Strasbourg vs Toulouse – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Strasbourg - Toulouse
16/03/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 26
  • Referee: Batta F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaQQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN 2, DAZN 3, DAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
indiaIndiaGXR World
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV7
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Extra
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
worldWorldDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.681.76
Ball Possession
57%43%
Goal Attempts
1011
Shots on Goal
37
Shots off Goal
53
Blocked Shots
21
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
43
Shots inside the Box
76
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
61
Free Kicks
1410
Offsides
01
Fouls
1014
Yellow Cards
02
Throw-ins
1212
Touches in the Opposition Box
2213
Passes
89% (516/581)84% (359/428)
Passes in the final third
66% (60/91)57% (58/101)
Crosses
8% (1/13)7% (1/14)
Tackles
73% (11/15)83% (10/12)
Clearances Total
2918
Interceptions
911

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 3', 0 - 1, Magri F. ,
  • 25', Magri F. 🟨,
  • 28', Casseres C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Lemarechal F. , Moreira D. (A),
  • 54', 2 - 1, Andrey Santos , Lemarechal F. (A),
  • 66', Gboho Y. , Messali R. ,
  • 76', Sidibe D. , King J. ,
  • 77', Babicka S. , Edjouma N. ,
  • 79', Amo-Ameyaw S. , Sobol E. ,
  • 83', Lemarechal F. , Delaine T. ,
  • 85', Casseres C. , Zajc M. ,
  • 87', Nanasi S. , Diongue D. ,
  • 88', Emegha E. , Mara S. ,

Chances of winning


Strasbourg
37.7%
Draw
29.2%
Toulouse
33.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41% 28% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4% 27.7% 30.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Strasbourg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Toulouse has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • Strasbourg - Toulouse Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.53
    (2.33)
    3.3
    (3.41)
    2.92
    (3.07)
    4%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

  • Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : beIN SPORTS Xtra
  • What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Toulouse?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 11 - 42.3%). Toulouse will win (votes: 6 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 34.6%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 23.3%61.3%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Strasbourg won 2.
    • Strasbourg in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Toulouse is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Toulouse could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.
    • There will not play in Strasbourg: Bakwa D. (Yellow Cards) Bellaarouch A. (Groin Injury) Dion M. S. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Omobamidele A. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Ouattara A. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Aboukhlal Z. (Thigh Injury) Nicolaisen R. (Ankle Injury) Restes G. (Thigh Injury) Schmidt N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Strasbourg: Diarra H. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Strasbourg won 7 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 22:13 (average 1.8:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Strasbourg won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:7 (average 2.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Toulouse were as follows:
    12.01.2025 Toulouse - Strasbourg 1:2
    07.04.2024 Toulouse - Strasbourg 0:0
    27.08.2023 Strasbourg - Toulouse 2:0
    29.01.2023 Strasbourg - Toulouse 1:2
    23.10.2022 Toulouse - Strasbourg 2:2
    Latest results of Strasbourg
    09.03.2025 Nantes - Strasbourg 0:1
    02.03.2025 Auxerre - Strasbourg 0:1
    23.02.2025 Strasbourg - Brest 0:0
    16.02.2025 Lens - Strasbourg 0:2
    09.02.2025 Strasbourg - Montpellier 2:0
    Latest results of Toulouse
    07.03.2025 Toulouse - Monaco 1:1
    02.03.2025 Angers - Toulouse 0:4
    23.02.2025 Le Havre - Toulouse 1:4
    09.02.2025 Auxerre - Toulouse 2:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

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