Móstoles URJC vs Trival Valderas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas
Result
3:1
28/01/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 7 - ROUND 18

Chances of winning


Móstoles URJC
57.4%
Draw
25.7%
Trival Valderas
16.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.4% 21% 14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69% 19.6% 13.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Móstoles URJC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Móstoles URJC's form might have worsened.
  • Trival Valderas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Móstoles URJC than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Móstoles URJC, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.41)
    3.51
    (4.33)
    5.33
    (6.23)
    10.8%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Móstoles URJC won 3.
    • Móstoles URJC is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Trival Valderas is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Móstoles URJC is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 10 head-to-head matches Móstoles URJC won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-15.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Móstoles URJC won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas were as follows:
    10.09.2023 Trival Valderas - Móstoles URJC 2:1
    05.02.2023 Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas 1:0
    02.10.2022 Trival Valderas - Móstoles URJC 3:0
    Latest results of Móstoles URJC
    Latest results of Trival Valderas
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2