Crewe Alexandra vs Tranmere Rovers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 35
  • Referee: Blair H. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.370.51
Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
176
Shots on target
52
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
51
Passes
78% (329/423)57% (160/282)
Yellow cards
13
Expected goals (xG)
1.370.51
xG on target (xGOT)
1.060.46
Total shots
176
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
82
Blocked shots
42
Shots inside the box
112
Shots outside the box
64
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
11
Corner kicks
51
Touches in opposition box
3518
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free kicks
1610
Passes
78% (329/423)57% (160/282)
Long passes
30% (27/90)39% (33/85)
Passes in final third
63% (98/155)41% (43/106)
Crosses
26% (10/38)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.290.62
Throw ins
3420
Fouls
1016
Tackles
74% (14/19)75% (9/12)
Duels won
6951
Clearances
2844
Interceptions
118
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.461.06
Goals prevented
-0.54-0.94

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 44', 0 - 1, Plant J. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Thibaut A. , Bogle O. ,
  • 51', Finley S. 🟨,
  • 61', Plant J. , Norman C. ,
  • 70', Powell J. , Thomas C. ,
  • 70', Finley S. , Kenneh N. ,
  • 76', Agius C. , Lankester J. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Thomas C. , O'Reilly T. (A),
  • 78', McGowan A. , Brough P. ,
  • 79', Ironside J. , Dickov M. ,
  • 90', Obiero Z. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 2 - 1, March J. , O'Reilly T. (A),
  • 90+2', March J. 🟨,
  • 90+2', O'Reilly T. , Connolly J. ,
  • 90+5', Warrington L. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Crewe Alexandra
48.8%
Draw
26.5%
Tranmere Rovers
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.4% 27% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 25.8% 25.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • Tranmere Rovers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tranmere Rovers than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Crewe Alexandra - Tranmere Rovers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.93
    (1.99)
    3.53
    (3.42)
    3.75
    (3.47)
    6.9%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Crewe Alexandra - Tranmere Rovers?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Crewe will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Tranmere will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Crewe: 45%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 19).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 3.
    • Crewe is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Tranmere is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Crewe is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Crewe: Lankester J. (Knee Injury) Sanders M. H. (Inactive) Tabiner J. (Knee Injury) Tezgel E. (Ankle Injury) Tracey S. (Broken Leg)
    • There will not play in Tranmere: Jennings C. (Inactive) McGee L. (Hip Injury) O'Connor L. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Tranmere: Jones D. (Inactive) Joseph J. (Inactive) Tamen W. (Inactive) Turnbull J. (Inactive) Williams J. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Crewe won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Crewe won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 11:5. (average 1.6:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Crewe Alexandra - Tranmere Rovers were as follows:
    13.12.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Crewe Alexandra 1:4
    26.04.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Crewe Alexandra 2:0
    26.10.2024 Crewe Alexandra - Tranmere Rovers 3:1
    03.02.2024 Tranmere Rovers - Crewe Alexandra 0:0
    14.10.2023 Crewe Alexandra - Tranmere Rovers 2:0
    Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
    Latest results of Tranmere Rovers
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley432314668:432583
    2MK Dons432213879:433679
    3Cambridge Utd422114762:313177
    4Notts Co432371371:492276
    5Swindon432281367:511674
    6Salford432351557:50774
    7Chesterfield421815964:531169
    8Grimsby4119111162:451768
    9Barnet4318131260:491167
    10Crewe431991563:531066
    11Oldham4217141152:361665
    12Walsall4317111552:50262
    13Colchester4216121456:451160
    14Fleetwood4315131553:54-158
    15Bristol Rovers431742249:63-1455
    16Accrington421491941:48-751
    17Gillingham4212141648:60-1250
    18Shrewsbury431382240:66-2647
    19Cheltenham4112101948:67-1946
    20Tranmere429102349:72-2337
    21Crawley438132241:65-2437
    22Newport431072643:73-3037
    23Barrow42892540:68-2833
    24Harrogate43892635:66-3133

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League