Toulouse vs Paris Saint-Germain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/08/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse).

Ligue 1 - Round 3
Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 6
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3 Sport, Viaplay
Europe	TV5 Monde Europe
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 259
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Sport 4
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mexico	Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	Cignal Play
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV3
Romania	Voyo
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 5
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-america	TV5 Monde Amerique Latine
South-korea	Coupang Play
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	Amazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
Venezuela	Disney+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.23	2.55
Ball Possession
24%	76%
Total shots
14	13
Shots on target
6	8
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
5	7
Passes
77% (206/268)	93% (805/862)
Yellow Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.23	2.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.58	4.54
Total shots
14	13
Shots on target
6	8
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked Shots
5	2
Shots inside the Box
8	9
Shots outside the Box
6	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Big Chances
3	3
Corner Kicks
5	7
Touches in opposition box
20	32
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	0
Free Kicks
11	7
Passes
77% (206/268)	93% (805/862)
Long passes
64% (25/39)	70% (26/37)
Passes in final third
62% (50/81)	86% (152/176)
Crosses
18% (2/11)	0% (0/3)
Expected assists (xA)
0.61	0.86
Throw-ins
9	9
Fouls
7	11
Tackles
78% (14/18)	63% (10/16)
Duels won
48	32
Clearances
16	14
Interceptions
12	7
Errors leading to shot
1	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	3
xGOT faced
4.54	2.58
Goals prevented
-1.46	-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 4)
7', 0 - 1, Neves J. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
9', 0 - 2, Barcola B. ⚽, Ruiz F. (A),
14', 0 - 3, Neves J. ⚽,
31', 0 - 4, Dembele O. (Pen),
37', 1 - 4, Cresswell C. ⚽,
45+8', Casseres C. (Pen),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Mendes N. ↓, Pacho W. ↑,
46', Vitinha ↓, Zaire-Emery W. ↑,
50', 1 - 5, Dembele O. (Pen),
63', Doue D. ↓, Kvaratskhelia K. ↑,
63', Nicolaisen R. ↓, Kamanzi W. ↑,
63', Sidibe D. ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
63', Sauer M. ↓, Vossah A. ↑,
70', Dembele O. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
70', Magri F. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
75', Barcola B. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
78', 1 - 6, Neves J. ⚽,
79', Methalie D. ↓, Koumbassa S. ↑,
82', Donnum A. 🟨,
89', 2 - 6, Gboho Y. ⚽, Donnum A. (A),
90+1', 3 - 6, Vossah A. ⚽, Hidalgo S. (A),

Chances of winning

Toulouse
7.7%

Draw
14.2%

Paris Saint-Germain
78.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11.8%

17.6%

70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.3%

16.9%

73.6%

Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.98 ↑ (8.1)	7.42 ↑ (5.42)	1.29 ↓ (1.35)	-1.6% (4.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain?

Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 1 - 2.8%). PSG will win (votes: 31 - 86.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 74.8% – 97.4%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH +1.25 - Toulouse (2.14) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1.
In recent matches, Toulouse has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
PSG is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
Toulouse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, PSG is the undisputed favorite.
There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I. (Knee Injury) Canvot J. (Inactive) Francis A. (Injury) Messali R. (Inactive) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in PSG: Donnarumma G. (Coach's decision) Soler C. (Inactive) Tenas A. (Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 11:39. (average 0.6:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.4:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Paris Saint-Germain?

Toulouse has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Paris Saint-Germain won against Toulouse?

Paris Saint-Germain has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:

15.02.2025 Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1

22.11.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Toulouse 3:0

12.05.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Toulouse 1:3

03.01.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Toulouse 2:0

19.08.2023 Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1

Latest results of Toulouse

24.08.2025 Toulouse - Brest 2:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Nice - Toulouse 0:1 ✺

10.08.2025 Toulouse - Sevilla 1:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Stuttgart - Toulouse 4:0 ✺

30.07.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Toulouse 2:1 ✺

Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain

22.08.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Angers 1:0 ✺

17.08.2025 Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1 ✺

13.08.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Tottenham Hotspur 3:2 ✺

13.07.2025 Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain 3:0 ✺

09.07.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid 4:0 ✺

French Ligue 1 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Lens	16	12	1	3	28:13	15	37
2	PSG	16	11	3	2	35:14	21	36
3	Marseille	16	10	2	4	36:15	21	32
4	Lille	16	10	2	4	33:20	13	32
5	Lyon	16	8	3	5	22:16	6	27
6	Rennes	16	7	6	3	27:24	3	27
7	Strasbourg	16	7	2	7	25:20	5	23
8	Toulouse	16	6	5	5	24:19	5	23
9	Monaco	16	7	2	7	26:27	-1	23
10	Angers	16	6	4	6	17:18	-1	22
11	Brest	16	5	4	7	21:27	-6	19
12	Lorient	16	4	6	6	19:28	-9	18
13	Nice	16	5	2	9	19:29	-10	17
14	Paris FC	16	4	4	8	21:29	-8	16
15	Le Havre	16	3	6	7	13:22	-9	15
16	Auxerre	16	3	3	10	14:25	-11	12
17	Nantes	16	2	5	9	14:28	-14	11
18	Metz	16	3	2	11	17:37	-20	11

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
      Relegation ~ Ligue 2