Result
1:1
22/03/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Campionato Sammarinese - Round 26
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 World | FIFA+ |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 27', 1 - 0, Berardi F. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 75', Loiodice S. 🟥,
- 84', 1 - 1, Ura R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Tre Penne
58.3% | Draw
23.7% | Folgore
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tre Penne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tre Penne's performance.Folgore has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tre Penne than the current prediction. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Folgore than the current prediction. (+3.8%)
Tre Penne - Folgore Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.72) |
3.82 ↑
(3.74) |
5.05 ↑
(3.98) |
10.3%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 4.
- Tre Penne has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Folgore is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Tre Penne is a strong favorite.
- We predict that Tre Penne will win today's game, with odds of 1.72.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Tre Penne won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:9. (average 1.8:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tre Penne won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Tre Penne won against Folgore?
Tre Penne has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Folgore won against Tre Penne?
Folgore has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Tre Penne - Folgore were as follows:
29.11.2025
Folgore
-
Tre Penne
1:3
16.03.2025
Folgore
-
Tre Penne
0:0
11.12.2024
Tre Penne
-
Folgore
3:2
27.11.2024
Folgore
-
Tre Penne
0:1
16.03.2024
Tre Penne
-
Folgore
2:1
Latest results of Tre Penne
Latest results of Folgore
San Marino Campionato Sammarinese Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 28 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 61:12 | 49 | 69 |
| 2 | Virtus | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 61:19 | 42 | 66 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 28 | 19 | 7 | 2 | 64:17 | 47 | 64 |
| 4 | La Fiorita ✔ | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 59:23 | 36 | 51 |
| 5 | Folgore ✔ | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 57:30 | 27 | 51 |
| 6 | Domagnano ✔ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 54:29 | 25 | 46 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 43 |
| 8 | Cosmos | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 27:20 | 7 | 39 |
| 9 | Libertas | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 31:51 | -20 | 35 |
| 10 | Juvenes/Dogana | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 31:36 | -5 | 33 |
| 11 | San Giovanni | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 24:37 | -13 | 31 |
| 12 | Pennarossa | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 28:52 | -24 | 30 |
| 13 | Faetano | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 22:52 | -30 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 22:56 | -34 | 15 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 28 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 21:64 | -43 | 10 |
| 16 | Murata | 28 | 1 | 4 | 23 | 17:74 | -57 | -2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
La Fiorita is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Folgore is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Domagnano is Qualified for Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
