Result
2:0
06/07/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera Nacional - Round 21
- Referee: Vinas N. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Argentina | TyC Sports Play |
Match Stats
| |
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Ball Possession |
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55% | 45% |
Total shots |
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11 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 2 |
Total shots |
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11 | 11 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 2 |
Shots off target |
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7 | 9 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
6 | 3 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 30', Asis G. ↓, Navas J. ↑,
- 43', Steimbach A. 🟨,
- 45', Almada A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 65', Almada A. ↓, Veliez A. ↑,
- 65', Almiron E. ↓, Ruiz P. ↑,
- 65', Moreyra G. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 0, Bonansea A. ⚽, Barinaga J. (A),
- 73', Del Priore N. ↓, Sosa A. ↑,
- 79', Moreno E. ↓, Escobar I. ↑,
- 85', Fernandez N. ↓, Da Rosa J. E. ↑,
- 89', Barinaga J. ↓, Enrique M. ↑,
- 89', Castro F. ↓, Pereyra V. L. ↑,
- 90+5', 2 - 0, Sumavil N. (Own goal),
Chances of winning
Patronato Parana 39.9% | Draw 31.9% | Tristán Suárez 28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Patronato Parana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)Tristán Suárez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Patronato Parana than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tristán Suárez than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Patronato Parana - Tristán Suárez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.31 ↑ (2.11) |
2.88 ↑ (2.85) |
3.3 ↓ (3.86) |
8.4% (8.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Patronato Parana - Tristán Suárez?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Patronato will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Tristán Suárez may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Patronato could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Patronato won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Patronato won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Patronato Parana won against Tristán Suárez?
Patronato Parana has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tristán Suárez won against Patronato Parana?
Tristán Suárez has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Patronato Parana - Tristán Suárez were as follows:
01.03.2025
Tristán Suárez
-
Patronato Parana
2:0
07.07.2024
Patronato Parana
-
Tristán Suárez
3:0
17.02.2024
Tristán Suárez
-
Patronato Parana
0:1
Latest results of Patronato Parana
Latest results of Tristán Suárez
Argentinian Primera Nacional Table
2025Group A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Deportivo Madryn | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 38:24 | 14 | 47 |
2 | Atletico Atlanta | 28 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 47 |
3 | San Martin T | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 43 |
4 | San Miguel | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 43 |
5 | Patronato | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 29:24 | 5 | 41 |
6 | Tristan Suarez | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 24:19 | 5 | 41 |
7 | Gimnasia y Tiro | 27 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 23:15 | 8 | 40 |
8 | Deportivo Maipu | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 25:25 | 0 | 36 |
9 | Los Andes | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 26:24 | 2 | 35 |
10 | Quilmes | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 33 |
11 | All Boys | 27 | 7 | 12 | 8 | 22:22 | 0 | 33 |
12 | Racing Cordoba | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 31:35 | -4 | 33 |
13 | Colegiales | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 17:22 | -5 | 33 |
14 | Almagro | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 20:24 | -4 | 31 |
15 | Ferro | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 17:29 | -12 | 30 |
16 | Club A. Guemes | 28 | 4 | 15 | 9 | 24:31 | -7 | 27 |
17 | Alvarado | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 17:24 | -7 | 27 |
18 | Arsenal Sarandi | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 28:40 | -12 | 27 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 27 | 14 | 10 | 3 | 29:13 | 16 | 52 |
2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 27 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 31:13 | 18 | 50 |
3 | Deportivo Moron | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 29:16 | 13 | 46 |
4 | Chacarita Juniors | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 33:21 | 12 | 46 |
5 | CA Estudiantes | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 30:19 | 11 | 45 |
6 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 27:17 | 10 | 44 |
7 | Temperley | 27 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 44 |
8 | Chaco For Ever | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 28:23 | 5 | 43 |
9 | Agropecuario | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:31 | 0 | 38 |
10 | San Telmo | 27 | 8 | 11 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 35 |
11 | Def. de Belgrano | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 22:22 | 0 | 34 |
12 | Nueva Chicago | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 24:27 | -3 | 33 |
13 | Central Norte | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 23:30 | -7 | 33 |
14 | CA Mitre | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 19:22 | -3 | 32 |
15 | Colon Santa Fe | 28 | 8 | 4 | 16 | 21:34 | -13 | 28 |
16 | Almirante Brown | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 21:31 | -10 | 25 |
17 | Talleres (R.E) | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 13:34 | -21 | 17 |
18 | Defensores Unidos | 27 | 2 | 10 | 15 | 15:45 | -30 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Super final: )
Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation