Result
1:0
06/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 15
- Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player |
 Israel | 5 STARS Israel |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Malta | TVM Sport+ |
 Mexico | Caliente TV, FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Portugal | Sport TV3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 28% | 72% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (241/303) | 93% (727/783) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (241/303) | 93% (727/783) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (23/52) | 45% (14/31) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (40/63) | 77% (88/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (1/7) | 17% (4/23) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 0.30 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 43% (3/7) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', 1 - 0, Emersonn ⚽,
- 28', Casseres C. 🟨,
- 44', Magri F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Magri F. ↓, Messali R. ↑,
- 61', Nanasi S. ↓, Amougou M. ↑,
- 61', Omobamidele A. ↓, Paez K. ↑,
- 75', Doue G. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
- 78', Emersonn ↓, Hidalgo S. ↑,
- 82', Moreira D. 🟨,
- 85', El Mourabet S. 🟨,
- 87', Moreira D. ↓, Godo M. ↑,
- 89', Chilwell B. 🟨,
- 90+4', Messali R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Toulouse
37% | Draw
29.1% | Strasbourg
33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toulouse, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
Toulouse - Strasbourg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(2.3) |
3.27 ↓
(3.43) |
2.82 ↓
(3.01) |
4.9%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Strasbourg?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7% – 64.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Toulouse (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Strasbourg (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Toulouse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I.
(Knee Injury)
Donnum A.
(Suspended)
Francis A.
(Broken Leg)
Sauer M.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Emegha E.
(Suspended)
Ouattara A.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sow S.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 1.1:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Toulouse won against Strasbourg?
Toulouse has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Toulouse?
Strasbourg has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Strasbourg were as follows:
12.01.2025
Toulouse
-
Strasbourg
1:2
07.04.2024
Toulouse
-
Strasbourg
0:0
27.08.2023
Strasbourg
-
Toulouse
2:0
29.01.2023
Strasbourg
-
Toulouse
1:2
23.10.2022
Toulouse
-
Strasbourg
2:2
Latest results of Toulouse
Latest results of Strasbourg
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 26 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 58:22 | 36 | 60 |
| 2 | Lens | 27 | 19 | 2 | 6 | 54:24 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Marseille | 27 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 54:35 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 41:29 | 12 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 27 | 14 | 5 | 8 | 42:34 | 8 | 47 |
| 6 | Monaco | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | 47:38 | 9 | 46 |
| 7 | Rennes | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 44 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 43:33 | 10 | 40 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38:32 | 6 | 37 |
| 10 | Lorient | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 36 |
| 12 | Angers | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:43 | -11 | 31 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 22:35 | -13 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 22 |
| 17 | Nantes | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
