Result
4:3 OT
18/10/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.80 | 1.88 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 29 | 19 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 13.79% (4/29) | 15.79% (3/19) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 16 | 25 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 84.21% (16/19) | 86.21% (25/29) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 25% (1/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 0% (0/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 37 | 27 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 57.81 | 42.19 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 02:03, Elo S. (2 min),
- 02:28, 0 - 1, Henman L. (G), Mantykivi M. (A), Johansson S. (A2)
- 06:53, (2 min),
- 2nd Period (2 - 1)
- 04:14, 1 - 1, Pakkila E. (G), Wernblom L. (A), Lehtonen S. (A2)
- 06:26, 1 - 2, Johansson S. (G), Torok M. (A), Mantykivi M. (A2)
- 07:48, Torok M. (2 min),
- 08:40, 2 - 2, Wernblom L. (G), Reunanen T. (A), Yliniemi S. (A2)
- 11:47, Teissala L. (2 min),
- 15:49, Wernblom L. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 02:14, 3 - 2, Ylitalo N. (G), Koivu A. (A), Heinonen S. (A2)
- 03:37, 3 - 3, Torok M. (G), Pelli A. (A),
- 19:42, Looke J. (2 min),
- Overtime (1 - 0)
- 00:23, 4 - 3, Maatta J. (G), Wernblom L. (A), Reunanen T. (A2)
Chances of winning
TPS
35.8% | Draw
23.6% | Ilves
40.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
TPS - Ilves Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(2.42) |
3.99
(3.99) |
2.28 ↑
(2.19) |
7.7%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
What is the prediction for TPS - Ilves?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. TPS will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Ilves will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 16 in the zone Liiga (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, TPS won 2.
- TPS has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Ilves is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Ilves may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, TPS has had a series of away games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- We predict that Ilves will win today's game, with odds of 2.25.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, TPS won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 48:41. (average 2.4:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, TPS won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:15. (average 2.9:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has TPS won against Ilves?
TPS has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ilves won against TPS?
Ilves has won 8 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between TPS - Ilves were as follows:
17.10.2025
Ilves
-
TPS
4:3
22.08.2025
Ilves
-
TPS
3:2
25.01.2025
Ilves
-
TPS
1:0
13.12.2024
TPS
-
Ilves
3:2
25.10.2024
TPS
-
Ilves
5:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 19 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 60:40 | 38 |
| 2 | JYP | 18 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 72:50 | 38 |
| 3 | Tappara | 19 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 64:45 | 35 |
| 4 | Jukurit | 21 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 52:54 | 34 |
| 5 | SaiPa | 20 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 63:52 | 34 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo | 20 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 58:57 | 32 |
| 7 | Lukko | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 55:48 | 31 |
| 8 | KalPa | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 56:54 | 31 |
| 9 | KooKoo | 19 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 62:61 | 30 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 19 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 43:47 | 28 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 20 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 52:59 | 27 |
| 12 | Ilves | 20 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 56:69 | 24 |
| 13 | Karpat | 20 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 66:70 | 21 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 18 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 35:48 | 21 |
| 15 | Vaasan Sport | 18 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 45:54 | 20 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 35:66 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
