Result
0:1
01/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group E - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 75', 0 - 1, Kondaj E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Trestina 36.2% | Draw 36.2% | Montevarchi 27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trestina's form might have worsened.Montevarchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trestina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Trestina - Montevarchi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.53 ↑ (2.17) |
2.53 ↓ (2.99) |
3.32 ↑ (3.26) |
9.1% (10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trestina won 0.
- Recent form of Trestina has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Montevarchi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Trestina will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Trestina won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Trestina won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Trestina won against Montevarchi?
Trestina has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montevarchi won against Trestina?
Montevarchi has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trestina - Montevarchi were as follows:
28.09.2025
Montevarchi
-
Trestina
1:1
13.04.2025
Montevarchi
-
Trestina
0:0
01.12.2024
Trestina
-
Montevarchi
2:2
04.08.2024
Trestina
-
Montevarchi
0:0
02.03.2024
Montevarchi
-
Trestina
1:1
Latest results of Trestina
Latest results of Montevarchi
Italian Serie D - Group E Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grosseto | 26 | 20 | 2 | 4 | 49:17 | 32 | 62 |
| 2 | Seravezza Pozzi | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 35:19 | 16 | 50 |
| 3 | Tau | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 41:22 | 19 | 49 |
| 4 | Siena | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 34:20 | 14 | 44 |
| 5 | Terranuova Traiana | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 22:22 | 0 | 42 |
| 6 | Prato | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 35:26 | 9 | 41 |
| 7 | Foligno | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 38:31 | 7 | 40 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 28:21 | 7 | 36 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 23:29 | -6 | 35 |
| 10 | Ghiviborgo | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 38:34 | 4 | 33 |
| 11 | Trestina | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 33 |
| 12 | San Donato | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 30 |
| 13 | Camaiore | 26 | 8 | 5 | 13 | 33:42 | -9 | 29 |
| 14 | Orvietana | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 27:31 | -4 | 28 |
| 15 | Follonica Gavorrano | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 21:37 | -16 | 23 |
| 17 | Vivi Altotevere | 26 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 14:35 | -21 | 17 |
| 18 | Cannara | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17:51 | -34 | 15 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
Relegation