Result
0:1
15/02/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 22
- Referee: Delajod W. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia |
Austria | DAZN |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1, Moja TV |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, TV5 |
China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
Denmark | TV3 MAX, Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
France | beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, DAZN 1, DAZN France, TV5 Monde Europe |
Georgia | Setanta Sports 1 |
Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
Greece | SKAI |
India | GXR World |
Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Mexico | Caliente TV App |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | ESPN Norte |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
Philippines | Cignal Play |
Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
Portugal | Sport TV4 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1, Arena Sport 2 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
Slovenia | Arena Sport 2 |
South-america | TV5 Monde Amerique Latine |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | beIN Sports |
Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Premium |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
United-kingdom | beIN Sports MENA English 1, Ligue 1 Pass |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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0.91 | 2.44 |
Ball Possession |
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23% | 77% |
Goal Attempts |
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14 | 20 |
Shots on Goal |
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4 | 6 |
Shots off Goal |
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6 | 9 |
Blocked Shots |
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4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 5 |
Corner Kicks |
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5 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
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10 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
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4 | 11 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 3 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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5 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
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6 | 9 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Fouls |
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9 | 6 |
Yellow Cards |
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2 | 0 |
Throw-ins |
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13 | 16 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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16 | 26 |
Passes |
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71% (171/240) | 92% (751/814) |
Passes in the final third |
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62% (39/63) | 87% (209/241) |
Crosses |
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42% (5/12) | 44% (4/9) |
Tackles |
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50% (11/22) | 55% (11/20) |
Clearances Total |
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16 | 13 |
Interceptions |
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4 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 39', Sierro V. 🟨,
- 43', Restes G. ↓, Haug K. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 52', 0 - 1, Ruiz F. ⚽,
- 56', Akdag U. 🟨,
- 63', Ruiz F. ↓, Vitinha ↑,
- 63', Pacho W. ↓, Marquinhos ↑,
- 63', Lee Kang-In ↓, Dembele O. ↑,
- 70', Magri F. ↓, Messali R. ↑,
- 70', Sierro V. ↓, McKenzie M. ↑,
- 74', Barcola B. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
- 79', Babicka S. ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
- 79', Akdag U. ↓, Sidibe D. ↑,
- 90+2', Mayulu S. ↓, Neves J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Toulouse 15.7% | Draw 21.1% | Paris Saint-Germain 63.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Paris Saint-Germain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paris Saint-Germain than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
6.15 ↑ (5.79) |
4.53 ↓ (4.59) |
1.51 ↓ (1.52) |
4.4% (5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS En Español
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain?
Users Predictions:
54 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 2 - 3.7%). PSG will win (votes: 47 - 87%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 9.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 78% – 96%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 1.
- Toulouse is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- PSG is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- PSG could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently PSG have a series of guest games.
- In this match PSG is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Toulouse: Schmidt N.
(Knee Injury)
Sidibe D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in PSG: Mbaye I.
(Ankle Injury)
Zaire-Emery W.
(Ankle Injury)
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Toulouse won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 12:39 (average 0.6:2).
- Including matches at home between the teams Toulouse won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 4:8 (average 0.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Paris Saint-Germain?
Toulouse has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Toulouse?
Paris Saint-Germain has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
22.11.2024
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Toulouse
3:0
12.05.2024
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Toulouse
1:3
03.01.2024
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Toulouse
2:0
19.08.2023
Toulouse
-
Paris Saint-Germain
1:1
04.02.2023
Paris Saint-Germain
-
Toulouse
2:1
Latest results of Toulouse
Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2