Result
1:0
25/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FINLAND: Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.58 | 1.85 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 18 | 24 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 5.56% (1/18) | 0% (0/24) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 24 | 17 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 100% (24/24) | 94.44% (17/18) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 100% (3/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 14 | 31 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 31.11 | 68.89 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 11:22, Marjala V. (2 min),
- 17:13, Kos O. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 06:57, Sahlin Wallenius L. (2 min),
- 07:30, Talvitie A. (2 min),
- 15:47, 1 - 0, Nyberg J. (G), Pelli A. (A), Suomi E. (A2)
Chances of winning
Ilves
56.3% | Draw
21.5% | TPS
22.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ilves's performance.TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
Ilves - TPS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.66 ↓
(1.82) |
4.3 ↑
(4.23) |
4.18 ↑
(3.45) |
7.3%
(7.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
- One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ilves won 3.
- Recent matches Ilves is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- TPS is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- TPS could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Recently TPS have a series of home games.
- In this match Ilves is a favorite.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Ilves won 8 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 12 matches and goals 41:51 (average 2.1:2.6).
- Including matches at home between the teams Ilves won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 21:19 (average 2.3:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against TPS?
Ilves has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against Ilves?
TPS has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - TPS were as follows:
13.12.2024
TPS
-
Ilves
3:2
25.10.2024
TPS
-
Ilves
5:3
18.09.2024
Ilves
-
TPS
4:2
30.08.2024
TPS
-
Ilves
1:2
12.03.2024
TPS
-
Ilves
1:6
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hameenlinna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | IFK Helsinki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ilves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | JYP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | KalPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lukko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Tappara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Karpat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | KooKoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vaasan Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Kiekko-Espoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
