Result
17/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Ilves
51.2% | Draw
22.2% | TPS
26.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ilves has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)TPS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ilves than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for TPS than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Ilves - TPS Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(1.87) |
4.13 ↓
(4.35) |
3.51 ↑
(3.42) |
7.3%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Liiga (Play Out: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 3.
- Ilves has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- TPS has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- TPS may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Ilves could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Ilves will win today's game, with odds of 1.84.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ilves won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 40:47. (average 2:2.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ilves won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 2.5:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against TPS?
Ilves has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against Ilves?
TPS has won 7 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ilves - TPS were as follows:
22.08.2025
Ilves
-
TPS
3:2
25.01.2025
Ilves
-
TPS
1:0
13.12.2024
TPS
-
Ilves
3:2
25.10.2024
TPS
-
Ilves
5:3
18.09.2024
Ilves
-
TPS
4:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39:23 | 24 |
| 2 | JYP | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 47:36 | 24 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 44:35 | 23 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 46:41 | 22 |
| 5 | Tappara | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39:28 | 21 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 36:35 | 21 |
| 7 | Lukko | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 35:34 | 20 |
| 8 | Jukurit | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34:39 | 20 |
| 9 | KalPa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 33:34 | 19 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 29:28 | 18 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 32:34 | 18 |
| 12 | Karpat | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 45:45 | 16 |
| 13 | Vaasan Sport | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 34:40 | 14 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23:34 | 13 |
| 15 | Ilves | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 31:45 | 12 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 25:41 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
