Folgore vs Tre Penne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Folgore - Tre Penne
16/03/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SAN MARINO: Campionato Sammarinese - Round 25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Pancotti S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 54', 1 - 1, Ricciardo G. ,

Chances of winning


Folgore
32.5%
Draw
29.8%
Tre Penne
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.7% 25.8% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.9% 25% 36.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Folgore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
  • Tre Penne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Folgore, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tre Penne than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Folgore - Tre Penne Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.81
    (2.49)
    3.07
    (3.55)
    2.43
    (2.44)
    9.3%
    (9.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Folgore won 0.
    • Folgore is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Tre Penne is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Folgore could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Folgore won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 7:17 (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Folgore won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 0:8 (average 0:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Folgore - Tre Penne were as follows:
    11.12.2024 Tre Penne - Folgore 3:2
    27.11.2024 Folgore - Tre Penne 0:1
    16.03.2024 Tre Penne - Folgore 2:1
    09.12.2023 Folgore - Tre Penne 0:2
    12.04.2023 Folgore - Tre Penne 0:4
    Latest results of Folgore
    08.03.2025 Murata - Folgore 0:1
    01.03.2025 Folgore - Virtus 0:2
    02.02.2025 Cailungo - Folgore 1:3
    22.01.2025 Folgore - Pennarossa 2:2
    Latest results of Tre Penne
    09.03.2025 Tre Penne - Cosmos 0:2
    05.03.2025 Tre Fiori - Tre Penne 0:1
    01.03.2025 Fiorentino - Tre Penne 0:0
    23.02.2025 Tre Penne - Tre Fiori 1:3
    16.02.2025 AC Libertas - Tre Penne 0:2
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1La Fiorita (2)Bye
    2Murata (9)Faetano (10)0 : 1
    3Cosmos (5)Bye
    4ByeTre Penne (6)
    5Tre Fiori (3)Bye
    6Fiorentino (8)Juvenes/Dogana (11)1 : 1
    7Folgore (4)Bye
    8ByeSan Giovanni (7)

    Quarter-finals
    1La Fiorita (2)Faetano (10)2 : 0, 2 : 1
    2Cosmos (5)Tre Penne (6)1 : 0, 1 : 1
    3Tre Fiori (3)Fiorentino (8)2 : 0, 3 : 1
    4Folgore (4)San Giovanni (7)1 : 1, 0 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1La Fiorita (2)Cosmos (5)0 : 0, 0 : 0
    2Tre Fiori (3)San Giovanni (7)1 : 1, 2 : 1

    Final
    1La Fiorita (2)Tre Fiori (3)1 : 0

    3rd place
    2Cosmos (5)San Giovanni (7)4 : 2