Castuera vs Trujillo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Castuera - Trujillo
Result
1:2
04/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 33

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 22', 1 - 0, Quintero J. ,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Silgado A. A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 70', 1 - 2, Manzano J. ,

Chances of winning


Castuera
64.1%
Draw
21.6%
Trujillo
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.4% 21.5% 14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.1% 20.3% 13.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Castuera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Trujillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castuera than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trujillo than the current prediction. (-1%)
  • Castuera - Trujillo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.41)
    4.2
    (4.24)
    6.33
    (6.44)
    10.3%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
    • Recent performances by Castuera have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Trujillo has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Trujillo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Castuera is the clear favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castuera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including home match between the teams, Castuera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Castuera - Trujillo were as follows:
    14.04.2024 Castuera - Trujillo 2:1
    26.11.2023 Trujillo - Castuera 2:0
    Latest results of Castuera
    27.04.2025 Pueblonuevo - Castuera 1:2
    11.04.2025 CD Extremadura - Castuera 2:0
    30.03.2025 Arroyo - Castuera 2:2
    21.03.2025 Castuera - Llerenense 3:1
    Latest results of Trujillo
    27.04.2025 Trujillo - Badajoz 0:0
    20.04.2025 Trujillo - Pueblonuevo 2:3
    06.04.2025 Trujillo - CD Extremadura 0:4
    30.03.2025 Jaraíz - Trujillo 2:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2