Toulouse vs Strasbourg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
06/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 15
  • Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.420.07
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
63
Shots on target
30
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
80% (241/303)93% (727/783)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.420.07
xG on target (xGOT)
1.090.00
Total shots
63
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
21
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
32
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
711
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1321
Passes
80% (241/303)93% (727/783)
Long passes
44% (23/52)45% (14/31)
Passes in final third
63% (40/63)77% (88/114)
Crosses
14% (1/7)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.200.30
Throw-ins
1513
Fouls
2113
Tackles
38% (5/13)43% (3/7)
Duels won
4040
Clearances
2315
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.001.09
Goals prevented
0.000.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Emersonn ,
  • 28', Casseres C. 🟨,
  • 44', Magri F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Magri F. , Messali R. ,
  • 61', Nanasi S. , Amougou M. ,
  • 61', Omobamidele A. , Paez K. ,
  • 75', Doue G. , Amo-Ameyaw S. ,
  • 78', Emersonn , Hidalgo S. ,
  • 82', Moreira D. 🟨,
  • 85', El Mourabet S. 🟨,
  • 87', Moreira D. , Godo M. ,
  • 89', Chilwell B. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Messali R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toulouse
37%
Draw
29.1%
Strasbourg
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 27.5% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 28.4% 30.4%

Toulouse - Strasbourg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.58
(2.3)
3.27
(3.43)
2.82
(3.01)
4.9%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Strasbourg?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7%64.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Toulouse (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Toulouse (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Strasbourg (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Toulouse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I. (Knee Injury) Donnum A. (Suspended) Francis A. (Broken Leg) Sauer M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Strasbourg: Emegha E. (Suspended) Ouattara A. (Hamstring Injury) Sow S. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Strasbourg were as follows:
    12.01.2025 Toulouse - Strasbourg 1:2
    07.04.2024 Toulouse - Strasbourg 0:0
    27.08.2023 Strasbourg - Toulouse 2:0
    29.01.2023 Strasbourg - Toulouse 1:2
    23.10.2022 Toulouse - Strasbourg 2:2
    Latest results of Toulouse
    23.11.2025 Toulouse - Angers 0:1
    09.11.2025 Lorient - Toulouse 1:1
    02.11.2025 Toulouse - Le Havre 0:0
    29.10.2025 Toulouse - Rennes 2:2
    Latest results of Strasbourg
    30.11.2025 Strasbourg - Brest 1:2
    22.11.2025 Lens - Strasbourg 1:0
    09.11.2025 Strasbourg - Lille 2:0
    06.11.2025 Häcken - Strasbourg 1:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG21163248:163251
    2Lens21161437:172049
    3Lyon21133534:201442
    4Marseille21123646:271939
    5Lille21103834:30433
    6Rennes2187631:34-331
    7Strasbourg2193934:27730
    8Toulouse2186731:24730
    9Angers2185822:25-329
    10Monaco2184932:33-128
    11Lorient2177727:33-628
    12Brest2175928:33-526
    13Le Havre2158818:26-823
    14Nice21651027:38-1123
    15Paris FC2157926:34-822
    16Auxerre21351314:29-1514
    17Nantes21351319:37-1814
    18Metz21341421:46-2513

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2