Toulouse vs Paris Saint-Germain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
3:6
30/08/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 3
  • Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App, TV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports 2, Fast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, TOD, TV5 Monde Asia, TV5 Monde Pacifique
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 6
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 Sport, Viaplay
europeEuropeTV5 Monde Europe
finlandFinlandViaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 1
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 3
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 259
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
kosovoKosovoART Sport 4
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, Fox Sports
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
philippinesPhilippinesCignal Play
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV3
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 5
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video, Ligue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz, TV5 Monde
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.232.55
Ball Possession
24%76%
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
68
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
57
Passes
77% (206/268)93% (805/862)
Yellow Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
2.232.55
xG on target (xGOT)
2.584.54
Total shots
1413
Shots on target
68
Shots off target
33
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
89
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
2032
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
117
Passes
77% (206/268)93% (805/862)
Long passes
64% (25/39)70% (26/37)
Passes in final third
62% (50/81)86% (152/176)
Crosses
18% (2/11)0% (0/3)
Expected assists (xA)
0.610.86
Throw-ins
99
Fouls
711
Tackles
78% (14/18)63% (10/16)
Duels won
4832
Clearances
1614
Interceptions
127
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
4.542.58
Goals prevented
-1.46-0.42

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 4)
  • 7', 0 - 1, Neves J. ⚽, Dembele O. (A),
  • 9', 0 - 2, Barcola B. ⚽, Ruiz F. (A),
  • 14', 0 - 3, Neves J. ⚽,
  • 31', 0 - 4, Dembele O. (Pen),
  • 37', 1 - 4, Cresswell C. ⚽,
  • 45+8', Casseres C. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Mendes N. ↓, Pacho W. ↑,
  • 46', Vitinha ↓, Zaire-Emery W. ↑,
  • 50', 1 - 5, Dembele O. (Pen),
  • 63', Doue D. ↓, Kvaratskhelia K. ↑,
  • 63', Nicolaisen R. ↓, Kamanzi W. ↑,
  • 63', Sidibe D. ↓, Edjouma N. ↑,
  • 63', Sauer M. ↓, Vossah A. ↑,
  • 70', Dembele O. ↓, Ramos G. ↑,
  • 70', Magri F. ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
  • 75', Barcola B. ↓, Mbaye I. ↑,
  • 78', 1 - 6, Neves J. ⚽,
  • 79', Methalie D. ↓, Koumbassa S. ↑,
  • 82', Donnum A. 🟨,
  • 89', 2 - 6, Gboho Y. ⚽, Donnum A. (A),
  • 90+1', 3 - 6, Vossah A. ⚽, Hidalgo S. (A),

Chances of winning


Toulouse
7.7%		Draw
14.2%		Paris Saint-Germain
78.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
11.8% 17.6% 70.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.3% 16.9% 73.6%

Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 13.98 ↑
(8.1)		 7.42 ↑
(5.42)		 1.29 ↓
(1.35)		 -1.6%
(4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain?
  • Users Predictions: 36 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 1 - 2.8%). PSG will win (votes: 31 - 86.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for PSG: 74.8% – 97.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.25 - Toulouse (2.14) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1, 1st Half - PSG (1.49) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Paris Saint-Germain will win (16 of 19 users predict this - 84.21%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 23 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 3 - 13%). PSG (votes: 17 - 73.9%). Tie (votes: 3 - 13%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1.
    • In recent matches, Toulouse has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • PSG is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Toulouse may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, PSG is the undisputed favorite.
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I. (Knee Injury) Canvot J. (Inactive) Francis A. (Injury) Messali R. (Inactive) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in PSG: Donnarumma G. (Coach's decision) Soler C. (Inactive) Tenas A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 15 matches, and goals 11:39. (average 0.6:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 0.4:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain were as follows:
    15.02.2025 Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1
    22.11.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Toulouse 3:0
    12.05.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Toulouse 1:3
    03.01.2024 Paris Saint-Germain - Toulouse 2:0
    19.08.2023 Toulouse - Paris Saint-Germain 1:1
    Latest results of Toulouse
    24.08.2025 Toulouse - Brest 2:0 ✺
    16.08.2025 Nice - Toulouse 0:1 ✺
    10.08.2025 Toulouse - Sevilla 1:1 ✺
    02.08.2025 Stuttgart - Toulouse 4:0
    30.07.2025 Al-Nassr Riyadh - Toulouse 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Paris Saint-Germain
    22.08.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Angers 1:0 ✺
    17.08.2025 Nantes - Paris Saint-Germain 0:1 ✺
    13.08.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Tottenham Hotspur 3:2 ✺
    13.07.2025 Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain 3:0 ✺
    09.07.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Real Madrid 4:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG21163248:163251
    2Lens21161437:172049
    3Lyon21133534:201442
    4Marseille21123646:271939
    5Lille21103834:30433
    6Rennes2187631:34-331
    7Strasbourg2193934:27730
    8Toulouse2186731:24730
    9Angers2185822:25-329
    10Monaco2184932:33-128
    11Lorient2177727:33-628
    12Brest2175928:33-526
    13Le Havre2158818:26-823
    14Nice21651027:38-1123
    15Paris FC2157926:34-822
    16Auxerre21351314:29-1514
    17Nantes21351319:37-1814
    18Metz21341421:46-2513

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