Toulouse vs Strasbourg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
06/12/2025 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 15
  • Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 5
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, Now Player
israelIsrael5 STARS Israel
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
maltaMaltaTVM Sport+
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
portugalPortugalSport TV3
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.420.07
Ball Possession
28%72%
Total shots
63
Shots on target
30
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
12
Passes
80% (241/303)93% (727/783)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
0.420.07
xG on target (xGOT)
1.090.00
Total shots
63
Shots on target
30
Shots off target
21
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
32
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
12
Touches in opposition box
711
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1321
Passes
80% (241/303)93% (727/783)
Long passes
44% (23/52)45% (14/31)
Passes in final third
63% (40/63)77% (88/114)
Crosses
14% (1/7)17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.200.30
Throw-ins
1513
Fouls
2113
Tackles
38% (5/13)43% (3/7)
Duels won
4040
Clearances
2315
Interceptions
93
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
02
xGOT faced
0.001.09
Goals prevented
0.000.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Emersonn ,
  • 28', Casseres C. 🟨,
  • 44', Magri F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Magri F. , Messali R. ,
  • 61', Nanasi S. , Amougou M. ,
  • 61', Omobamidele A. , Paez K. ,
  • 75', Doue G. , Amo-Ameyaw S. ,
  • 78', Emersonn , Hidalgo S. ,
  • 82', Moreira D. 🟨,
  • 85', El Mourabet S. 🟨,
  • 87', Moreira D. , Godo M. ,
  • 89', Chilwell B. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Messali R. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Toulouse
37%
Draw
29.1%
Strasbourg
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 27.5% 31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.5% 28.4% 30.4%

Toulouse - Strasbourg Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.58
(2.3)
3.27
(3.43)
2.82
(3.01)
4.9%
(5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Toulouse - Strasbourg?
  • Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Strasbourg will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 42.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 21.7%64.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 10 and 8).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Toulouse may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Toulouse: Azizi I. (Knee Injury) Donnum A. (Suspended) Francis A. (Broken Leg) Sauer M. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Strasbourg: Emegha E. (Suspended) Ouattara A. (Hamstring Injury) Sow S. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 14:24. (average 1.1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Strasbourg were as follows:
    12.01.2025 Toulouse - Strasbourg 1:2
    07.04.2024 Toulouse - Strasbourg 0:0
    27.08.2023 Strasbourg - Toulouse 2:0
    29.01.2023 Strasbourg - Toulouse 1:2
    23.10.2022 Toulouse - Strasbourg 2:2
    Latest results of Toulouse
    23.11.2025 Toulouse - Angers 0:1
    09.11.2025 Lorient - Toulouse 1:1
    02.11.2025 Toulouse - Le Havre 0:0
    29.10.2025 Toulouse - Rennes 2:2
    Latest results of Strasbourg
    30.11.2025 Strasbourg - Brest 1:2
    22.11.2025 Lens - Strasbourg 1:0
    09.11.2025 Strasbourg - Lille 2:0
    06.11.2025 Häcken - Strasbourg 1:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens15111326:131334
    2PSG15103232:122033
    3Marseille1592435:152029
    4Lille1592429:171229
    5Lyon1573521:16524
    6Rennes1566324:23124
    7Monaco1572626:26023
    8Strasbourg1571725:20522
    9Toulouse1555521:19220
    10Brest1554620:24-419
    11Angers1554613:17-419
    12Nice1552819:27-817
    13Lorient1545619:28-917
    14Paris FC1544721:26-516
    15Le Havre1536613:21-815
    16Auxerre1533911:21-1012
    17Nantes1525813:24-1111
    18Metz15321015:34-1911

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