Folgore vs Tre Fiori – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:2
15/02/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campionato Sammarinese - Round 21

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 37', 1 - 0, Raschi J. , Garcia Rufer A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 47', 1 - 1, Sensoli N. , Prandelli M. (A),
  • 66', 2 - 1, Adam ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, ,

Chances of winning


Folgore
24.4%
Draw
29.6%
Tre Fiori
45.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.2% 27.3% 50.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.6% 28.1% 51.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Folgore has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Tre Fiori has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tre Fiori than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tre Fiori could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Folgore - Tre Fiori Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.71
    (4.05)
    3.06
    (3.3)
    1.97
    (1.78)
    10.3%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 1.
    • Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
    • Tre Fiori may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Tre Fiori is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Folgore won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 0.9:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Folgore won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 0.6:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Folgore - Tre Fiori were as follows:
    17.10.2025 Tre Fiori - Folgore 2:1
    18.01.2025 Tre Fiori - Folgore 0:1
    30.08.2024 Folgore - Tre Fiori 1:2
    11.02.2024 Folgore - Tre Fiori 0:1
    06.12.2023 Tre Fiori - Folgore 0:0
    Latest results of Folgore
    11.02.2026 Folgore - Domagnano 2:1
    08.02.2026 Fiorentino - Folgore 0:4
    31.01.2026 Folgore - Murata 3:2
    27.01.2026 Faetano - Folgore 0:2
    21.01.2026 Folgore - Virtus 1:2
    Latest results of Tre Fiori
    11.02.2026 Pennarossa - Tre Fiori 0:0
    08.02.2026 Tre Fiori - Domagnano 2:0
    28.01.2026 Tre Fiori - Cosmos 0:3
    24.01.2026 Juvenes-Dogana - Tre Fiori 0:2
    San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tre Fiori28216161:124969
    2Virtus28206261:194266
    3Tre Penne28197264:174764
    4La Fiorita ✔ 281511259:233651
    5Folgore ✔ 28149557:302751
    6Domagnano ✔ 28137854:292546
    7Fiorentino281341132:39-743
    8Cosmos28109927:20739
    9Libertas28981131:51-2035
    10Juvenes/Dogana28891131:36-533
    11San Giovanni287101124:37-1331
    12Pennarossa28861428:52-2430
    13Faetano28641822:52-3022
    14San Marino Academy U2228361922:56-3415
    15Cailungo28242221:64-4310
    16Murata28142317:74-57-2

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    La Fiorita is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Folgore is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
    Domagnano is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)