Móstoles URJC vs Trival Valderas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
07/12/2025 at 05:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Sanchez V. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 30', 2 - 0, Sanchez V. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', 2 - 1, Beni ,
  • 79', 3 - 1, Sanchez V. ,

Chances of winning


Móstoles URJC
58.9%
Draw
24.3%
Trival Valderas
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 25% 19%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.9% 23.8% 18.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Móstoles URJC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Trival Valderas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Móstoles URJC aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trival Valderas than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.63)
    3.87
    (3.65)
    5.58
    (4.8)
    6.6%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: ) and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 3.
    • Móstoles is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Trival Valderas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Móstoles is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Móstoles will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Móstoles won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.4:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Móstoles won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas were as follows:
    28.01.2024 Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas 3:1
    10.09.2023 Trival Valderas - Móstoles URJC 2:1
    05.02.2023 Móstoles URJC - Trival Valderas 1:0
    02.10.2022 Trival Valderas - Móstoles URJC 3:0
    Latest results of Móstoles URJC
    Latest results of Trival Valderas
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C23136459:312845
    2Las Rozas23136439:231645
    3CD Mostoles23136440:271345
    4Leganes B24127544:172743
    5AD Torrejon23123837:31639
    6Pozuelo de Alarcon2399525:19636
    7Trival Valderas231031029:27233
    8Mexico FC24951032:32032
    9Galapagar23710625:32-731
    10San Sebastian Reyes B2379724:25-130
    11Union Adarve2386925:30-530
    12Villaverde San Andres2379721:26-530
    13Siello24731424:37-1324
    14Alcorcon B23661119:25-624
    15Carabanchel23581019:24-523
    16Parla23641319:38-1922
    17Tres Cantos23631421:38-1721
    18Ciudad de Madrid24471323:43-2019

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 7 (Play Offs: )
          Relegation