FC1443721:26-515
    14Le Havre1435613:21-814
    15Lorient1435618:28-1014
    16Nantes1525813:24-1111
    17Metz1432914:31-1711
    18Auxerre142398:20-129

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