Result
5:1
17/01/2026 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 18
- Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 3 |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
 Mexico | FOX One, Fox Sports |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | K+, ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.82 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (322/388) | 85% (438/518) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.65 | 1.82 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.23 | 2.14 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (322/388) | 85% (438/518) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (23/44) | 45% (24/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (57/80) | 68% (84/124) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 40% (10/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.46 | 1.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 58% (11/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 45 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.14 | 3.23 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.14 | -1.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Hidalgo S. ⚽, Donnum A. (A),
- 40', Bah J. 🟨,
- 45', 2 - 0, Magri F. ⚽, Gboho Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Ndombele T. ↓, Gouveia T. ↑,
- 46', Jansson I. ↓, Cho M. ↑,
- 49', 2 - 1, Wahi E. ⚽,
- 51', Sanson M. 🟨,
- 55', 3 - 1, Hidalgo S. ⚽, Magri F. (A),
- 56', Vossah A. ↓, Casseres C. ↑,
- 61', Hidalgo S. 🟨,
- 67', Pereira E. ↓, Kevin ↑,
- 70', Bard M. ↓, Abdi A. ↑,
- 74', 4 - 1, Casseres C. ⚽,
- 75', Hidalgo S. ↓, Vignolo J. ↑,
- 80', 5 - 1, Vignolo J. ⚽,
- 82', Nicolaisen R. ↓, Koumbassa S. ↑,
- 82', Magri F. ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
- 82', Demba P. ↓, Sauer M. ↑,
- 82', Wahi E. ↓, Vanhoutte C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Toulouse
48.4% | Draw
27% | Nice
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Nice has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nice than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Toulouse - Nice Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.96 ↑
(1.89) |
3.53 ↓
(3.57) |
3.85 ↓
(3.91) |
5.3%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Nice?
Users Predictions:
34 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 22 - 64.7%). Nice will win (votes: 7 - 20.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 14.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Toulouse: 48.6% – 80.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Nice (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Nice (1.85) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Nice (2.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 8 - 57.1%). Nice (votes: 5 - 35.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 2.
- Toulouse is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- In recent matches, Nice has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Nice may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Toulouse might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I.
(Knee Injury)
Emersonn
(Red Card)
Francis A.
(Broken Leg)
- There will not play in Nice: Abdelmonem M.
(Knee Injury)
Bombito M.
(Leg Injury)
Diouf Y.
(International duty)
Mendy A.
(International duty)
Ndayishimiye Y.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Toulouse: Methalie D.
(Knee Injury)
Nicolaisen R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nice: Diop S.
(Injury)
Peprah K.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 7 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:21. (average 1:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:10. (average 1.4:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Nice?
Toulouse has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nice won against Toulouse?
Nice has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Nice were as follows:
16.08.2025
Nice
-
Toulouse
0:1
02.02.2025
Toulouse
-
Nice
1:1
25.08.2024
Nice
-
Toulouse
1:1
03.03.2024
Toulouse
-
Nice
2:1
26.11.2023
Nice
-
Toulouse
1:0
Latest results of Toulouse
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
