Result
3:1
07/12/2025 at 05:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 13
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 6', 1 - 0, Sanchez V. (Penalty Awarded),
- 30', 2 - 0, Sanchez V. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', 2 - 1, Beni ⚽,
- 79', 3 - 1, Sanchez V. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Móstoles URJC 58.9% | Draw 24.3% | Trival Valderas 16.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Trival Valderas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)The ML Model estimate for Móstoles URJC aligns with the current prediction.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.59 ↓ (1.63) |
3.87 ↑ (3.65) |
5.58 ↑ (4.8) |
6.6% (9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 3.
- Móstoles is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Trival Valderas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Móstoles is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Móstoles will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.4:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Móstoles won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Móstoles URJC won against Trival Valderas?
Móstoles URJC has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trival Valderas won against Móstoles URJC?
Trival Valderas has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas were as follows:
28.01.2024
Móstoles URJC
-
Trival Valderas
3:1
10.09.2023
Trival Valderas
-
Móstoles URJC
2:1
05.02.2023
Móstoles URJC
-
Trival Valderas
1:0
02.10.2022
Trival Valderas
-
Móstoles URJC
3:0
Latest results of Móstoles URJC
Latest results of Trival Valderas
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Madrid C | 26 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 66:36 | 30 | 52 |
| 2 | Las Rozas | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 45:26 | 19 | 50 |
| 3 | CD Mostoles | 26 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 43:30 | 13 | 48 |
| 4 | Leganes B | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 46:20 | 26 | 44 |
| 5 | AD Torrejon | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 42:36 | 6 | 42 |
| 6 | Trival Valderas | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 34:29 | 5 | 40 |
| 7 | San Sebastian Reyes B | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 32:26 | 6 | 37 |
| 8 | Pozuelo de Alarcon | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 26:22 | 4 | 37 |
| 9 | Galapagar | 26 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 28:34 | -6 | 36 |
| 10 | Mexico FC | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 34:34 | 0 | 35 |
| 11 | Union Adarve | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Villaverde San Andres | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 23:30 | -7 | 32 |
| 13 | Alcorcon B | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 23:28 | -5 | 29 |
| 14 | Siello | 26 | 8 | 4 | 14 | 26:38 | -12 | 28 |
| 15 | Carabanchel | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 21:27 | -6 | 26 |
| 16 | Tres Cantos | 26 | 7 | 3 | 16 | 23:47 | -24 | 24 |
| 17 | Ciudad de Madrid | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 26:45 | -19 | 22 |
| 18 | Parla | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 19:44 | -25 | 22 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )
Relegation