Result
0:1
01/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group E - Round 22
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 75', 0 - 1, Kondaj E. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Trestina
36.2% | Draw
36.2% | Montevarchi
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Trestina's form might have worsened.Montevarchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trestina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevarchi than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Trestina - Montevarchi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.53 ↑
(2.17) |
2.53 ↓
(2.99) |
3.32 ↑
(3.26) |
9.1%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trestina won 0.
- Recent form of Trestina has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Montevarchi has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Trestina will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Trestina won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 1:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Trestina won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Trestina won against Montevarchi?
Trestina has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montevarchi won against Trestina?
Montevarchi has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trestina - Montevarchi were as follows:
28.09.2025
Montevarchi
-
Trestina
1:1
13.04.2025
Montevarchi
-
Trestina
0:0
01.12.2024
Trestina
-
Montevarchi
2:2
04.08.2024
Trestina
-
Montevarchi
0:0
02.03.2024
Montevarchi
-
Trestina
1:1
Latest results of Trestina
Latest results of Montevarchi
Italian Serie D - Group E Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grosseto ✔ | 31 | 21 | 6 | 4 | 55:22 | 33 | 69 |
| 2 | Tau | 31 | 16 | 8 | 7 | 48:30 | 18 | 56 |
| 3 | Siena | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 48:29 | 19 | 55 |
| 4 | Seravezza Pozzi | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 41:27 | 14 | 55 |
| 5 | Prato | 31 | 17 | 5 | 9 | 45:29 | 16 | 54 |
| 6 | Scandicci | 31 | 11 | 14 | 6 | 37:27 | 10 | 47 |
| 7 | Foligno | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 44:36 | 8 | 47 |
| 8 | Terranuova Traiana | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 24:26 | -2 | 47 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | 27:31 | -4 | 42 |
| 10 | Trestina | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 35:35 | 0 | 40 |
| 11 | Ghiviborgo | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 41:40 | 1 | 37 |
| 12 | Camaiore | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 38:47 | -9 | 34 |
| 13 | Follonica Gavorrano | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 32:45 | -13 | 34 |
| 14 | San Donato | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 26:34 | -8 | 33 |
| 15 | Orvietana | 31 | 7 | 10 | 14 | 29:35 | -6 | 31 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 31 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26:43 | -17 | 27 |
| 17 | Cannara | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 20:55 | -35 | 22 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere | 31 | 2 | 14 | 15 | 17:42 | -25 | 20 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Grosseto is Confirmed as championsnQualified for
