Result
3:0
12/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 5
- Referee: Rosier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.69 | 1.43 |
Ball Possession |
---|
59% | 41% |
Total shots |
---|
22 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
11 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Passes |
---|
85% (393/464) | 73% (228/313) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
3.69 | 1.43 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.44 | 0.73 |
Total shots |
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22 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
11 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
9 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
15 | 5 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
7 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Touches in opposition box |
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39 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
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1 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
---|
16 | 11 |
Passes |
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85% (393/464) | 73% (228/313) |
Long passes |
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58% (38/65) | 41% (24/59) |
Passes in final third |
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78% (122/157) | 57% (58/102) |
Crosses |
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28% (5/18) | 33% (5/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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1.82 | 0.77 |
Throw-ins |
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12 | 23 |
Fouls |
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11 | 16 |
Tackles |
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64% (7/11) | 54% (7/13) |
Duels won |
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51 | 52 |
Clearances |
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29 | 25 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 8 |
xGOT faced |
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0.73 | 3.44 |
Goals prevented |
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0.73 | 0.44 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Bentayeb T. ⚽, Boura I. (A),
- 31', Assoumou J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 50', 2 - 0, Bentayeb T. (Pen),
- 55', Bentayeb T. (Pen),
- 64', Bokangu B. ↓, Maouassa F. ↑,
- 64', Mendy E. ↓, Julloux A. ↑,
- 64', Bamba R. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 72', Assoumou J. ↓, Detourbet M. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 0, Adeline M. ⚽, Diop M. (A),
- 79', Bentayeb T. ↓, El Idrissy M. ↑,
- 79', Ifnaoui M. ↓, Odede E. ↑,
- 79', Experience M. ↓, Sidibe O. ↑,
- 79', Fdaouch Z. ↓, Ouotro P. ↑,
- 84', Titi Y. ↓, Murcy R. ↑,
- 84', Adeline M. ↓, Ouzenadji A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Troyes 40.9% | Draw 29.8% | Nancy 29.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Troyes - Nancy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.29 ↓ (2.41) |
3.14 ↑ (3) |
3.23 ↑ (2.91) |
6.5% (9.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Troyes - Nancy?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Nancy will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 9.6% – 70.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nancy (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Troyes could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Troyes: Larouci Y.
(Injury)
Traore I.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Troyes: Phliponeau A.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Nancy: Dabasse A.
(Inactive)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Troyes won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 20:24. (average 1.1:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Troyes won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Nancy?
Troyes has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nancy won against Troyes?
Nancy has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Nancy were as follows:
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | St Etienne | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 14:7 | 7 | 14 |
2 | Red Star | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 13 |
3 | Troyes | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Pau FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 11 |
5 | Amiens | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 9 |
6 | Clermont | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
7 | Montpellier | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 8 |
8 | Annecy | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
9 | Reims | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 8 |
10 | Nancy | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
11 | Rodez | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 8 |
12 | Laval | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
13 | Guingamp | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:14 | -5 | 7 |
14 | Dunkerque | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
15 | Le Mans | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
16 | Grenoble | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 5 |
17 | Boulogne | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
18 | Bastia | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National