Result
2:1
15/02/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie D - Group D - Round 24
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 43', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 44', 1 - 1, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 81', 2 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Desenzano Calvina
67.6% | Draw
20.8% | Trevigliese
11.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Desenzano Calvina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Desenzano Calvina's performance.Trevigliese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desenzano Calvina than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trevigliese than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Desenzano Calvina - Trevigliese Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.35 ↓
(1.47) |
4.37 ↑
(4) |
7.89 ↑
(6.17) |
9.8%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )).
- Desenzano has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Trevigliese has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Desenzano is the clear favorite.
- We predict that Desenzano will win today's game, with odds of 1.35.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Desenzano won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Desenzano Calvina won against Trevigliese?
Desenzano Calvina has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trevigliese won against Desenzano Calvina?
Trevigliese has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Desenzano Calvina - Trevigliese were as follows:
12.10.2025
Trevigliese
-
Desenzano Calvina
1:2
Latest results of Desenzano Calvina
Latest results of Trevigliese
Italian Serie D - Group D Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lentigione | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 38:14 | 24 | 58 |
| 2 | Desenzano | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 47:18 | 29 | 57 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 42:16 | 26 | 56 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 5 | Pro Sesto | 26 | 13 | 8 | 5 | 37:19 | 18 | 47 |
| 6 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 31:21 | 10 | 44 |
| 7 | Rovato Vertovese | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 42 |
| 8 | Pro Palazzolo | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 31:25 | 6 | 40 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 32:32 | 0 | 37 |
| 10 | Crema | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 31:34 | -3 | 35 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 30 |
| 12 | SCD Progresso | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 27:32 | -5 | 28 |
| 13 | Correggese | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 22:29 | -7 | 26 |
| 14 | Sasso Marconi | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 24:35 | -11 | 23 |
| 15 | Imolese | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 18:39 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Trevigliese | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 24:44 | -20 | 20 |
| 17 | Tropical Coriano | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 20:38 | -18 | 19 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 26 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 14:52 | -38 | 7 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs: )
Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out: )
Relegation
