Result
1:0
24/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 20
- Referee: Perreau Niel A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 1, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports Espanol |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 1, Nova Sport 2, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, beIN Sports US Espanol, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.80 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (319/389) | 80% (304/379) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.80 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.00 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (319/389) | 80% (304/379) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (31/63) | 57% (33/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (91/129) | 69% (91/132) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 22% (5/23) | 18% (4/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.96 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 73% (8/11) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.31 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.00 | -0.69 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Boura I. 🟨,
- 32', Gomis D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Boura I. ↓, Ouzenadji A. ↑,
- 51', Mille A. ↓, Bentayeb T. ↑,
- 52', Ouzenadji A. 🟨,
- 65', Sagna A. ↓, Mbemba F. ↑,
- 65', Ott G. ↓, Samoura A. ↑,
- 68', 1 - 0, Samoura A. ⚽, Demoncy Y. (A),
- 72', Gambor H. 🟨,
- 77', Demoncy Y. ↓, Ahile T. ↑,
- 78', Phliponeau A. ↓, Murcy R. ↑,
- 78', Detourbet M. ↓, Odede E. ↑,
- 78', Ripart R. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
- 84', Monfray A. 🟨,
- 85', Sidibe K. ↓, Hatchi J. ↑,
- 89', Mafouta L. 🟨,
- 90+7', Ifnaoui M. 🟨,
- 90+7', Mbemba F. 🟨,
- 90+7', Mbemba F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Guingamp
35.5% | Draw
29.7% | Troyes
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guingamp has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guingamp than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+2.8%)
Guingamp - Troyes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↓
(2.67) |
3.12 ↓
(3.41) |
2.68 ↑
(2.48) |
7.1%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Guingamp - Troyes?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Guingamp will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Troyes will win (votes: 2 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 3.
- Recent performances by Guingamp have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Troyes is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Guingamp may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Guingamp: Abdallah A.
(Inactive)
Hatchi J.
(Inactive)
Hemia A.
(Knee Injury)
Koffi E.
(Inactive)
Matumona J.
(Red Card)
N'Landu D.
(Knee Injury)
Ortola A.
(Inactive)
Planeix I.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Troyes: Diop M.
(Red Card)
Gozzi P.
(Broken Leg)
Lemaitre N.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Guingamp won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.5:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Guingamp won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:3. (average 2.2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Guingamp won against Troyes?
Guingamp has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Guingamp?
Troyes has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guingamp - Troyes were as follows:
20.09.2025
Troyes
-
Guingamp
5:2
14.03.2025
Troyes
-
Guingamp
0:1
16.08.2024
Guingamp
-
Troyes
4:0
02.03.2024
Guingamp
-
Troyes
0:0
25.11.2023
Troyes
-
Guingamp
0:1
Latest results of Guingamp
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 40:25 | 15 | 48 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 44:29 | 15 | 46 |
| 3 | Reims | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 37:23 | 14 | 42 |
| 4 | Le Mans | 25 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 30:24 | 6 | 41 |
| 5 | Red Star | 25 | 11 | 8 | 6 | 30:25 | 5 | 41 |
| 6 | Annecy | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 34:25 | 9 | 39 |
| 7 | Dunkerque | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41:27 | 14 | 38 |
| 8 | Rodez | 25 | 9 | 10 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 37 |
| 9 | Montpellier | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 28:25 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:36 | -1 | 35 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 37:42 | -5 | 34 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 24:29 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | Clermont | 25 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 29:33 | -4 | 28 |
| 14 | Nancy | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 22:33 | -11 | 27 |
| 15 | Boulogne | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | 25:36 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 28:41 | -13 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 25 | 3 | 10 | 12 | 19:35 | -16 | 19 |
| 18 | Bastia | 25 | 3 | 9 | 13 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
