Result
1:2
04/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 33
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 22', 1 - 0, Quintero J. ⚽,
- 43', 1 - 1, Silgado A. A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 70', 1 - 2, Manzano J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Castuera
64.1% | Draw
21.6% | Trujillo
14.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Castuera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Trujillo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Castuera than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trujillo than the current prediction. (-1%)
Castuera - Trujillo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↓
(1.41) |
4.2 ↓
(4.24) |
6.33 ↓
(6.44) |
10.3%
(9.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- Recent performances by Castuera have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Trujillo has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Trujillo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Castuera is the clear favorite.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castuera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
- Including home match between the teams, Castuera won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Castuera won against Trujillo?
Castuera has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Trujillo won against Castuera?
Trujillo has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Castuera - Trujillo were as follows:
14.04.2024
Castuera
-
Trujillo
2:1
26.11.2023
Trujillo
-
Castuera
2:0
Latest results of Castuera
Latest results of Trujillo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jaraiz | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 2 | Santa Amalia | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Villanovense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Villafranca | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 5 | Don Benito | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 3 |
| 6 | Azuaga | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Llerenense | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Montijo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Puebla | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Gevora | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
| 11 | Moralo | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5:5 | 0 | 2 |
| 12 | Diocesano | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
| 13 | CD Calamonte | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 14 | Cabeza del Buey | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
| 15 | Jerez CF | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | CD Badajoz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Pueblonuevo | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:8 | -7 | 0 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
